The virus vote

One week before the US elections and many investors (despite Monday’s plop) have decided it’s over. She’s done. Trump is toast.

Now, let’s be clear: there could be a big momma of a surprise. 45 might pull this out of the bag by taking Florida. Or if the results are close on election night he could claim victory, opening a protracted legal quagmire. Maybe the Proud Boys will start a war in prime time with NFAC, livestreamed on FB. Dunno. It is, after all, one messed-up country these days.

But here’s the betting seven days out: Biden sweeps.

The polls say this. Massive advance voting supports it. The virus suggests it. The infections over the weekend of Mike Pence’s inner circle were a coup de grace, coming atop record daily spread levels at the end of last week. Just when the president wanted to shift the focus onto the economy (“a Trump recovery or a Biden depression”) the bug took centre stage again.

Since the first presidential debate another 25,000 Americans have died. The world’s most advanced country, with the best health care, has suffered the greatest death toll and infection rate. It’s a leadership disaster. Symbolic of that is Trump’s maskless bravado and now Pence’s insistence he keep campaigning when his closest aides are stricken. It’s the very definition of reckless.

Of course, polls could be wrong. But if not, America may lurch left because that’s the only path this president has left for voters. More government and higher taxes, as the pendulum swings.

Okay, so what does this mean for your portfolio? Biden bad? Or Biden good?

The first conclusion is that markets will respond with relief to any outcome so long as it’s decisive. If we all wake up on the 4th and there’s no clear winner – but with Trump claiming the high ground – stocks will not be happy.

But wait. Won’t a Biden win mean higher taxes and an economic drag, just when America can least afford it?

Yup, rolling back some of the Trump tax cuts on corporations will be negative. So will be the proposal to treat capital gains and dividends as regular income. Ditto his plan to increase the marginal rate on people earning over $400,000. But none of those moves are likely to take place until economic recovery is underway. More important, the market sees a Democratic win as clearing the way for another massive stimulus package in late January, now that relief before election day is impossible (which helped caused Monday’s funk).

What would a clear Trump victory mean?

More of the same. Tax cuts. China-bashing. Deregulation. Promotion of the O&G industry, financials and defence. Compare that with sectors that would do well under Biden – like infrastructure and clean energy. Biden would bring in a $15 minimum wage to try and even the wealth gap a little while whacking high income-earners. Both moves are costly. Trump policies would continue the current course, in which the wealth divide will widen further. Biden might lock down the economy for a while to eradicate the virus. Ouch. Trump seems inclined to let it rip through an open society. Many more would die.

Inevitably, the pandemic will end whatever the body count ends up being. When it does, the US economy will erupt. Commodity prices will rebound with global growth Canada will do well. So will financials and industrials, then consumer goods. The best strategy is to ensure you have a properly weighted, balanced and globally diversified portfolio of low-cost ETFs in place now and stop worrying about what happens next Tuesday night.

But what bloodied Mr. Market on Monday?

First, the virus seems uncontained and the White House said on the weekend that the current administration can’t control it. Second, it appears squabbling in Washington means no stimulus package is near – something investors were counting on. So, more disease. Less money. And a big sell-off. Besides, if there’s a Biden win and capital gains taxes are to increase next year, why not cash out now?

Well, just to clarify; this blog is making no prediction. The polls might fail miserably, as in 2016. Trump could scuttle out of this campaign’s rubble like an unkillable beetle. But it’s equally clear the virus could take him down.

Let’s just hope for one outcome above all. That somebody gets squished.

233 comments ↓

#1 TurnerNation on 10.26.20 at 3:24 pm

A 10 sec video. I call it “Walking into the bank”
https://ibb.co/v3rb4PZ

#2 not 1st on 10.26.20 at 3:32 pm

Since apparently I cant talk about Trump without getting deleted, I will talk about the stock market.

Its fall today has nothing to do with covid or the economy. It has to do with the fact that the 5 biggest market cap in the S&P index are Amazon, FB, Twitter, Netflix and Google and all of those are about to get smashed into pieces after the election.

If 225,000 deaths are directly from a leadership fail in the US, what about the 10,000 that happened here and now spiking cases in Ont and Quebec? Whos fault are those?

#3 Y on 10.26.20 at 3:33 pm

The picture: for your basic obedience prong collars aren’t required ,and if you must, make sure you learn to use them correctly. And trim the dog’s nails .

Biden win = clean tech ETF / socially responsible ETFs surge higher??

#4 mj on 10.26.20 at 3:37 pm

I’m not sure who will win, but I believe someone will win big. I don’t believe polls because they have many different polls. Trump is reading different polls in the link below. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F2SBfmBooHo

#5 FreeBird on 10.26.20 at 3:40 pm

Long night in comments coming? How many will get deleted? Prob far more on election night. Since I have no dog in the US race I’ll just say German Shepards are one of my favorite dogs and watch safely from the bleachers (with popcorn). Have fun Garth!

#6 Dennis on 10.26.20 at 3:43 pm

I think lots of people will be surprised by the result, just like 4 years ago.

#7 Billy Buoy on 10.26.20 at 3:45 pm

Does Consumer Debt mean nothing?

#8 Linda on 10.26.20 at 3:49 pm

The complete lack of leadership from the WH regarding the ‘War on Covid-19’ in the USA can indeed be cited as one of the factors in the current death toll. Obviously no matter what was done people still would have sickened/died – but had the POTUS & crew worn masks, promoted social distancing etc. the eventual toll would likely have been far lower. Just saying.

#9 Editrix on 10.26.20 at 3:53 pm

I disagree that the US has the best health care. The US has the best health care for those who have the right insurance or the most money.

#10 Penny Henny on 10.26.20 at 3:57 pm

DELETED

#11 Penny Henny on 10.26.20 at 4:00 pm

Biden might lock down the economy for a while to eradicate the virus. Ouch.
/////////////

There is no eradicating the virus.

#12 TurnerNation on 10.26.20 at 4:07 pm

“Trump seems inclined to let it rip through an open society. Many more would die.”
But if they are wearing masks they will not get sick?
It’s just that simple no? Easy peasy and you’ll never get sick again. Human bodies are so simple, that piece of cloth alone assures upper body health.
We were told that wearing masks ‘allows us to re-open the economy’. Take what our rulers tell us and flip it around 180 degrees…yup they’re still closing the economy.

#13 forgotmyusername on 10.26.20 at 4:13 pm

Let’s face it, many are heavily influenced by whichever media “bubble” they inhabit.

I can tell what Mr. Turner’s bubble is just by the way he frames the topics.

Conversely, he is probably sure which one I am in, just because I object to some of his framing.

So, which bubble has more voters? Which choice do ‘the people’ prefer for the next 4 years? (Possibly 8, if the Democrats win.)

Nov 3rd could be as Mr. Turner predicts, and seems to prefer: a Biden win.

Or it could go the other way:
https://www.nationalreview.com/2020/10/the-only-middle-finger-available/

BTW, some assume that anything from National Review means the material is suspect and pro-Trump. In fact, NR is populated by a spectrum of pro-Trump, maybe-Trump and quite a few never-Trump writers and editors. So much so that NR readers complain the outlet is giving aid to the left.

Whatever. I am just trying to expand people’s horizons.

The same media telling you Biden is clearly ahead really, really want that to happen. And have shaped their coverage accordingly.

As for the election, I just hope it’s a blow-out. A clear win, one way or another.

Oh, that won’t stop turmoil. If Trump wins — even if it’s a rout — there will be riots.

But a clear outcome is a victory for democracy. A clear outcome is a set of instructions to accept the will of the electorate.

Just let it be clear, and life can carry on.

#14 Faron on 10.26.20 at 4:22 pm

#2 not 1st on 10.26.20 at 3:32 pm

Did you even think of looking at the quotes of those names before claiming the market is down due to regulation threats?
AAPL and NFLX had unremarkable days. the Dow and Russel 2000 were soundly beat by NSADAQ. S+P 500 equal weight was down 60 bps more than cap weight S+P.

Regarding your claims of Trump death immunity. Here are some facts for you.

Canada cases per million: 5754
Canada deaths per million: 263

US cases per million: 26924 (~5x; almost 3% of the population at this point)
US deaths per million: 696 (~3x; approaching one in 1000 people)

Sure, blaming all 225k US deaths on Trump is unfair. But, knowing what he knew and in continually claiming he took early action, Trump should have been able to beat Canada on deaths (due to superior health care) and tied it on cases. Bigly. All evidence is that he downplayed the virus and his scientific advisors’ advice and the direct result of doing so is the discrepancies shown above. End of story.

Garth is laudably open to allowing many points of view if you are playing with generally or even loosely agreed upon facts, keep it clean, and aren’t a total jerk to fellow posters or to public servants who deserve a modicum of respect and orderliness through tents of basic civility. I’ve been deleted for disrespecting Trudeau, disrespecting others, and disrespecting Garth. Never when facts are stated that are contrary to the tone of the blog. Is he a perfect judge? No. Nobody is. But by posting here you agree to his guidelines that are open and fair. You should know them by now.

#15 Total cents on 10.26.20 at 4:22 pm

Jobs, higher incomes, lower taxes, lower pharma, secure borders, balanced trade, fewer wars, foreign nations paying their way, more accountability by big news and tech, more communication, clearer communication, tolerance, no more cancellation culture, no more identity politics, and so much more.

Go TRUMP. And Jr for 2024. Though I could see Candace Owens or Ivanka running too. Cruz maybe. So exciting!!!!!!!!!!

#16 Eric on 10.26.20 at 4:29 pm

Pierre’s got jokes:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9zvwtmesoys

#17 Lead Paint on 10.26.20 at 4:29 pm

Blog Dogs! A young woman (19) has asked me where/how she can invest $500 for the long haul.

Any good roboadvisers with a balanced portfolio and low fees you can recommend?

#18 Apocalypse2020 on 10.26.20 at 4:34 pm

9 DAYS TO GLOBAL CATASTROPHE!

“Let’s just hope for one outcome above all. That somebody gets squished.”

(Everything will get squished.)

PREPARE

#19 Eco Capitalist on 10.26.20 at 4:35 pm

I believe that treating capital gains and dividends like regular income would be a very bad idea. A market breaking bad idea. Why would those with capital risk it if the reward was greatly reduced? What kind of return would you need to compensate for the higher taxation?
Who would step in to provide capital?

#20 Tu World on 10.26.20 at 4:36 pm

Trump won in 2016 and will win again.Pelosi would not have done better with Covid.Trump wanted to shut the borders and she jumped all over him,calling him racist.

#21 Warren-the-lagging_indicator on 10.26.20 at 4:39 pm

Trunq wins with a landslide w.r.t the Electoral College.

#22 Bill zufelt on 10.26.20 at 4:40 pm

2016 was a surprise so 2020 should be a little easier actually.The devil we know is better than Biden.Trump derangement syndrome is alive among the media and others that are entitled to their entitlements but the real voters will put him back in–just watch.

#23 TurnerNation on 10.26.20 at 4:45 pm

https://montrealgazette.com/news/local-news/hundreds-of-sports-centres-say-theyll-defy-legault-and-reopen-thursday

Hundreds of sports centres say they’ll defy Legault and reopen Thursday
They say they contribute to the physical and psychological wellbeing of Quebecers and the second shutdown pushed many of them into bankruptcy.

#24 IMALWAYSRIGHT on 10.26.20 at 4:47 pm

Minister of Health Hajdu caught without a mask at airport.
Yes, we all have to do our part.

https://thepostmillennial.com/breaking-liberal-minister-of-health-busted

#25 Penny Henny on 10.26.20 at 4:48 pm

#10 Penny Henny on 10.26.20 at 3:57 pm
DELETED
?????????????

Deleted?
I have the link if you want it.
Very legit.

You tried to post this five times. Got the message? – Garth

#26 RMTL on 10.26.20 at 4:50 pm

And while fool buyers are jacking up home prices here, Italian town is auctioning off abandoned homes for €1…
https://www.cnn.com/travel/article/italian-town-salemi-auctioning-one-euro-homes/index.html

#27 Masks really do make some people more attractive on 10.26.20 at 4:51 pm

#3 Y on 10.26.20 at 3:33 pm
The picture: for your basic obedience prong collars aren’t required ,and if you must, make sure you learn to use them correctly. And trim the dog’s nails .

Biden win = clean tech ETF / socially responsible ETFs surge higher??

/////////

Bingo! That dog has overgrown claws and a prong collar because it doesn’t get enough exercise. A tired dog is a good dog.

#28 Bill on 10.26.20 at 4:52 pm

People in the states will do what they want. Irrelevant to blame Trump.
Just talked to fam in the Philippines. You better wear your gear when going to the market or else you may get a bullet from Duterte the dictator. We were going to head over to buy a winter home on the ocean there until CV hit.
Not happening now.

Country Healthcare Rank Population 2020
France 1 65,273,511
Italy 2 60,461,826
San Marino 3 33,931
Andorra 4 77,265
Malta 5 441,543
Singapore 6 5,850,342
Spain 7 46,754,778
Oman 8 5,106,626
Austria 9 9,006,398
Japan 10 126,476,461
Norway 11 5,421,241
Portugal 12 10,196,709
Monaco 13 39,242
Greece 14 10,423,054
Iceland 15 341,243
Luxembourg 16 625,978
Netherlands 17 17,134,872
United Kingdom 18 67,886,011
Ireland 19 4,937,786
Switzerland 20 8,654,622
Belgium 21 11,589,623
Colombia 22 50,882,891
Sweden 23 10,099,265
Cyprus 24 1,207,359
Germany 25 83,783,942
Saudi Arabia 26 34,813,871
United Arab Emirates 27 9,890,402
Israel 28 8,655,535
Morocco 29 36,910,560
Canada 30 37,742,154
Finland 31 5,540,720
Australia 32 25,499,884
Chile 33 19,116,201
Denmark 34 5,792,202
Dominica 35 71,986
Costa Rica 36 5,094,118
United States 37 331,002,651
Slovenia 38 2,078,938
Cuba 39 11,326,616
Brunei 40 437,479
New Zealand 41 4,822,233
Bahrain 42 1,701,575
Croatia 43 4,105,267
Qatar 44 2,881,053
Kuwait 45 4,270,571
Barbados 46 287,375
Thailand 47 69,799,978
Czech Republic 48 10,708,981
Malaysia 49 32,365,999
Poland 50 37,846,611

#29 TurnerNation on 10.26.20 at 4:54 pm

^ Quick scan of the “news” confirms what I’ve been saying. Children are the target.

……….
https://montrealgazette.com/opinion/columnists/allison-hanes-home-schooled-kids-left-more-isolated-than-ever
“The mental health of children and teens is the laudable reason keeping schools open has been a priority for Quebec — and keeping the schools open is one of the primary justifications for stricter public health regulations. Ironically, the well-being of home-schooled kids is needlessly being sacrificed for this same end.”

……..
ALL laid out here previously, the plan for the children:

#142 TurnerNation on 08.11.20 at 9:26 am
#68 TRUMP2020 of course buddy, of course. Children are the target here, get them into the New System asap.
Online zombies. Those #s on the telescreen will be used to re-make the world. Step by step.


#37 TurnerNation on 07.26.20 at 3:34 pm
Children’s playgrounds must remain fenced off as danger zones. Sports, clubs and scouts, birthday parties are banned. No school recitals either.
The screen will be their life. Big global ruling tech corps like Google classroom will use the most advanced psychological training and control techniques. Children will be raised by the new technology global state.
My First Amazon account.

#60 TurnerNation on 06.10.20 at 8:45 am
Guess what there’s a solution and plan for that. As we know the handful of large tech companies and A.I. rule the world now. Apps like Google Classroom mean the kid will be at home, isolated from other kids, plugged into State propaganda teaching.

#86 TurnerNation on 05.22.20 at 3:41 pm
Life is online now, the big tech companies running our world will control what goes into our minds, especially those of kids (Google Classroom). Playdates and birthday parties for children? Also banned. Too dangerous.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cultural_Revolution#Transition_period

#144 TurnerNation on 07.01.20 at 9:53 am
Parents will work from home and #stayhome.
Kids will be educated by the New World Order tech companies, schools already adopted Google Classroom.

…..

And of course you only get CV while doing fun stuff. Shut down the old system and fun is the goal.

https://montrealgazette.com/news/local-news/covid-19-events-at-st-hyacinthe-billiard-hall-helped-spread-virus

#30 Coho on 10.26.20 at 4:54 pm

As with everything else, the virus has become political and blame for it pointed in all directions. How can self-serving political parties be expected to do the right thing when all they care about is taking and keeping power. Average people running to be elected as public servants has given way to rogue factions behaving in calculating ways to empower themselves. It is all about them.

America has become a flipping clown show exposing the gross level of self-serving interests of each party. Yet, people fly their respective flags cheering on “their man” despite his flaws however allegedly severe. But, what are they to do when given a choice of bad and worse?

The elephant in the room is China (rather the CCP + the Deep State in America working together) as it has become increasingly influential across many nations. Is this a good influence? Again we’re hearing the booga booga about Russia and that Americans should be very wary about Russian influence. But, what about China? Is not the CCP a totalitarian regime?

It appears that despite his faults and abrasiveness, T has attempted to strengthen the USA whereas since Reagan the USA was under a managed decline until it became a shell of its former self. But, to what end? It feels like an inevitable shooting war confrontation with China. Many other countries will be dragged into it, each aligning with its faction as there will be no place for neutrality. The bigger picture is which of the main factions will be victorious and run the coming One World Government.

I visit the states often (not since covid) and in Colorado over the past few years, construction has been booming and help wanted, now hiring signs were everywhere including fast food outlets advertising good benefits and starting wages of $14 and $15 per hour. This wasn’t the case in years prior.

The same thing is playing out as in 2016. T is attracting crowds and HRC wasn’t. Few were excited about her and few are about Biden. There are however T haters that are very vocal. So it again appears to be a matter of T haters versus T supporters will be a big factor in deciding the election. Either way, does it not feel that we’ll all be in a world of hurt after November 3rd? Something is in the air.

#31 Dennis on 10.26.20 at 5:01 pm

I am kinda surprise, but not so surprise that it is all pro-trump in the comment session.

The employed people have not yet arrived. – Garth

#32 Unleaded paint on 10.26.20 at 5:02 pm

Hey Lead Paint, Wealthsimple may be a good option for the person in question. They are currently giving a $50 bonus for start up accounts of $500 or more to sweeten the pot (with the stipulation you don’t withdraw within 6 months). Cheers

#33 dogwhistle on 10.26.20 at 5:03 pm

#11 Penny Henny on 10.26.20 at 4:00 pm
Biden might lock down the economy for a while to eradicate the virus. Ouch.
/////////////

There is no eradicating the virus.

————————————————–

New Zealand, Cayman, Singapore, Taiwan and others might disagree.

Facts, instead of opinions.

#34 Dolce Vita on 10.26.20 at 5:03 pm

Poor America.

It won’t matter who wins there as long as they keep shoving money down people’s throats no one will care [like Canada] save the extreme left or right, both minority voices with big mouths.

——————————

Quasi and Real VIRUS PORN

1. Der Spiegel 2020 pumpkin carving (not exactly kid friendly but then again, that may well be the point):

https://i.imgur.com/nON26ql.png

2. Mask Deniers in dutiful Deutschland? Maybe. Maybe not. Freikörperkultur want topless to be topless.

First an explanatory article by Public Broadcaster DW for all you MRS. GRUNDYS (they also do this on Italian beaches):

https://www.dw.com/en/where-to-get-naked-in-germany/a-19153265

OK, now you can read this…

https://www.bild.de/bild-plus/regional/frankfurt/frankfurt-aktuell/frankfurt-darum-mussten-corona-leugner-keine-masken-tragen-73607592.bild.html

3. A NEW TYPE OF TERRORIST in America, 460 of them:

https://www.btimesonline.com/articles/141145/20201026/delta-air-lines-adds-460-anti-mask-customers-to-no-fly-list.htm#:~:text=America's%20Delta%20Air%20Lines%2C%20Inc,mandatory%20mask%20policy%20for%20flights.

#35 not 1st on 10.26.20 at 5:04 pm

#14 Faron on 10.26.20 at 4:22 pm

The US case fatality rate is half of what Canadas is, but hey facts you know.

Trudeau, Legault and Ford had a 3 month warning of a 2nd wave. Europes cases are rising just as fast as the US. I dont ever hear anyone criticize the responses from those people, its always Trump. So if Trudeau bears no blame, then neither does Trump. Anyone can see the bias as clear as day.

What would you propose Trump actually do to stop a virus? Masks? 85% of new of the newly infected reported they were wearing masks all the time.

Nothing we have done has made a difference but I can tell you for certain, if another country wide lockdown occurs, might as well stay in the basement for good after that because covid will be the least of our concerns.

This statement: “85% of new of the newly infected reported they were wearing masks all the time,” has been proven bogus. Get your news from a credible source. – Garth

#36 Thomas on 10.26.20 at 5:10 pm

What if Trump wins again and 10% of the US population (inluding undocumented aliens) decides to emigrate to Canada, in protest of this election result?

#37 dogwhistle on 10.26.20 at 5:11 pm

#17 Lead Paint on 10.26.20 at 4:29 pm
Blog Dogs! A young woman (19) has asked me where/how she can invest $500 for the long haul.

Any good roboadvisers with a balanced portfolio and low fees you can recommend?

——————————————————
I’d recommend:

Wealthsimple.com

Well balanced between ETF’s and bonds.
The ’roundup’ feature which saves aside some money on every debit transaction, can also do a monthly wire of just $25.

This blog:

https://www.savvynewcanadians.com/

(not mine)

has a full review and gives $10000 managed for free during the first year.

Wealthsimple is set and forget which is fine if you’re 19 and without a trust fund.

Hope this helps.

#38 yorkville renter on 10.26.20 at 5:14 pm

Biden’s lead is well past the margin of error. Trump will win if the GOP’s voter suppression tactics win.

The GOP is a dying party… devoid of ideas… and losing elections by millions of votes

#39 Doug t on 10.26.20 at 5:17 pm

The States will get what they deserve either way – can’t fix what has been broken from the core. Humans running the world is becoming so yesterday – AI will be in control just in time for your grandchildren to become slaves to a new machine (smart phones were the teaser drug).

#40 Employed person on 10.26.20 at 5:24 pm

Employed person here! Respectfully, I disagree with your prediction, Garth. I think we’ll see a Trump landslide with the Democrats refusing to acknowledge the win and trying funny business in the courts. Democrats always seem to be guilty of exactly what they accuse the other side of, and right now they’re accusing Trump of refusing to accept results of the election. That’s my prediction, at least! I’m cheering for Trump!

I made no prediction. The polls did. – Garth

#41 Penny Henny on 10.26.20 at 5:30 pm

#33 dogwhistle on 10.26.20 at 5:03 pm
#11 Penny Henny on 10.26.20 at 4:00 pm
Biden might lock down the economy for a while to eradicate the virus. Ouch.
/////////////

There is no eradicating the virus.

————————————————–

New Zealand, Cayman, Singapore, Taiwan and others might disagree.

Facts, instead of opinions.
////////////////

Do you honestly think for even a second that the US of A would accept a shutdown the likes of New Zealand?

#42 justdeleteitifyoudontlikeit on 10.26.20 at 5:32 pm

So what if Biden takes the College but Republicans hold the senate? Oh yeah, deficits are suddenly going to matter again…

#43 Dolce Vita on 10.26.20 at 5:35 pm

#14 Faron

Good comparison using per capita, agree.

“…blaming all 225k US deaths on Trump is unfair. But, knowing what he knew and in continually claiming he took early action…”

On the “took early action” Canada not exactly the Poster Child for Preparedness either, March 5:

https://i.imgur.com/2czbpgB.jpg

…and twelve days later, March 17:

https://i.imgur.com/KB3igks.png

And, we all know how that went.

And Contact Tracing in ON and PQ is supposedly near non-existent. THEY never learn.

———————

N. America sat there fat, dumb and happy watching Italia implode while it was trying to WARN for AT LEAST A MONTH thinking somehow they would be passed over by COVID-19 since they were superior…SMUG is more like it.

[the “implosion” was at Brescia ONLY the MSM’s darling of death, the rest of Italia was fine for ICU capacity – Italia trying to warn, fell on deaf ears save the Germans that reacted in less than 2 weeks after the onset in Brescia – Brescia story broken by UK’s Channel 4…no less smug than the N. Americans and that went well in the UK later on too – no ICU death and damnation ward stories from them for the UK]

#44 NSNG on 10.26.20 at 5:39 pm

#17 Lead Paint on 10.26.20 at 4:29 pm

Blog Dogs! A young woman (19) has asked me where/how she can invest $500 for the long haul.

Any good roboadvisers with a balanced portfolio and low fees you can recommend?

===================================

19 you say?

Probably her best investment would be to take me out to dinner.

#45 Reximus on 10.26.20 at 5:42 pm

Trump cant win without Pennsylvania, even if he gets Florida and Ohio.

#46 Love_The_Cottage on 10.26.20 at 5:43 pm

#33 dogwhistle on 10.26.20 at 5:03 pm
#11 Penny Henny on 10.26.20 at 4:00 pm
Biden might lock down the economy for a while to eradicate the virus. Ouch.
/////////////

There is no eradicating the virus.

————————————————–
New Zealand, Cayman, Singapore, Taiwan and others might disagree.
Facts, instead of opinions.
____________
e·rad·i·cate, verb
to destroy completely; put an end to.

Clearly those countries have contained it, not eradicated the disease. Definitions are important. Jeez.

#47 don on 10.26.20 at 5:45 pm

#33 Dogwhistle Delay is not eradication

#48 KNOW IT ALL on 10.26.20 at 5:47 pm

AMERICA is pooched either way.

TRUMP can’t answer a question straight….

and BIDEN can’t stand straight to answer a question.

300 million Americans and that’s all they could come up with?

POOCHED!!

#49 Dolce Vita on 10.26.20 at 5:48 pm

I agree Garth, in effect you are saying that as long as the Gov money spigots are in full flow, the Market will be happy.

And to investors, that’s what matters most in a World were deposit or guaranteed account rates are worthless.

Still, I feel sorry for America.

Many on Twitter saying they will vote for the “least worst” candidate. That is sad for a great democracy.

Even the extreme US Left and Right on Twitter are quiet these days. Not much to say. I suppose they are thinking the same as the majority: “least worst”.

What happened to their Roosevelts, Kennedys and Obamas, where have they gone to?

Oh where, oh where?

#50 AM in MN on 10.26.20 at 5:51 pm

I’m still betting on Trump to pull it out. I just know too many people who have to quiet about it but are/have voted for him.

If Biden wins, there will some settling of the markets, but the long term trend is down. The indexes will go up as the money printing gets heavier, but that sugar high doesn’t last.

The biggest loss will be the sense of loss for so many in the hardworking and productive class, the “unprotected” class as Peggy Noonan once put it, that the fix is in, and that from top to bottom of every elite part of US society corruption wins, just like in the 3rd world.

How will this effect the small and medium size private sector business class with regard to investment and hiring? I know many who will be looking to cash out soon, with almost no one looking to expand unless it’s a business line subsidized by the govt.

Longer term there will be mood changes that are hard to tell yet what effect they have, but they won’t be good. When the unprotected class sees that the fix is in with regard to the legal system, regulatory state, tax system, media, academia, cultural elites…all working against you, who would invest for the future? Time to retrench and hunker down and see what happens.

If this happens, the money printing party has to come to an end sooner rather than later, and when it does…. well just model most people’s finances with mortgage rates at 8% or more. The stress will be difficult, and the people that normal provide what we consider civic society will have taken a back seat as the government fills the void and the western world (because all will be affected) will start to look a lot more like the 3rd world.

Sorry to paint such a gloomy picture of a Dem sweep, but I talk to a lot of people in the private sector.

#51 crowdedelevatorfartz on 10.26.20 at 5:51 pm

@#31 Dennis
“I am kinda surprise, but not so surprise that it is all pro-trump in the comment session.

The employed people have not yet arrived. – Garth

++++

Trump is going down like a baby hippo in a Nile Croc pool….
Ahhahahahahaha.

#52 Yukon Elvis on 10.26.20 at 5:55 pm

#36 Thomas on 10.26.20 at 5:10 pm
What if Trump wins again and 10% of the US population (inluding undocumented aliens) decides to emigrate to Canada, in protest of this election result?
……………………..

No problem. We put them up in hotels and give them UBI. They will all be new Liberal voters. Next…..

#53 Oakville sucks on 10.26.20 at 5:55 pm

Trump will win with a bigger margin than 4 years ago. Saw some real polling that MSM likes to suppress. It will be Huge!

#54 Reality is stark on 10.26.20 at 5:56 pm

So Joe Biden wins and decides not to purchase our oil.
Who cares?
That won’t affect us.
Who cares if Alberta has a 30% unemployment rate for 2021?
Their public sector health workers deserve a 25% raise anyway what with Covid and all.
It doesn’t make sense that this would have any impact on the Canadian dollar whatsoever.
What do you care if the Canadian dollar hits 55 cents, that won’t impact you, you can’t travel anyway.
Unemployment rates are irrelevant to an economy.
That is your economic lesson for today.
Signed none other than MF, our resident genius.
Why would markets fall, that makes no sense?

#55 Happy Prairie Guy on 10.26.20 at 5:58 pm

Polls? The MSM are obviously pro Biden, have been raging against Trump since he became POTUS. They hire pollsters to tell them what they want to hear. Do you think a news outlet would accept a poll saying Trump was in the lead? No they’d just fire that pollster and get another who will give them the results they want. Never mind the fact that the polls are heavily Democrat sampled.

Federal control of the pandemic in Canada was brought up. What can the feds do really? Health care is provincial responsibility. Our own premier today says quote: “Thoughtful Manitobans are making sacrifices, tough sacrifices…while other people are doing dumb things, and those dumb things are endangering all of us.” unquote.

Yes it’s people gathering in large groups, people not masking up, etc. leading to Winnipeg being worse per population for covid cases than Toronto. Things are even worse in the US not because of what Trump has done or not done but because Americans are more independent than Canadians and don’t want to social distance or wear masks. what can any government really do when their people don’t take their advise.

#56 Ken Wu on 10.26.20 at 6:00 pm

This blog did make a prediction, that the US economy would “erupt” as soon as COVID is over.
#Timestamped

#57 dogwhistle on 10.26.20 at 6:02 pm

#41 Penny Henny on 10.26.20 at 5:30 pm
#33 dogwhistle on 10.26.20 at 5:03 pm
#11 Penny Henny on 10.26.20 at 4:00 pm
Biden might lock down the economy for a while to eradicate the virus. Ouch.
/////////////

There is no eradicating the virus.

————————————————–

New Zealand, Cayman, Singapore, Taiwan and others might disagree.

Facts, instead of opinions.
////////////////

Do you honestly think for even a second that the US of A would accept a shutdown the likes of New Zealand?

———————————–

I’m enlightened enough to know that the US doesn’t care what I think, or do not think.

We do not choose what happens to us, we choose how we react to it.

#58 TurnerNation on 10.26.20 at 6:06 pm

For our health Comrades.
I was talking with someone yesterday and threw this out there: That they do not care about your health. Or my health.
The person agreed with me at once…

https://www.orangeville.com/news-story/10230632-ontario-shut-down-non-urgent-health-services-in-the-spring-now-hospitals-are-seeing-many-more-patients-with-advanced-cancers/

Cancer surgeons in Ontario are reporting a sharp rise in the number of people coming to hospital with advanced cancers, an unintended consequence of the sudden shutdown of non-urgent health-care services during the spring wave of COVID-19.

#59 dogwhistle on 10.26.20 at 6:07 pm

#46 Love_The_Cottage on 10.26.20 at 5:43 pm

____________
e·rad·i·cate, verb
to destroy completely; put an end to.

Clearly those countries have contained it, not eradicated the disease. Definitions are important. Jeez.

——————————————————–

https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/10/07/921171807/new-zealand-declares-victory-over-coronavirus-again-lifts-auckland-restrictions

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/07/world/australia/new-zealand-coronavirus.html

I know it’s all ‘fake news’ and not Q-anon. Lol

#60 Bert Andrews on 10.26.20 at 6:08 pm

#36 Thomas on 10.26.20 at 5:10 pm
What if Trump wins again and 10% of the US population (inluding undocumented aliens) decides to emigrate to Canada, in protest of this election result?
/********************************/

They never do.
Especially after looking at the lower incomes, higher tax rates and stupid house prices.

Weird how none of them threaten to go to Mexico either.

Florida, a must-win , is a lock for Trump right now – complete early in person voting blowout.
Dems had a required 720k lead in combined mail-in and early voting. Indications they already 350k off target. Betting market odds have swung sharply in the key swing states.

#61 dogwhistle on 10.26.20 at 6:09 pm

#44 NSNG on 10.26.20 at 5:39 pm

19 you say?

Probably her best investment would be to take me out to dinner.

————————————————–

According to ‘viking’ yesterday she would then be taking you to the cleaners…

#62 Dennis on 10.26.20 at 6:11 pm

The employed people have not yet arrived. – Garth

If your intention is to paint trump supporters as unemployed and lowly educated, you may be in for a surprise as well.

No. Merely humourless. – Garth

#63 Paul on 10.26.20 at 6:13 pm

“ This statement: “85% of new of the newly infected reported they were wearing masks all the time,” has been proven bogus. Get your news from a credible source. – Garth”

CDC own report over “…70 percent of the case-patients were contaminated with the virus and fell ill despite “always” wearing a mask.“

https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/pdfs/mm6936a5-H.pdf

While we are on the case of blaming trump for the infections another scientist ripping parts the whole testing system where the huge CT values lead to 95% bogus results where people are classed as infection but aren’t.
https://mobile.twitter.com/Kevin_McKernan/status/1320536482298384390

#64 Figmund Sreud on 10.26.20 at 6:16 pm

Trump is toast.
_____________________

Message to Americans:

Things you will eliminate by getting rid of Trump: … Trump

Anyway, … I, personally, would never vote for neither, Trump or Biden. Both candidates are easily among the worst Americans have ever had to choose from (and I have been keenly following American presidential elections since 1964 presidential campaign) yet Trump is openly taking you far down the road to a neo-fascist dictatorship at quite a fast pace. And Biden? … Biden will do the very same, … but at a bit slower pace. More stealthily, … which – just perhaps – will give you the opportunity to slow him down further. Good luck, …

Summa summarum, therefore:

Nothing will fundamentally change!

Best,

F.S. – Calgary, Alberta, Canada.

#65 Ken on 10.26.20 at 6:23 pm

FARON #14
Garth is laudably open to allowing many points of view if you are playing with generally or even loosely agreed upon facts, keep it clean, and aren’t a total jerk to fellow posters or to public servants who deserve a modicum of respect and orderliness through tents of basic civility. I’ve been deleted for disrespecting Trudeau, disrespecting others, and disrespecting Garth. Never when facts are stated that are contrary to the tone of the blog. Is he a perfect judge? No. Nobody is. But by posting here you agree to his guidelines that are open and fair. You should know them by now.
………………………………………..
I agree!
Which is why I am appalled when people try to falsely accuse Trudeau of improprieties all these years. He has shown leadership in Canada with coronavirus, and helping Canadians with money to sustain their means. If only he could lead America in these trying times. Trudeau has done a lot for Canada and doesn’t get the respect he deserves. Trump is a total fool and he won’t win the election, Garth is right on that front too.

#66 CalgaryCarGuy on 10.26.20 at 6:26 pm

The U.S. has historically been very anti communist and anti socialist. I believe there is a mostly silent majority in the U.S. who are still that way. They will all come out to vote Trump to stop the very vocal left. It will be a surprise to many but it will be much like last time. Another Trump win will be great for Alberta as well. So, yeah, Trump all the way.

#67 Brian Ripley on 10.26.20 at 6:27 pm

“In a CNN interview on Sunday, White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows stated bluntly: “We’re not going to control the pandemic.”

A newly released model by the University of Washington finds that, at the current trajectory, the number of deaths will accelerate to more than 2,000 a day by December. Before the end of the winter, more than half a million Americans could die from the coronavirus.”

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/10/26/we-finally-know-trump-administrations-pandemic-strategy-surrender/

#68 SomeDude on 10.26.20 at 6:30 pm

I think Trump will win. Just go and look at a Biden rally. An old uncharismatic man yelling in an empty parking lot with about 5 car horns every now and then.

Contrast it to a Trump rally. The people are still turning out. Once again the media is blind to their own bias.

#69 Trojan House on 10.26.20 at 6:31 pm

“This statement: “85% of new of the newly infected reported they were wearing masks all the time,” has been proven bogus. Get your news from a credible source. – Garth”

I was looking at different city’s stats and Ottawa’s Covid Dashboard has information saying that 98% of people polled wear masks in indoor public spaces and 93% practice physical distancing with people outside of their social circle in the past 7 days. Unless all these people are lying, which I suppose could be the case but it seems that people are following the rules.

https://www.ottawapublichealth.ca/en/reports-research-and-statistics/daily-covid19-dashboard.aspx

#70 bdwy sktrn on 10.26.20 at 6:33 pm

trump pays 2.63 to 1 at bc playnow govt betting site.

i got mine in today. easy win for trump, look at the supporters. media still not covering his huge crowds, just like last time.

easiest 1k i’ll ever make (i see his odds as far better than in 2016, but it was still easy money)

#71 Faron on 10.26.20 at 6:38 pm

#35 not 1st on 10.26.20 at 5:04 pm

#14 Faron on 10.26.20 at 4:22 pm

The US case fatality rate is half of what Canada[‘]s is, but hey facts you know.

As demonstrated in my numbers ’cause likewise, facts. Regardless, makes it even more egregious that they have managed to kill 3x (2.6x actually) more people and demonstrates that they were capable of delivering good care, but it needn’t have come to that. THEY SHOULDN’T HAVE BECOME INFECTED IN THE FIRST PLACE.

Trudeau… had a 3 month warning of a 2nd wave. Europe[‘]s cases are rising just as fast as the US. I don[‘]t ever hear anyone criticize the responses from those people, its always Trump. So if Trudeau bears no blame, then neither does Trump.

There’s some spinach caught in the teeth of your argument. Let me pick it out for you.

–Trudeau, in balancing assassinating the economy with COVID prevention, fell about middle of the pack in terms of effective response and outcome. Canada is no Iceland, but it’s also not a Brazil nor a USA at the moment. Blame is commensurate with (in)action. Trudeau toed the line and thus deserves a “good job” or a “fine”. Trump downplayed the whole thing, continues to do so, has lied about severity and continues to lie about progress and lo and behold the results are in line with other similarly run nations.

–Trump is the squeakiest wheel on the car who has a habit of both lying and claiming superlative performance (same same). Of course he gets the blame!

–Sure, Europe is in the pits now as are many nations. Winter is here, kids are +- back to school. There are more than single factors causing an upswing. One set is uncontrollable (human nature in the populace, seasonality, the vagaries of the virus’ change in time). The other set, the leadership, has some control and makes a huge difference. They aren’t European, but Isreal just completed a lockdown and crushed it, Spain is about to do so. France will follow soon likely. The UK as well. Trump will not lock down again and we will witness the result which will be a self-regulated/state regulated response with zero federal leadership.

–Europe and Canada managed to bring deaths down to almost zero during the summer by holding the spring lock downs long enough and keeping the populace vigilant. The US did neither at the Trumpian and republican level and the result is death far in excess of what was inevitable with a pandemic.

If you want a sober, conservative viewpoint on this, read NJ Governor Chris Christie’s op-ed in the WSJ. That shows 800 times more backbone than Trump has ever shown in his mewling supplication to his supporters and his own ego.

#72 Drinking on 10.26.20 at 6:39 pm

Nobody can control the virus, it is here to stay, record numbers infected each day due to testing. The reality is that a large percentage have it, some die (rest there souls) while most make it. We just need to take the precautions and learn to live with this man made virus.

Does not matter who wins the U.S. presidential election it will be a shit show either way! Hunker down and enjoy this time with your family if you can stand them!

Christ even dogs and cats are testing positive with this virus!! When I see birds drop dead in the neighborhood then I will start to worry!!

#73 Nonplused on 10.26.20 at 6:44 pm

That’s the funny thing about the world today, there are two different movies playing on the same screen and everyone is seeing the one that most appeals to their preconceived notions and nothing of the other one. Rasmussen Reports just released survey results that show Trump 48%, Biden 47%, Other 3% and Undecided at 2%, so Trump could even win the popular vote this time. But for every poll there is a counter poll and I think most of them are useless. They sure were last time. Nov. 7th will prove to be interesting indeed, I think nobody has any idea who wins at this point.

And who are these “Proud Boys”? They don’t make the news much.

#74 Dog's honest truth on 10.26.20 at 6:46 pm

#8 Linda on 10.26.20 at 3:49 pm

The complete lack of leadership from the WH regarding the ‘War on Covid-19’ in the USA can indeed be cited as one of the factors in the current death toll. Obviously no matter what was done people still would have sickened/died – but had the POTUS & crew worn masks, promoted social distancing etc. the eventual toll would likely have been far lower. Just saying.

______________________

As opposed to your wonderful country …where cases spike higher than ever despite mandatory mask laws having been in place for months.

Your hatred for the #orange man is palpable …just saying.

#75 Brian Ripley on 10.26.20 at 6:47 pm

Weird and not-so-weird possibilities
The chances that these situations will crop up
SOURCE: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/

Trump wins the popular vote
Regardless of whether he wins the Electoral College
4 in 100

Biden wins the popular vote
Regardless of whether he wins the Electoral College
96 in 100

Trump wins more than 50% of the popular vote
Regardless of whether he wins the Electoral College
2 in 100

Biden wins more than 50% of the popular vote
Regardless of whether he wins the Electoral College
94 in 100

Trump wins in a landslide
Defined as winning the popular vote by a double-digit margin
<1 in 100

Biden wins in a landslide
Defined as winning the popular vote by a double-digit margin
31 in 100

Trump wins the popular vote but loses the Electoral College
<1 in 100

Biden wins the popular vote but loses the Electoral College
9 in 100

No one wins the Electoral College
No candidate gets 270 electoral votes and Congress decides the election
<1 in 100

Trump wins at least one state that Clinton won in 2016
24 in 100

Biden wins at least one state that Trump won in 2016
97 in 100

The map stays exactly the same as it was in 2016
Each candidate wins exactly the same states that his party won in 2016
<1 in 100

The election hinges on a recount
Candidates are within half a percentage point in one or more decisive states
5 in 100

#76 Dolce Vita on 10.26.20 at 6:53 pm

#41 Penny Henny

“New Zealand, Cayman, Singapore, Taiwan and others might disagree.”

1. They are islands. Not exactly difficult to isolate.

None of them make the top visited countries list in the World, that would be:

France
USA
Spain
China
Italy

All in the 52 to 83 million range per year according to the World Bank. New Zealand, Cayman, Singapore, Taiwan are not even close if the game were horseshoes.

Though I question the numbers since Venezia, AN ISLAND of islands, can easily track International Travelers and the City of Venezia keeps close tabs on that number. Pre-COVID they calculated [2019]:

30 Million per year.

Though Google [CNN Travel] claims Tokyo at 10.4 million…Americani…

Anyone who has been to Europe can attest there is literally a CRUSH of tourists in Venezia not seen in even Paris [1/4 area of Venezia], London [3.8X area of Venezia], etc.

———————-

COVID had to TRAVEL to get to some of ITS FAVORITE destinations.

The above Top 5 List tells the story, of what ITS favorite destinations are (decidedly NOT New Zealand, Cayman, Singapore, Taiwan).

Agree or disagree they are self isolating islands ‘out of the way for COVID’s international travel plans, self evident.

#77 SeeB on 10.26.20 at 6:53 pm

#12 TurnerNation on 10.26.20 at 4:07 pm

“Trump seems inclined to let it rip through an open society. Many more would die.”
But if they are wearing masks they will not get sick?
It’s just that simple no? Easy peasy and you’ll never get sick again. Human bodies are so simple, that piece of cloth alone assures upper body health.
We were told that wearing masks ‘allows us to re-open the economy’. Take what our rulers tell us and flip it around 180 degrees…yup they’re still closing the economy.

———————————————————–

People have to voluntarily wear the masks for the open strategy to work. Even masks are not perfect, as people will still get sick, as they did in lock-down scenarios, but it should have a positive effect on the infection/death rate. Making some effort is far better than doing nothing and ignoring it. There is tonnes of data and information regarding the effectiveness of different kinds of masks, so being uninformed about it at this point is just willful ignorance.

https://www.lhsfna.org/index.cfm/lifelines/may-2020/how-effective-are-masks-and-other-facial-coverings-at-stopping-coronavirus/

https://www.news5cleveland.com/news/continuing-coverage/coronavirus/new-study-shows-effectiveness-of-different-types-of-masks

https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/health/conditions-and-diseases/coronavirus/coronavirus-face-masks-what-you-need-to-know

No one with half a brain was promoting masks as a silver bullet to prevent all illness, and trying to suggest that any sane person might believe that is disingenuous at best – flat out lies at worst. It is a crappy compromise to get people back to work – that’s all.

But we are in a situation where a sufficient proportion of the public believes masks are the new symbol of slavery, so we can never trust them to comply to the guidelines that will allow the rest of the country to get on with life in a timely and effective manner.

#78 Alex on 10.26.20 at 6:54 pm

“Since the first presidential debate another 25,000 Americans have died. The world’s most advanced country, with the best health care, has suffered the greatest death toll and infection rate.”
It would be fair to said that the US statistic you stated is based on PCR test that can be + for many different reasons, as per the CDC and that the Infection fatality rate is 24 times lower than originally claimed by the WHO (as per WHO).
“The best healthcare” compared to what?
CDC 2019-Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) PCR Diagnostic Panel (July 13, 2020)
https://www.fda.gov/media/134922/download
Page 2:
“Positive results are indicative of active infection with 2019-nCoV but do not rule out bacterial infection
or co-infection with other viruses. The agent detected may not be the definite cause of disease.
Laboratories within the United States and its territories are required to report all positive results to the
appropriate public health authorities”.
Page 38
• “Detection of viral RNA may not indicate the presence of infectious virus or that 2019-nCoV is the
causative agent for clinical symptoms”.
• “This test cannot rule out diseases caused by other bacterial or viral pathogens”.
Page 39
“Since no quantified virus isolates of the 2019-nCoV are currently available…”

WHO (October 5, 2020) – infection fatality rate (IFR)
“Our current best estimates tell us that about ten percent of the global population may have been
infected by this virus.”
Source (click on the link, then click “Session 1” and skip to 1:01:33 to hear the exact quote):

https://www.who.int/news-room/events/detail/2020/10/05/default-calendar/executive-board-special-
session-on-the-covid19-response

The global population is roughly 7.8 billion people, if 10% have been infected that is 780 million cases.
The global death toll currently attributed to Sars-Cov-2 infections is 1,061,539.
That’s an infection fatality rate (IFR) of roughly 0.14%. Right in line with seasonal flu and the predictions
of many experts from all around the world.
0.14% is over 24 times LOWER than the WHO’s “provisional figure” of 3.4% back in March. This figure
was used in the models which were used to justify lockdowns and other draconian policies.
In fact, given the over-reporting of alleged Covid deaths, the IFR is likely even lower than 0.14%, and
could show Covid to be much less dangerous than flu.

Bulletin of the World Health Organization (Published Oct 14, 2020) – Infection fatality rate of COVID-19
The end of conclusion (Page 1): “The inferred infection fatality rates tended to be much lower than
estimates made earlier in the pandemic”.

https://www.who.int/bulletin/online_first/BLT.20.265892.pdf

#79 Cow Man on 10.26.20 at 6:55 pm

# 14 Faron

Now please take your analytics and factor Quebec’s infections and deaths from Covid 19, and compare them to the United States’ infections and deaths from Covid 19. Will you be surprised, or just ignore the facts?

#80 Faron on 10.26.20 at 6:58 pm

#37 dogwhistle on 10.26.20 at 5:11 pm

#17 Lead Paint on 10.26.20 at 4:29 pm

I’ll second that w/re Wealthsimple in terms of ease of use and relatively low fees. They rebalance frequently and do so with fractional shares, so the allocation will be quite exact. May be useful for a small account. They did just switch a portion of the “fixed income” allocation to a gold fund which made me grumpy. I’m 65/35 with them and they have 2.5% in GLDM. Hrmph.

I used Virtualwealth but didn’t like their overexposure to USD denominated ETFs and their un-nuanced 33/33/33 equity split among CDN/US/World. Their fees are higher as well.

Qtrade offers lower fees for young clients and commission free trades of essential etfs (including asset allocation ETFS such as XBAL, XGRO and the like). Minimum commission free trade is $1000 though. If she wants to sign up for $50 autodeposit, she will get no admin fees. So, overall, could be paying only the MER on the ETFs. 0.18% for XBAL right now. Other downside is that additional funds aren’t cheap to invest until they reach $1000. For a young person that could mean substantial time out of the markets.

#81 Alex on 10.26.20 at 6:58 pm

DELETED

#82 Nonplused on 10.26.20 at 7:02 pm

#17 Lead Paint on 10.26.20 at 4:29 pm
Blog Dogs! A young woman (19) has asked me where/how she can invest $500 for the long haul.

—————————-

I’d suggest a Playstation 5. Or save it for school if she isn’t a gamer.

#83 Elon Fanboy on 10.26.20 at 7:03 pm

“One week before the US elections and many investors (despite Monday’s plop) have decided it’s over. She’s done. Trump is toast.”

The MSN polls are wrong, again.

Two twitter Pollsters who got it right in 2016 are ‘Political Polls’, and’ Trafalgar Group’.

They currently have Trump +2 in PA. Appears to be independents shifting towards towards Trump. Trump +5 in Texas.

Florida results are incredible. Historically Dem’s need to be at least 650K early votes up before election day to overcome the ED GOP votes. As of today they are at 339K votes….and dropping. Miami-Dade county which was something like +16 for Clinton in 2016 has turned Red!
Some fear that the GOP are canabalising their votes, i.e. voting early instead of on the day. We’ll find out soon enough. Many other FL counties had flipped Red.

North Carolina; Dem’s current lead has dropped to 10 points, which is where they were this time in 2016, and Trump still won the state by 173K votes. Trafalgar poll has Trump winning by nearly 3 points.

Georgia, GOP + 7 points.

WI – Rep’s have now returned more early ballots than Dem’s. Trafalgar polls has both candidates with a point of each other.

MI is neck and neck.

2 interesting trends……the Dem’s are lacking their traditional student vote….as many students are staying at home. Also black aren’t voting in the numbers expected. This is good for Trump, bad for the Dems’.

Expect MSN polls to tighten this week as they attempt to maintain some sort of respectability.

#84 FriedEggs on 10.26.20 at 7:04 pm

I agree with a few other commenters (#53, #68) – Trump is winning in a landslide but the controlled MSM will have you think otherwise. I’ve seen photos of Trump rallies compared to Biden and they are night and day with crowd attendance favouring Trump.

Therefore, Biden will win – Kamala gets in.

#85 Nonplused on 10.26.20 at 7:09 pm

#36 Thomas on 10.26.20 at 5:10 pm
What if Trump wins again and 10% of the US population (inluding undocumented aliens) decides to emigrate to Canada, in protest of this election result?

———————————-

They didn’t last time. It’s too cold here and the only places to go really are Toronto and Vancouver. Not even the celebrities who said they would leave actually did. You know where people are leaving? California.

#86 dogwhistle on 10.26.20 at 7:11 pm

#47 don on 10.26.20 at 5:45 pm

#33 Dogwhistle Delay is not eradication

——————————————–

That’s what I finally understood when she told me she was pregnant.

#87 not 1st on 10.26.20 at 7:13 pm

The debate over the virus and its response is moot at this point. Its just partisan sniping now. All can be blamed on Trump so lets just go with that. Seems to make a certain group feel better.

As someone who has spent a significant amount of time in the US, growing up, then for work and now for leisure, I can tell you that the average person on the street is more terrified of socialism, new green deal type policies and the take over by the radical left more than any virus. Nor do they like seeing the media and other groups trying to unfairly influence an election. And the vote on Nov 3 will reflect that.

I do appreciate the attempt at humor in post #65 though. Hilarious.

#88 Ponzius Pilatus on 10.26.20 at 7:14 pm

#51 crowdedelevatorfartz on 10.26.20 at 5:51 pm
@#31 Dennis
“I am kinda surprise, but not so surprise that it is all pro-trump in the comment session.

The employed people have not yet arrived. – Garth

++++

Trump is going down like a baby hippo in a Nile Croc pool….
Ahhahahahahaha.
———–
According to the time of your post, you must be still on the Ferry from Nanaimo to Vancouver.

#89 Y on 10.26.20 at 7:18 pm

So we had trouble finding workers for our farms and fruit picking but wait there’s a ton of unemployed on CERB. Why fill these positions with foreign workers. Is it an ego thing? We’ve all had shitty jobs. Where’s the motivation and desire with government assistance?
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
I believe in equal opportunities but not having equal outcomes. Some people think they deserve what other people have but don’t put the sacrifices into reaching those outcomes.
I’m a millenial who’s truly disturbed by this ‘woke’ entitled movement.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
It’s a table flip for you oldies (•‿•)

#90 Reximus on 10.26.20 at 7:22 pm

“Contrast it to a Trump rally. The people are still turning out. Once again the media is blind to their own bias.”

—–

Rallies dont get you votes, the chumps that attend are already trump voters

Fundraising for media spending is the only real way to motivate undecideds; and biden has 2:1 the cash to spend in battleground states, which means he raised 2:1 $$ vs trump

People give to campaings they intend to vote for.

#91 Faron on 10.26.20 at 7:23 pm

#63 Paul on 10.26.20 at 6:13 pm

Because facts:

–Your paper also shows that there was higher frequency of “always” mask wearers and lower frequency of “never” and “rarely” wearers among the non-infected.

—Furthermore, 42% of the infected had close interactions with a COVID patient while 14.5% of the non infected did.

–A full half of the infected who interacted with COVID patients interacted with family with COVID while only 20% of the noninfected did. Paul, you should know by now that masks are for the protection of others, not for the wearer.

–Finally, the only statistically significant increased risk came from bar/restaurant/coffee shop visits. You know, places where you have to take off your mask!

–W/re tests. So the rising number of hospitalizations are because…? The excess deaths are coming from…? Could you please fill in those blanks for us?

#92 Nonplused on 10.26.20 at 7:26 pm

#45 Reximus on 10.26.20 at 5:42 pm
Trump cant win without Pennsylvania, even if he gets Florida and Ohio.

—————————

True. But if anyone in Pennsylvania watched the second debate Trump will take Pennsylvania. Biden pretty much committed to cancelling Pennsylvania.

From what I know of the state, though, if I ever decide to bug out of Trudeau’s Canada I might head to Pennsylvania. You never hear of anything happening there in the news besides the odd Stanley Cup win. They have 1 more win than Alberta does.

#93 Tucker Carlson on 10.26.20 at 7:30 pm

817 new cases recorded in the province of BC, 3 new deaths.

Move over Ontario. Here comes BC.

I am sure lots of people are going to be getting out spending in no time on this news.

#94 Nonplused on 10.26.20 at 7:33 pm

#65 Ken on 10.26.20 at 6:23 pm

“I agree!
Which is why I am appalled when people try to falsely accuse Trudeau of improprieties all these years.”

You forgot to type “sarc/off” after.

#95 Ponzius Pilatus on 10.26.20 at 7:33 pm

American car manufacturers are running out of ideas.
GM is bringing back the HUMMER!
As an EV!
I guess they are hoping that there are enough dinosaurs in the States and in rural Canada that will buy this artifact.
I say, tax the crap out of this abdomination.

#96 Stone on 10.26.20 at 7:35 pm

#62 Dennis on 10.26.20 at 6:11 pm
The employed people have not yet arrived. – Garth

If your intention is to paint trump supporters as unemployed and lowly educated, you may be in for a surprise as well.

No. Merely humourless. – Garth

———

Well, I thought Garth was really funny with that comment.

Dennis, lighten up. It’s a free blog where we congregate for some fun and listen to Garth bring some the readership to frenzied ecstasy (see, I made a funny). Take the big pole out of your maskhole and swallow a chill pill. Or take a suppository if that makes you feel better (see, I made another funny).

Apparently, the Trump squad is constipated.

#97 Nonplused on 10.26.20 at 7:41 pm

Got it. So the wining 6-49 numbers this week are 4, 2, 1, 31, 9, 24. Thanks!

#98 Randy on 10.26.20 at 7:43 pm

Spoiler Alert…..Trump Landslide

#99 crowdedelevatorfartz on 10.26.20 at 7:46 pm

@#88 Ponzie’s Predictive Pandemonium
“According to the time of your post, you must be still on the Ferry from Nanaimo to Vancouver.”
++++

Sorry Ponz.
That was two weeks ago. Try and keep up.

As for ridiculous statements from tiny brained people…..how’s THIS…..for another nail in the Trump re-election coffin..?

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/10/26/jared-kushners-unhelpful-reminder-black-americans/

Jared Kushner…..
The “senior advisor” to the President…….

I truly hope after all is said and done. Mr Kushner and most from the “inner circle” are found guilty of crimes and misdemeanors and Jared gets to ‘splain himself to his new cellmate….

#100 Ponzius Pilatus on 10.26.20 at 7:48 pm

Even if Trump loses, he still has 76 days before he has to vacate the White House.
Lot of damage can be done during that time.
But, Pres. Harris would have done major renovation anyway.

#101 crowdedelevatorfartz on 10.26.20 at 7:50 pm

@#95 Ponzies Prattle
“I say, tax the crap out of this abdomination.”

+++++
Ponzie sed a funny!

I guess CRA would have to decipher what abomination you want taxed….

Abdominal abominations or Abominable abominations…….

#102 IRS tax avoider on 10.26.20 at 7:51 pm

Thanks for your blog.

There are many dualists in Canada such as myself who could vote but dont. For various reasons. If Biden gets in taxes will be to the hilt and oil is doomed. If Trump gets in more mismanagement. Both choices are bad. And neither candidate relates to normal people as both have millions. Secondly, due to Obama’s work, people such as myself should file a 1030 but dont because Im not receiving any united states services. Somehow Obama thought that people such as myself are criminals if we dont file. And by not voting the IRS has no idea if Im alive or dead, so problem solved, as I will not be visiting the USA(ever again) and I have no assets in the USA other than relatives.

The USA is doomed. From Covid, from too many people, and from no group cohesiveness. Ive been gone close to 20 years, so I have no idea how the country is. Certainly different than I remember it.

My wife and daughter plan on watching the election. I dont. It will be more bs, just like when Al Gore won and then Bush was placed in office. That ended up lovely. Bush didnt stop 9/11 and then committed war crimes in Iraq. And somehow the guy is not in prison.

Go Canada!

#103 Faron on 10.26.20 at 7:54 pm

#79 Cow Man on 10.26.20 at 6:55 pm

# 14 Faron


Under discussion is national policy and trumpian ineptitude. Obviously there will be regional variation. Still:

Quebec: 12,187 cases per million
Ontario: 5,379 cases per million

Quebec: 723 deaths per million
Ontario: 216 deaths per million

So, US fails 3 of the four metrics (albeit two of those are fare graver). Both provinces are on their way to flattening curves again. Quebec has an older population and had disastrous results in care homes (neither of those things are under federal control) and still just out-dies the US. And wasn’t Quebec the home of the largest anti-mask protests? Hmmmmm.

#104 Mark on 10.26.20 at 7:59 pm

What’s outlook for gold in these scenarios??

#105 jal on 10.26.20 at 7:59 pm

After #100 comments, here is what my bad crystal ball sees.

” Biden sweeps.”

What if Trump believes that there will be a “Biden sweeps”?
What will Trump do until he has to leave the building?

Trump has a temper, holds grudges, does payback for perceived insults.

Therefore,
1. Try to put a lock on all the changes that he has made.
2. Leave obstacles on the road for Biden.
3. Approve more spending than what the people/economy can absorb.
4. Do a 4yr. and $48 million inquest, impeachment called “China, China, China
5. etc

#106 not 1st on 10.26.20 at 7:59 pm

Faron, have you been to the US much? Canada is NOT, I repeat NOT, just a colder version of the US.

If you cant understand why covid spread faster and wider there than here, you dont know you own country or theirs. And just a tip, it had nothing to do with Trump. Zero.

#107 Faron on 10.26.20 at 8:00 pm

#99 crowdedelevatorfartz on 10.26.20 at 7:46 pm

If you “like” laughing at Jared’s racial politics gaff, you’ll love the lincoln project’s response to the Kushner/Trump lawsuit over Times Square billboards. Both cutting and well founded in law.

https://twitter.com/ProjectLincoln/status/1320150701947846656

#108 Simon Chalkland on 10.26.20 at 8:01 pm

Ha, “Trump could scuttle out of this campaign’s rubble like an unkillable beetle.” A study in restraint when clearly cockroach was your metafore of choice, good one! Best not rattle your base.

#109 tccontrarian on 10.26.20 at 8:01 pm

“One week before the US elections and many investors (despite Monday’s plop) have decided it’s over. She’s done. Trump is toast.”

“Or if the results are close on election night he could claim victory, opening a protracted legal quagmire. Maybe the Proud Boys will start a war in prime time…”

“Symbolic of that is Trump’s maskless bravado and now Pence’s insistence he keep campaigning when his closest aides are stricken. It’s the very definition of reckless.”

“Well, just to clarify; this blog is making no prediction.”

Maybe not, but you’re clearly not a fan of orange.

I like making predictions and heres’ what I anticipate on the election and the markets’ response:

1. If Trump wins, the radical element of the Left will incite riots and the US will go through a period of unrest – which could get very ugly.
There will definitely be a second (or even a 3rd) wave of Covid-19/20, and ALL of it will be Trump’s fault, of course.

2. If Biden wins, the Covid19 infection will subside (miraculously), and he will be hailed a ‘hero’.
Eventually, however, he will become ‘unfit’ to be president (for real or by design), and K. Harris will step in to take over the Presidency.

3. Either way, most Markets will suffer rapid losses for the next 2-4 months, as the economy has suffered irreparable damage and only the ‘free’ money has kept things together for a large swath of the population.

If we accept that it was ‘cheap money’ (and mounting debt levels) that fueled and inflated asset valuations in all markets (RE and Equity – remember, TINA?), then we must also accept that the reversal of such policies will bring in a prolonged period of asset price deflation.
One way or another, assets have to arrive at ‘fair-value’ again. It’s as certain as sunrise and sunset… until a supernova!

tcc

Cherry-picking sentence fragments was, I thought (incorrectly) beneath you. – Garth

#110 Bill on 10.26.20 at 8:03 pm

#90 Reximus on 10.26.20 at 7:22 pm
and biden has 2:1 the cash to spend in battleground states, which means he raised 2:1 $$ vs trump
——————————————
The big dough comes from the biggest crooks ie Wall St ect.
They bragged how much $ crooked Hilary had and therefore would blow Trump away….Look how that turned out. So that holds NO water.
The majority of voters for Trump don’t have the big bucks and they are pissed at the organized crime with career politicians.
It all started way back and the last meltdown 2008 and all the bailouts went to the rich bankers and friends.
We were in Arizona with our RV Feb and met lots of people.
Some cool Latino folks were huge Trump fans and attended a lot of his rally’s. They were in politics when they were younger and they had a very interesting take and a lot of knowledge. Most stuff on the tube is crap and that’s where Canadians get their intel.
Its getting interesting.

#111 Ronaldo on 10.26.20 at 8:06 pm

Remember this?

https://www.greaterfool.ca/2009/10/27/pandemic/

No social distancing or masks back then. How times have changed.

#112 Toronto_CA on 10.26.20 at 8:07 pm

#33 dogwhistle on 10.26.20 at 5:03 pm
#11 Penny Henny on 10.26.20 at 4:00 pm
Biden might lock down the economy for a while to eradicate the virus. Ouch.
/////////////

There is no eradicating the virus.

————————————————–

New Zealand, Cayman, Singapore, Taiwan and others might disagree.

Facts, instead of opinions.
_________________________

Lockdowns delay the spread, and maybe in small very isolated populations with strict quarantines and closed borders, you can, with limited testing, declare the virus not there and “eradicated” in your mind.

But as long as there is a pandemic, the virus can still get in. Go read Masque of the Red Death by Edgar Allen Poe.

Those countries you mention? They are Prince Prospero, holding court in his castle, sealed off from the plague outside. Until one day…

“And Darkness and Decay and the Covid-19 held illimitable dominion over all.”

Honestly, it’s a timeless allegory for trying to prevent the inevitable. And once the virus is in, like it is in most countries, you cannot stop it with a lockdown. You can only slow the spread with lockdowns. The virus will stop being an economic threat when we reach herd immunity, when a vaccine/cure is found, and/or when we stop running daily numbers of covid doom on the media and just get on with life.

Those countries that “eradicated” the virus may very well have to endure the pain of covid too, unless they’re prepared to wait an awful long time.

“Facts, instead of opinions” indeed.

#113 crowdedelevatorfartz on 10.26.20 at 8:14 pm

@#100 Ponzies Predictions

Even if Trump loses, he still has 76 days before he has to vacate the White House.”

+++
True enough.
However. I believe he has burnt so many bridges with every Washington Agency ( FBI, Pentagon, Homeland, CIA, on and on and on)
No matter how bizarre his request…..
I’m sure ALL of the top people will be vetting Trump’s bizzarro BS requests or demands through the President elect…..

@#107 Faron.

Excellent link!
Thanks !

#114 Flop... on 10.26.20 at 8:16 pm

So, in Wales you can buy booze, but not baby clothes at the moment.

Hard to decipher what is going on in the world.

Best I can tell, the shadowy elites are childless alcoholics…

M46BC

#115 crowdedelevatorfartz on 10.26.20 at 8:17 pm

@#104 Mark
“What’s outlook for gold in these scenarios??”

++++

Dont insert 2lbs of it up your “hoo hoo” , eat beans, and expect to clear Customs……

https://nypost.com/2020/10/16/plane-passenger-caught-smuggling-gold-in-rectum-to-avoid-taxes/

#116 Lorne on 10.26.20 at 8:27 pm

#77 SeeB on 10.26.20 at 6:53 pm
#12 TurnerNation on 10.26.20 at 4:07 pm

“Trump seems inclined to let it rip through an open society. Many more would die.”
But if they are wearing masks they will not get sick?
It’s just that simple no? Easy peasy and you’ll never get sick again. Human bodies are so simple, that piece of cloth alone assures upper body health.
We were told that wearing masks ‘allows us to re-open the economy’. Take what our rulers tell us and flip it around 180 degrees…yup they’re still closing the economy.

———————————————————–

People have to voluntarily wear the masks for the open strategy to work. Even masks are not perfect, as people will still get sick, as they did in lock-down scenarios, but it should have a positive effect on the infection/death rate. Making some effort is far better than doing nothing and ignoring it. There is tonnes of data and information regarding the effectiveness of different kinds of masks, so being uninformed about it at this point is just willful ignorance.

https://www.lhsfna.org/index.cfm/lifelines/may-2020/how-effective-are-masks-and-other-facial-coverings-at-stopping-coronavirus/

https://www.news5cleveland.com/news/continuing-coverage/coronavirus/new-study-shows-effectiveness-of-different-types-of-masks

https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/health/conditions-and-diseases/coronavirus/coronavirus-face-masks-what-you-need-to-know

No one with half a brain was promoting masks as a silver bullet to prevent all illness, and trying to suggest that any sane person might believe that is disingenuous at best – flat out lies at worst. It is a crappy compromise to get people back to work – that’s all.

But we are in a situation where a sufficient proportion of the public believes masks are the new symbol of slavery, so we can never trust them to comply to the guidelines that will allow the rest of the country to get on with life in a timely and effective manner.

……….
Masks: Might help, won’t hurt!

#117 Broader mind on 10.26.20 at 8:28 pm

#17 Lead Paint Suggest Botox or some other cosmetic surgery. Far better ROI than any simple wealth for a 19 year old. Sorry, couldn’t resist

#118 the Jaguar on 10.26.20 at 8:28 pm

Well, here I am. An ’employed person, showing up’. Because as Jordan Peterson once said: “That’s how our civilization works. There’s all these ruined people out there. They’ve got problems like you can’t believe. Off they go to work and do things they don’t even like. And look, the lights are on. My God, it’s unbelievable. It’s a miracle.”

All this angst and pearl clutching about who might be Prez next wednesday morning. Mercy. I’m going to stay out of it except to say that maybe the answer is as simple as that line from the Matrix movie…

“Morpheus offers Neo a choice: “You take the blue pill, the story ends, you wake up in your bed and believe whatever you want to believe. You take the red pill, you stay in Wonderland and I show you how deep the rabbit hole goes.”
Lord knows the Jaguar knows a thing or two about rabbit holes having run down a few over the decades. Enough said on that subject.

Instead of picking a winner I am just going to be contrary and provide a short list of some of my personal heroes. The list notable for the absence of either candidate for POTUS:
My mother and grandmother, Fidel Castro, Martin Luther King Jr., Muhammad Ali, Winston Churchill, Nigel Wright, Evan Siddall, Jean Chretien, Vladimir Putin, and Tara the Hero Cat.
The majority of these names might be familiar, but in case anyone has forgotten, here is Tara:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mkPrey1sRSI&list=PLvV7pscFCBjUZoH8QLcTep9sNj_v4l2fp

The anti Castro, anti Putin peeps on this blog should be advised in advance that I could give a rat’s ass what you think about either….

#119 Drinking on 10.26.20 at 8:33 pm

#109 tccontrarian

So what you are saying is basically what I said in my previous post, does not matter who wins it will be a shit show either way! Hunker down folks, be ready for anything, stay safe!

#120 dogwhistle on 10.26.20 at 8:35 pm

#103 Faron on 10.26.20 at 7:54 pm


Under discussion is national policy and trumpian ineptitude. Obviously there will be regional variation. Still:

Quebec: 12,187 cases per million
Ontario: 5,379 cases per million

Quebec: 723 deaths per million
Ontario: 216 deaths per million

So, US fails 3 of the four metrics (albeit two of those are fare graver). Both provinces are on their way to flattening curves again. Quebec has an older population and had disastrous results in care homes (neither of those things are under federal control) and still just out-dies the US. And wasn’t Quebec the home of the largest anti-mask protests? Hmmmmm.

———————————————–

I lived for one year in Quebec. About 364 days too long.
Thankfully I did not need to see a doctor once, I would still be waiting for one 6 years later.
Quebec is socialism and ‘nationalism’ at its best I hope we never elect a politician from Montreal. Oh…

#121 Ronaldo on 10.26.20 at 8:37 pm

It is very interesting to read what was being said back in October 2016 on this blog. People who knew Smoking Man may want to see what he had to say back then. His post #37. RIP Smoking man. You are missed.

https://www.greaterfool.ca/2016/10/14/the-future-2/

#122 NotAmerican on 10.26.20 at 8:40 pm

#102 IRS tax avoider on 10.26.20 at 7:51 pm

There are many dualists in Canada such as myself who could vote but dont. For various reasons…. due to Obama’s work, people such as myself should file a 1030 but dont because Im not receiving any united states services. Somehow Obama thought that people such as myself are criminals if we dont file. And by not voting the IRS has no idea if Im alive or dead, so problem solved, as I will not be visiting the USA(ever again) and I have no assets in the USA other than relatives.
——————————————

You meant 1040 not 1030, I think.

I’m also technically “American” but left the greatest country on earth with my Canadian only parents while I was still in diapers. I claim ignorance when asked by the nice lady at the bank where I was born. How can I remember, I was only 18 months old? The earliest place I remember living was Canada, so that is where I have decided I was born. :)

I had no idea I was supposed to be filing US tax returns and sending FOREIGN bank account reports for my LOCAL bank accounts to the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network every year. Not until Obama became president and FATCA. That was many years of my unknowingly evading US taxation and FINCEN reporting with respect to my Canadian only income and bank accounts. Not about to backtrack at this point.

Like yourself, I will not be voting in this US election for several reasons, one being this could affect my “not American” claim. Haven’t voted in any other US elections either.

#123 MF on 10.26.20 at 8:42 pm

#54 Reality is stark on 10.26.20 at 5:56 pm

“ Unemployment rates are irrelevant to an economy.
That is your economic lesson for today.
Signed none other than MF, our resident genius.
Why would markets fall, that makes no sense”

-Lol thanks for the shout out

Unemployment doesn’t matter? News to me.

MF

#124 crowdedelevatorfartz on 10.26.20 at 8:46 pm

Hmmmm.
Alarm bells ringing all over China today?

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-taiwan-arms/u-s-state-department-approves-2-37-billion-more-in-potential-arms-sales-to-taiwan-pentagon-idUSKBN27B2N3

#125 Bonobo on 10.26.20 at 8:49 pm

Joe “Dukakis” Biden is going to lose next week.

#126 The Totally Unbiased, Highly Intelligent, Rational Observer on 10.26.20 at 8:52 pm

Helpful Suggestions for Keeping the Blog Peace at Election Time

It is time for all the Blog Dogs here to start to prepare for the next inevitable great big YUGE Trump victory. Out of respect for the Blog host, preventative action needs to be taken, and soon.

Sadly, President Donald J. Trump’s resounding success will displease Garth and cause his countenance to fall, as Garth is on the wrong side of polls, election results, and history. This could conceivably lead to frustrated fits of DISAPPEARING, DELETING, and BANNING. It is understandable that some people hate democracy when they do not get their own way.

One possibility that the Blog Dogs here could try in order to prevent Garth from exploding is something I have heard about called “walking on eggshells.” I am not exactly sure how to do that, but apparently this is an old technique that supposedly works passably well for battered women who have abusive husbands that they do not want to enrage. It might be worth a try. Anything to try to keep the peace around here.

After Trump wins big yet again, it might be best not to mention it at all in the comments section of this Blog. Simply do not say anything about there having even been an election. Pretend that you know nothing about any election or the outcome thereof. Instead, talk about some trivia. Not weather trivia, either, since Garth seems to have fallen for the man-made climate hysteria too. Try to find some other trivia to discuss. Maybe knitting, which is not necessarily trivial but is pretty serious business in some circles.

Or, maybe there could simply be an “awkward silence” for a while — a long while — until Garth’s bad mood passes and he is able to resign himself to the thought of four more happy years of wonderful things for Uncle Sam under Uncle Donald.

#127 MF on 10.26.20 at 8:52 pm

Faron on fire lately. The Bo Jackson/Dion Sanders of the comments section!

-Flawless victory vs BillyBob a few days ago.
-4 game sweep versus not 1st recently
-walk off grand slam in extra innings versus AM to MN recently.

These are worthy opponents. Tough to debate. But Faron is killing it.

MF

#128 Orange Man....Orange on 10.26.20 at 8:52 pm

Trump landslide. Won’t even be close. Seriously. Not even close. There are more Trump fans showing up at Biden/Harris campaign events than Biden supporters.

The polls that were right last time show a Trump victory. The ones that were spectacularly wrong the last time are calling for Biden.

Polls aren’t what they used to be. Case in point: If you ask someone who they’re voting for they say Biden. But if you ask who they think will win, they say Trump.

Personally, I’m getting a kick out of all the Trump supporters suddenly pouring out into the streets in Hollywood. Cher must be booking her flight to Mars.

#129 Faron on 10.26.20 at 8:53 pm

#106 not 1st on 10.26.20 at 7:59 pm

Faron, have you been to the US much?

I am american and lived there for 26 of my 43 years.

Canadians have an overall better educated populace and firmer grasp on science and discourse with a smaller dispersion about that median. Your view of americans as socialist fearing freedom nuts is not supported by data, is outdated and probably arises from where you have spent time. I’m guessing northern Idaho or Alaska. JK. It’s not provable, but I would claim to have a clearer eyed view of my country than you..

#130 Re-Cowtown on 10.26.20 at 8:56 pm

#100 Ponzius Pilatus on 10.26.20 at 7:48 pm
Even if Trump loses, he still has 76 days before he has to vacate the White House.
Lot of damage can be done during that time.
But, Pres. Harris would have done major renovation anyway.

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Interesting comment. I kind of knew something was up. Biden seems pretty cocksure that he’s going to open up a big can of whup-ass on George Bush…Sr…

So it is Trump vs. Harris. I wonder how many people would vote for Harris knowing that?

#131 akashic record on 10.26.20 at 8:59 pm

Biden lost this when he was vice-president.

#132 OK, Doomer on 10.26.20 at 9:00 pm

Anyone curious about all the ads from the South Dakota Governor Republican Kristi Noem pitching tourism in South Dakota in the dead of winter????

Can someone say Kristi Noem for POTUS 2024???

#133 Canuck on 10.26.20 at 9:08 pm

I read on this very blog, that this wasn’t a blog on Trump. So much for that as Garth can’t help himself to some Trump bashing.
In my almost 6 decades of living, I can’t recall people voting for someone who wants to raise your taxes and wean you off of energy dependency… and can’t remember the name of the guy he’s running against. What could wrong??

#134 Figmund Sreud on 10.26.20 at 9:21 pm

Let’s just hope for one outcome above all. That somebody gets squished.
___________________________________

Well, … hope, yes! Still, considering possibility / probability of otherwise, FYI, here it is – link below – a report from past summer – June 2020, by the Transition Integrity Project folks.

These folks gathered to contemplate possible scenarios post-November 3. All the scenarios presented lead to a huge constitutional crisis (duh), … all premised on Trump’s refusal to concede his defeat at the polls, of course!

… the report:

Preventing a Disrupted Presidential Election and Transition
https://secureservercdn.net/192.169.223.13/lz3.b02.myftpupload.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Preventing_a_Disrupted_Presidential_Election_and_Transition_8-3-20.2.pdf

Best,

F.S.

#135 Drinking on 10.26.20 at 9:27 pm

Do not feel sorry for America, take a look at your own back yard, yes, I have family in Europe, mid January everything will shut down due to Christmas and New Years celebrations. Europe is a mess and North America is right behind it.

#136 Godlike on 10.26.20 at 9:49 pm

DELETED

#137 Apocalypse2020 on 10.26.20 at 9:50 pm

Understand what tonight in the senate means for the very tentative future of the USA’s internal political divide.

Another extreme right winger appointed to the supreme court. To undermine progress of the last century, say the opponents. Worth fighting against, at any cost.

Over 200 right wing judges appointed by Trump elsewhere, undermining trust in the entire legal system there.

https://www.npr.org/2020/07/02/886285772/trump-and-mcconnell-via-swath-of-judges-will-affect-u-s-law-for-decades

The Right and Left are both gearing up to fight, whatever the outcome of the election. Civil war and internal chaos. Both sides will view a loss in 9 days as justification for violence of any kind to defend their interests.

And Russia, Iran and China are rubbing their hands in glee, planning their first military moves in the weeks and months ahead.

All at the same time as a crushing third wave of the virus and new bugs coming on board. Plus economic and environmental calamity just down the road.

Those who survive will look back on 2020 as the ‘good ol’ days’.

That’s how bad it will get, fast. That’s what we are on the precipice of. The USA is in deep trouble. Trump may well win. End times are very near.

PREPARE

#138 Drinking on 10.26.20 at 9:55 pm

#135 Drinking

Referring to that Dolce Italian/Alberta guy!

Do not feel sorry for America, take a look at your own back yard, yes, I have family in Europe, mid January everything will shut down due to Christmas and New Years celebrations. Europe is a mess and North America is right behind it.

#139 fishman on 10.26.20 at 10:06 pm

One of the states big time pollsters came on TV. He said that if Trump wins this one our profession is toast. What a fantasy? Just like economysticism, everyone lies to the pollsters.

#140 cuke and tomato picker on 10.26.20 at 10:10 pm

I find it very difficult to BELIEVE that people actually believe that Trump will win.

#141 Steven Nicolle on 10.26.20 at 10:10 pm

https://link.medium.com/tgBm3uaGUab

If we want to keep businesses from closing live like we did in March. If not with everyone moving indoors this will get a lot worse.

#142 Bill on 10.26.20 at 10:11 pm

#113 crowdedelevatorfartz
However. I believe he has burnt so many bridges with every Washington Agency ( FBI, Pentagon, Homeland, CIA, on and on and on)
——————————————–
LOL
And they are all so pure.
CIA are huge drug runners. Very corrupted agencies.
That’s part of the swamp. Ask Edward in Russia.

#143 Apocalypse2020 on 10.26.20 at 10:13 pm

Hospitals are already reaching capacity in Canada and elsewhere in the world.

https://www.thestar.com/news/gta/2020/10/26/hospitals-full-as-cases-surge-in-provinces-hot-spots-these-3-charts-show-where-ontario-is-right-now-in-the-covid-19-battle.html

And the Second wave has barely started.

PREPARE

#144 Drinking on 10.26.20 at 10:18 pm

A big recognition to a wonderful human being.

Although a Flames fan, most of us in Alberta that follow hockey know about Joey! He was a true warrior for the Edmonton hockey and football franchises and was inducted Alberta Sports Hall and Fame for his accomplishments. He was born with down syndrome but one would never know it, especially his passion for signing Oh Canada! :)

Most important is that he was just a great guy, good friends with Gretz and fans adored him throughout Canada. RIP Joey!

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/edmonton/joey-moss-dead-alberta-sports-fall-of-fame-edmonton-oilers-1.5777933

#145 Ponzius Pilatus on 10.26.20 at 10:31 pm

#118 Jaguar
Instead of picking a winner I am just going to be contrary and provide a short list of some of my personal heroes. The list notable for the absence of either candidate for POTUS:
My mother and grandmother, Fidel Castro, Martin Luther King Jr., Muhammad Ali, Winston Churchill, Nigel Wright, Evan Siddall, Jean Chretien, Vladimir Putin, and Tara the Hero Cat.
The majority of these names might be familiar, but in case anyone has forgotten, here is Tara:
——————-
Quite a mixed bag.
Just wondering. why Churchill?

#146 Diamond Dog on 10.26.20 at 10:35 pm

#79 Cow Man on 10.26.20 at 6:55 pm
# 14 Faron

“Now please take your analytics and factor Quebec’s infections and deaths from Covid 19, and compare them to the United States’ infections and deaths from Covid 19. Will you be surprised, or just ignore the facts?” – Cow Man

I like playing with numbers, lets play. Quebec has 100,922 cases with 8.16 million people for a total cases per million pop of 12,368. Currently, the total cases per million pop in the U.S. is 27,013. Quebec has less than half of the cases per capita than the U.S. has right now.

The Quebec death rate is 6,153 deaths out of 100,922 cases for a 6.1 % CFR of reported cases. The U.S. average is 231,026 deaths out of 8,959,376 reported cases for a CFR of 2.6%. On the surface, these numbers would seem night and day but there are 2 other factors to consider.

First is the number of active cases. Quebec has 8,947 active cases, about 9% of reported cases yet to reach their conclusion. Factor in the percentage of deaths from cases that have reached their conclusion, and the percentage increases to 7.17%. The U.S. however, has 3 million cases yet to reach an outcome, a full third of reported cases. If we look at the percentage of deaths related to confirmed cases that have reached a conclusion so far, the U.S. has a CFR of 3.97%. Without question, Quebec’s CFR is still higher.

Is this the full story though? Age demographics aren’t far off in comparison between Quebec and Canada. the differences between the numbers out of Quebec and Canada are most likely cultural relating to frequency of social behavior (touch) leading to higher cases per capita, and dietary deficiencies impacting the immune system leading to higher case severity and deaths.

But wait, there’s more. (there’s always more) Only a handful of nations have higher cases per million pop than the USA (currently 27,017). They are Belgium @ 27,661 per mil pop, Israel (33,797), Qatar (46,810), Panama (29,9220), Kuwait (28,508) and Bahrain (46,826). The rest of the nations out there higher than the U.S. have pops of less than a million. One could argue that testing is better in the U.S. than elsewhere in defense of U.S. numbers but the fact remains. The U.S. has the highest positive test cases per capita of any nation of significant population size, in the world.

Does leadership count? Take a look at the states that have the highest concentration of cases per capita and you tell me:

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus
/country/us/

The highest reported of cases per million pop in each state is coming from the red states, states with Republican governors. This isn’t a fluke. Trump ordered Republican governors to keep their economies open and ignore the use of masks and PPE. As a consequence, the highest concentrations of cases per capita are now in the red states with Republican governors. Anyone who thinks this virus hasn’t been politicized, is simply not looking at the numbers internationally and state by state, not to mention possessing a short memory.

Trump was told this virus is deadly, its airborne and at least 5x more deadly than the flu back in February. He’s publicly downplayed the severity of this virus ever since, even at campaign rallies over the weekend. His chief of staff has finally openly admitted they’ve lost control of this pandemic, while Trump is telling rallies “We’ve rounded the corner. After the election, media will stop talking about it”. We now have millions of white uneducated voters believing Covid is a hoax and won’t wear masks. This is colossal failure of leadership of epic proportions, there is no other polite way of saying it.

How deadly is Covid? France officials stated recently the number of unreported and asymptomatic cases is as high as what is reported now, or double:

https://news.yahoo.com/france-may-100-000-virus-122201066.html

This is a stark contrast from the WHO which recently claimed the world numbers are 15x what is being reported with their Frankenstein numbers from antibody testing, btw. (believe France) If France’s science arrived doubling number is far more reasonable for a developed nation, then the U.S. CFR of reported AND unreported cases is around 2%. This number climbs to 2.5% of total reported AND unreported cases if you factor in unreported fatalities (fatality abnormalities are running around 25% above norms). With winter coming bringing with it higher viral loads of infection, this number will likely continue to climb and when the dust settles April 1st, the U.S. CFR will likely be around 2.5 to 3%, with world reported cases on track to hit 90 to 100 mil. (where have we heard this before?)

#147 Anchors aweigh on 10.26.20 at 10:36 pm

We are adrift!… wrecked on the reefs are next….

https://nationalpost.com/news/politics/economists-call-for-improved-spending-transparency-as-trudeau-again-refuses-to-set-fiscal-anchor

#148 Don't get fooled again on 10.26.20 at 10:45 pm

#121 Ronaldo. Great link to Oct 2016 blog comments.

I highly recommend anyone interested in who called it right in 2016 (Smoking Man) and who called it absurdly, smugly and just oh so wrong…oh I won’t embarrass anyone *cough*Crowded*cough.

Go back for a look folks, it’s a really fun and educational walk down memory lane, and looks an awful lot like deja vu all over again.

#149 Ponzius Pilatus on 10.26.20 at 10:47 pm

I had no idea I was supposed to be filing US tax returns and sending FOREIGN bank account reports for my LOCAL bank accounts to the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network every year. Not until Obama became president and FATCA. That was many years of my unknowingly evading US taxation and FINCEN reporting with respect to my Canadian only income and bank accounts. Not about to backtrack at this point.
—————-
“unknowingly evading”
Ignorance of the law is no excuse.
Maybe you should talk to a tax expert.
Many duals are not aware.
Sailo was always on top of it.

#150 Millennial 1%er on 10.26.20 at 10:49 pm

Buy the uncertainty!

#151 conan on 10.26.20 at 10:50 pm

Biden will be able to spot the electoral votes from California and still win the presidency.
Trump has also lost the Senate and has hurt the GOP for decades.

#152 Ozzy on 10.26.20 at 10:51 pm

It seems Garth joined the WOKE culture, sanctioning free speech.

#153 Trojan House on 10.26.20 at 10:52 pm

The price of lockdowns:

https://apnews.com/article/lifestyle-ap-top-news-understanding-the-outbreak-hunger-international-news-5cbee9693c52728a3808f4e7b4965cbd

#154 Diamond Dog on 10.26.20 at 11:22 pm

Almost forgot, Dems win a sweep taking control of all three houses. I don’t see a chance of Trump closing the gap at his point. Trump’s base enthusiasm won’t match the enthusiasm coming from the Dems as evidenced by early voting so far. This trend will carry through to the end of voting day. The U.S. is no different than Canada in that they don’t vote people into office, they vote them out and the majority want Trump gone now for all of the obvious reasons. Even Putin has changed his tone as of late.

While who runs the WH is important, I think who controls the Senate is even more important and there too, there are too many Republican seats to defend with Trump weighing them down. We are looking at a dramatic reset politically south of the line that will lead the world in a positive direction overall, at least in time.

How will the markets respond? Currently the market sees a virus that is out of control with the WH waving a white flag, not that this is a surprise. Openly embracing herd immunity was the same thing. The market sees Trump in power until January, longer if he’s a shit disturber which he is meaning we’ve got a long cold winter with no help coming from the Federal government in trying to actually control the pandemic until February and the market has to price it in. Entertainment, transportation, hotels bars and restaurants, these sectors have been smoked with no clear end in sight. The U.S. is sitting on another crack coked housing bubble, same as Canada… there’s a great deal that is systemically wrong right now and the markets will have to react.

Gone is the Trump factor, the orator of fairy tales only to be replaced with reality and that won’t be good for the markets. We won’t see O & G crater like early spring but we will see soaring bankruptcies, bad debts surfacing and bond market disruption. Fiscally its a mess. I don’t see a strong U.S. dollar like it was going forward. Couple this with less competition from bankruptcies in the supply side, and inflation will rise uncomfortably specifically into the second half of ’21. I don’t see corporate tax increases either, not any time soon. The U.S. economy is simply too fragile and for what it’s worth the world economy as a whole has been rocked by Corona.

There will be some positive stories to spin. A working vaccine, a much better government response to the pandemic, highly needed stability from government, stimulus that might come through a Dem congress and Senate with a lame duck Trump in the WH until he’s gone, all of these are positive market factors in the coming months but this is in the face of ugly high unemployment, rising bankruptcies and I think, inflation particularly in the second half of 2021 that will surprise us all. I’ve been wrong trying to predict market direction in the past but I see large sell offs caused specifically from this pandemic at least into February and the market may not bounce back for a while. It shouldn’t surprise anyone if that’s how it turned out, is all I can say.

#155 Faron on 10.26.20 at 11:28 pm

#126 Bill on 10.26.20 at 3:59 pm

Posted prior and I think to the point….
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RqppRC37OgI

I’d be happy to poke holes in this bit of propaganda all. damn. day. But, for now:

First: “Prager University is not an accredited academic institution” — from their website.

Second: Funders of the Manhattan Inst. are all heavily into chemical, O+G and other carbon intensive industry. Koch brothers are prominent in their list of funders. No surprise.

Third: That are numerous errors, obfuscations and leaps of logic hidden behind a mask of data that lead to wildly misleading conclusions.

Thanks, Bill, for leading me to the propaganda wing of the wealthiest business owners in the US who are looking out for their own interests under the guise of bringing “freedom” and “opportunity” to the peons who work for them.

#156 AM in MN on 10.26.20 at 11:28 pm

#90 Reximus on 10.26.20 at 7:22 pm
“Contrast it to a Trump rally. The people are still turning out. Once again the media is blind to their own bias.”

—–

Rallies dont get you votes, the chumps that attend are already trump voters

Fundraising for media spending is the only real way to motivate undecideds; and biden has 2:1 the cash to spend in battleground states, which means he raised 2:1 $$ vs trump

People give to campaings they intend to vote for.

—————————————————–

You’ve obviously never worked a campaign.

I was there in the early days of Reform and the Charlettetown Accord. Helped it get nuked while being outspent about 1000:1 by the entire Canadian political and corporate establishment, then Mulrooney got sunk, even though he bailed out just before the ship sank.

There is no amount of money that buy you 20,000 screaming fans who will take 6 hours to get into a rally. On Sat., a Facebook group unconnected to the official Trump campaign got 2,000 cars (& trucks) full of families to drive I-70 across from the Ohio side through WV to Washington, PA and back…about an hour in each direction. In AZ they’ve had convoys of up to 4,000. Never covered in the news, but they are real and you couldn’t buy that kind of support.

The same was said in ’16 by the experts. Ignore the 5 rallies yesterday in 5 states, each with 20,000+ attendees, Hilary has the money advantage, even though only 50 people showed up to hear her speak…about 40 more than Kamala gets.

The Dem money (incl. Senate races)comes from Wall St. and giant corps, filtered through 1000’s of channels in online donations. In 2018 Bloomberg alone sunk $25M into some house races. Don’t mistake this game for grassroots support.

#157 Freedom First on 10.26.20 at 11:37 pm

#137 Apocalypse2020

Any chance the coming civil war in the U.S. could turn nuclear?

Freedom First

#158 Lead Paint on 10.27.20 at 12:14 am

#32 Unleaded paint on 10.26.20 at 5:02 pm
#37 dogwhistle on 10.26.20 at 5:11 pm
#80 Faron on 10.26.20 at 6:58 pm

Thanks! Will look at wealthsimple.

#82 Nonplused on 10.26.20 at 7:02 pm

Will ask about the school part.

#44 NSNG on 10.26.20 at 5:39 pm
#117 Broader mind on 10.26.20 at 8:28 pm
Gross / get a life

#159 Moses71 on 10.27.20 at 12:39 am

“Despite a largely successful experience with remote work due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Suncor still values in-person offices as critical to collaboration, teamwork and creativity.”-what this blog has been saying all along. And head office to Calgary? Why? Cheaper taxes, overhead, support for growth, perhaps?

#160 Dr V on 10.27.20 at 1:09 am

93 Tucker – the Monday BC total includes Fri/Sat/Sun.
Check the CBC covid tracker for the pattern and the explanation under the graph

My apologies if the sarcasm font was on.

#161 crowdedelevatorfartz on 10.27.20 at 1:09 am

@#137 Apocalypse2020

You ok Poxy?

Your usual “The End is Nigh!” sign waving was rendered irrelevant in your eloquent, rational, multi faceted speech……
Impressive.
Misguided….but still impressive.

#162 Gg on 10.27.20 at 1:36 am

Garth
There is actually no increase in capital gains tax under the Biden plan for those earning under $1 million per year. Let’s see if Canada can follow a similar sane policy. I doubt it because our limit will be under $200,000

#163 Louise Von Solligen on 10.27.20 at 3:06 am

Re:17 Lead Paint. IMHO $500 in an ETF is a waste of time. The MER and acct fees would eat up the principle in no time. Flash!!! ETFs are not free. Accts with low balance come with a high annual fee.

I know, Garth hates stock picking, but that’s the only option here. But, there are many companies to invest in that pay monthly dividends and have for over a hundred years, and allow discount DRIPs that are ideal.

I understand Garth, but our path to financial success are antipodal. Garth used his popularity and the power of publishing to build a fee paying client base , and good for him. He’s now a millionaire.

I started trading my rent money in individual stocks on a hall phone to pay my rent and tuition, starting with small numbers of shares . In those days there was no internet. I learned to read a balance sheet at the public library. You can choose either path obviously.

#164 Bezengy on 10.27.20 at 3:08 am

Poll yesterday said Green Party Annamie Paul had 14 percent of the vote. She finished second with 37 percent. Personally I can’t wait to see Trump removed from office, but these polls can’t be trusted.

https://338canada.com/35108e.htm

#165 Dispirited on 10.27.20 at 4:22 am

Thanks for all you do on the blog Garth. I work 3 jobs…..Trump wins …..sorry…….btw…..”in a meta anylysis , face masks were found to have no detectable effect against transmission of viral infections, it found” that compared to no masks, there was no reduction of influenza-like illness cases or influenza for masks in the general population, nor in health care workers” -T Jefferson, M Jones, et al. Physical interventions to interrupt or reduce the spread of respiratory viruses. MedRxiv. 2020, April 7.
But hey in 2015 as reported in UBC -news 800 million viruses rain down on you daily per square meter. And you thought you were safer outside. Those that make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities.
Here on the left coast where median age of death from all causes is 80, CV19 has a median age of death of 85. With a death rate well below the cdc, WHo estimates of flu/pneumonia deaths in Canada of 7.73 per hundred thousand…..bc has 260 deaths….5.2 per hundred thousand…….it’s all good. But hey why worry about a virus you can slow, but not stop or affect mortality when Klaus Schwab say in 10 years you will have nothing and be happier for it. Basement dwellers have united and taken over.

#166 Orange Man....Orange on 10.27.20 at 6:31 am

One stat is inescapable. Five million new gun owners in the US in 2020. Do you think that any of them thought “Hey, I;m going to spend $1000 on a gun, ammo and training and then vote for the guys who want to take it away from me”.

When people vote with their wallet you must listen.

#167 BillyBob on 10.27.20 at 7:32 am

I was speaking with my American sibling and her husband this weekend on Zoom. It was somewhat insightful, really. They live in Oregon not far from Portland – hardly a Republican bastion. I would describe them as similar to myself in outlook: slightly right on fiscal matters, slightly left on social ones. Very moderate, reasonable folk. Like myself, not a lot of time for simplistic, intellectually lazy (or just plain stupid) assertions that so many seem to default to these days. They have no use for either the BLM rioters or the Proud Boys’ guns. Hopefully you can get the picture.

They will be voting for Trump. This surprised me greatly at first, as they would poll as “progressive” in the way they live their lives. And they made it very clear, they do not publicly tell anyone who they are voting for. They know they will be instantly labelled, placed in the narrowest of boxes, and vilified. I mean, I expect to be attacked for even mentioning their choice. As my brother-in-law said “As if voting for someone means that you agree with each and everything they say or do”.

They don’t like Trump as a person. At all. And they really don’t have much against Biden, the man. But they have a deep, deep distrust of those advising the Democrat camp. Oh they are no rabid Republican supporters – but the difference in their eyes is that the Right doesn’t really try and hide their agenda, or couch it in oily, disingenuous language. And so, they will be voting for Trump. Devil you know, and all that. This doesn’t mean they’re thrilled with where the country is at under the guy.

Polls.

One theory is that pollsters “learned” from 2016, so now they’re more accurate. Right. To the contrary, I would posit that:

– Left-leaning MSM and social media platforms are doubling down on the 2016 tactics of saturation reporting of numbers that support their agenda in the hopes their influence may become self-fulfilling;
– The disinformation campaigns – on both sides – are at a whole other level than 2016;
– With the ultra-polarization of voters, moderates in either camp are extremely reluctant to be transparent about their intentions. The shrieking vilification of the media on both sides can thank themselves for that.
– I won’t even go into possible external manipulations, for fear of triggering a run on tinfoil stocks.

All to say I cannot see anything about these factors that supports current polling as, or even able to be, remotely accurate. In fact particularly after my little chat I find them even less credible. Bad data gives bad results. (See: Covid-19) Who knows how big the “silent” voter cohort is, or if it really is a majority sufficient to deliver an election, but man, it sure exists.

Accordingly I am making no predictions either, but I will be utterly unsurprised if Trump wins again.

#168 BilllyBob on 10.27.20 at 7:44 am

#127 MF on 10.26.20 at 8:52 pm
Faron on fire lately. The Bo Jackson/Dion Sanders of the comments section!

-Flawless victory vs BillyBob a few days ago.
-4 game sweep versus not 1st recently
-walk off grand slam in extra innings versus AM to MN recently.

These are worthy opponents. Tough to debate. But Faron is killing it.

MF

================================

lol

Does your cheerleader outfit come complete with pompoms? I feel embarrassed for Faron even reading that – I kinda doubt he was just hoping for your gushing praise. Maybe if you take notes on his sick debate tactics one day someone will make clever baseball analogies about you too!

I appreciate you man. You always give me something to chuckle about. Thanks!

#169 Paul on 10.27.20 at 7:44 am

Cherry-picking sentence fragments was, I thought (incorrectly) beneath you. – Garth
————————————————————————————————
Yes it’s funny there is a lot of cherry-picking going on right now!

#170 Phylis on 10.27.20 at 7:46 am

How is Lisa Simpson doing in the polls?

#171 the Jaguar on 10.27.20 at 8:03 am

@BillyBob…
Yes. This is the problem…, or part of it anyway.

‘They know they will be instantly labelled, placed in the narrowest of boxes, and vilified. I mean, I expect to be attacked for even mentioning their choice. As my brother-in-law said “As if voting for someone means that you agree with each and everything they say or do”

#172 crowdedelevatorfartz on 10.27.20 at 8:16 am

@#142 lost Bill
“LOL
And they are all so pure.”
++++

Reading and comprehension a struggle?

No where did I suggest that any of the Washington agencies mentioned were bastions of Saintliness.

I merely suggested that if Biden becomes President elect….any crazy ideas that erupt from Trumps mouth in the 90 days after an election loss as foreign policy would be vetted through the Biden camp.

Go back to your game of marbles

#173 Dharma Bum on 10.27.20 at 8:20 am

I love the scene in the new Borat movie where Borat is sitting down with a couple of hardcore redneck hillbilly types and asks them:

“What is worse…this Virus? Or Democrats?”

And the hillbillies immediately respond in unison:

“Democrats!”.

So funny.

#174 Penny Henny on 10.27.20 at 8:25 am

#95 Ponzius Pilatus on 10.26.20 at 7:33 pm
American car manufacturers are running out of ideas.
GM is bringing back the HUMMER!
As an EV!
I guess they are hoping that there are enough dinosaurs in the States and in rural Canada that will buy this artifact.
I say, tax the crap out of this abdomination.
/////////////////////

Never mind tax, Trudeau will give you credits!

#175 Dharma Bum on 10.27.20 at 8:29 am

Never underestimate the power of voter suppression, craftily engineered by GOP insiders. It can swing the vote.

https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-features/trump-campaign-2020-voter-suppression-consent-decree-1028988/

https://news.berkeley.edu/2020/09/29/stacking-the-deck-how-the-gop-works-to-suppress-minority-voting/

#176 Apocalypse2020 on 10.27.20 at 8:30 am

#157

#137 Apocalypse2020

Any chance the coming civil war in the U.S. could turn nuclear?

Freedom First
________________________________________

Yes.

Probability is now about 60%.

Very few people have talked about why. Here’s a snapshot.

There is now a correspondingly huge divide not just in the US population but in the US military leadership and among soldiers.

Look at all those recent leaders who have come out against Trump. Unprecedented.

Control of military assets is divided and
very localized across the country.

You will be hearing much more about this in the days ahead. But the news will come to you too late.

PREPARE

#177 justdeleteitifyoudontlikeit on 10.27.20 at 8:40 am

#167 BillyBob

It’s a nice story, but your sister lives in Oregon, so her vote for Trump won’t count. Can you extrapolate a sample of two to predict behaviour in swing states? Dubious.

Looking at polls and speculating on their accuracy is tired. Wired is watching actual numbers from early voters:
https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

Of course, maybe Republicans have been registering as Democrats to own the libs?

#178 Dying Empire on 10.27.20 at 9:05 am

Quite shocked this blog would become active partisans for the Caligula-level of decadence and degeneracy of the status quo ruling elite in the United States.

These are the days of dying Imperial Rome period for the USA. The only thing missing now is for one of the leaders to nominate a mascot or pet animal as head of office.

#179 Mr Canada on 10.27.20 at 9:05 am

Canadians (and the virtuous ones in particular) despise Trump so much, Trudeau’s scandals and gross incompetence as a leader in particular gets a free pass.
Only in Canada. PS – Whatever happened to Bill Morneau? wasn’t he interviewing for a UN job? Yah, right.

He is still a candidate for the OECD leadership. Five seconds of research would tell you that. – Garth

#180 Chimingin on 10.27.20 at 9:29 am

Re: #58 – TurnerNation

This is exactly what leaves me bitter about this whole thing. I had treatment for breast cancer last year and was supposed to have my follow-up mammogram in early April. It was cancelled, and I finally got it on September 21. They say that waiting for the results is very stressful during the normal week to two weeks it takes to get them back. I had to wait 5 months. Luckily it was clear, but you don’t look at life the same way after that…my heart goes out to those who have been denied care during the window of time it could have made a difference.

#181 dogwhistle on 10.27.20 at 10:25 am

#152 Ozzy on 10.26.20 at 10:51 pm
It seems Garth joined the WOKE culture, sanctioning free speech.

—————————————————–

This is not an empathy blog for deplorables.

#182 Choice on 10.27.20 at 10:28 am

My family are proud Americans. To the other dual citizens if you hate America then show some courage and renounce your American citizenship. Sniffing how great it is in Canada while you keep the door Key is hypocritical at best.

#183 riverb on 10.27.20 at 10:43 am

middle east peace good

selling out access to the white house for family fortune bad

#184 Jay on 10.27.20 at 10:44 am

For a good time during the pandemic, re-watch some good old 90’s era American classics where they put the American president on a pedestal, making the position out to be one of prestige, power and respect, and the person to be equally as heroic. Some examples include:

-Air Force One
-The American President
-Dave

Now imagine Trump as the president in these movies, whining about CNN and 60 minutes.

Good times.

#185 Wait There on 10.27.20 at 10:47 am

Seriously

Polls cannot be trusted anymore. First who bothers with them? In my 60 years I have never been called. Not even once.
Second, when you think about it, even if you were to vote the orange haired man, would you say so at the water cooler ( at home now, no more for WFHers ) . No way, any pro orange haired person would be stupid to say so with Social media etc. So they stay silent.

I think there will be a repeat of 2016.

Remember the orange haired man kept the 3M N95 masks for his own people at the front line and did not allow them to be shipped to another country ( Canada). So who is he looking out for? Would a democrat have shipped a plane full of N95 masks to Canada? Would you, if you were president of the USA.
Now were we ( Canada) stupid to ship N95 masks to China during the early stages of COVID ? Who would NOT have known we would need them. I was unable to purchase any anywhere at that time.

China emptied the world of N95 masks in January February 2020 and sent them to China. While the WHO failed to declare a pandemic at the same time.

#186 jal on 10.27.20 at 10:51 am

#184 Jay on 10.27.20 at 10:44 am
“For a good time during the pandemic, re-watch some good old 90’s era American classics where they put the American president on a pedestal, making the position out to be one of prestige, power and respect, and the person to be equally as heroic. Some examples include:

-Air Force One
-The American President
-Dave

Now imagine Trump as the president in these movies, whining about CNN and 60 minutes.

Good times.”

——
It was not good times.
The web has shown me that I was in lalaland.

#187 Ace Goodheart on 10.27.20 at 11:11 am

RE: #26 RMTL on 10.26.20 at 4:50 pm

And while fool buyers are jacking up home prices here, Italian town is auctioning off abandoned homes for €1…
https://www.cnn.com/travel/article/italian-town-salemi-auctioning-one-euro-homes/index.html

////////////////////////////////////////////

The heating systems are the most interesting part of these houses.

When they were originally built, heating was accomplished by storing your livestock on the first floor, living on the second floor, and having open doors and venting from the first floor to the second.

The idea was, the heat from the animals would rise up and warm the second floor, keeping the occupants toasty warm during the Italian winter.

Anyone want to buy some cattle?

#188 BillyBob on 10.27.20 at 11:13 am

#177 justdeleteitifyoudontlikeit on 10.27.20 at 8:40 am
#167 BillyBob

It’s a nice story, but your sister lives in Oregon, so her vote for Trump won’t count. Can you extrapolate a sample of two to predict behaviour in swing states? Dubious.

Looking at polls and speculating on their accuracy is tired. Wired is watching actual numbers from early voters:
https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

Of course, maybe Republicans have been registering as Democrats to own the libs?

=================================

No extrapolation intended. Unlike some I don’t pretend the plural of anecdote is “data”.

The point was that what happens in the privacy of a polling booth (or mailed ballot) may not reflect the forecasts even slightly.

You’d think their humiliation in 2016 might make Democratic pollsters a tad more humble.

We shall see, right? One thing I know for sure is the Democrats will be as gracious in victory as they were in defeat.

#189 Ronaldo on 10.27.20 at 11:20 am

#140 cuke and tomato picker on 10.26.20 at 10:10 pm
I find it very difficult to BELIEVE that people actually believe that Trump will win.
——————————————————————-
I find it hard to believe that the best the Dems could come up with was Biden. Sad times indeed.

#190 Faron on 10.27.20 at 11:26 am

#143 Apocalypse2020 on 10.26.20 at 10:13 pm

I hope you are buying vix futures and NASDAQ puts with all your certainty. When you know something the market doesn’t, you could make a killing. Probably would have time to sell, gather funds and buy gold before capitalism was a total wreck.

#191 TurnerNation on 10.27.20 at 11:31 am

BC just jumped on the 6-6-6 train to further screw up society.
Because, Science you know!
This keeps us healthy.
This will continue, lockstep, globally until late 2021 as more of the New System is rolled out. Same script everywhere.

https://thetyee.ca/News/2020/10/26/BC-COVID-Two-Schools-Closed-Family-Gatherings-Limited/
Bonnie Henry issues order on gatherings in private homes to families and warns restrictions will continue for months.
She also advised that for larger families or those living in multi-generational homes, even six additional people may be too many.

#192 PBrasseur on 10.27.20 at 11:32 am

More taxes, more regulations, more unions and lets kill the O&G industry for good measure.

But all is good and the markets are happy. Yeah right!

#193 not 1st on 10.27.20 at 11:33 am

Has Covid killed off the flu? Experts pose the intriguing question as influenza cases nosedive by 98% across the globe

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-8875201/Has-Covid-killed-flu.html

#194 Ponzius Pilatus on 10.27.20 at 11:34 am

173 Dharma Bum on 10.27.20 at 8:20 am
I love the scene in the new Borat movie where Borat is sitting down with a couple of hardcore redneck hillbilly types and asks them:

“What is worse…this Virus? Or Democrats?”

And the hillbillies immediately respond in unison:

“Democrats!”.

So funny.
———————-
Also very topical:
Spike Lee’s BLACKKLANSMAN
On Netflix

#195 Ponzius Pilatus on 10.27.20 at 11:43 am

#182 Choice on 10.27.20 at 10:28 am
My family are proud Americans. To the other dual citizens if you hate America then show some courage and renounce your American citizenship. Sniffing how great it is in Canada while you keep the door Key is hypocritical at best.
———————-
Even better.
Ban all dual citizenships, except in special cases.
No more double dipping.

#196 TurnerNation on 10.27.20 at 11:45 am

Here it comes, being rolled out to every city. UN plan we get “Modular housing” . Yep CV did that.
Pack em and stack them.

Comrade you get 300 square feet. That is your government allotment.
Say why haven’t we seen any “Rapid build hospitals?”
We destroyed the economy and society such that ‘hospitals will not be overwhelmed’.
Oh…this is not about our health Comrade. Your prefecture will be filled up.

https://torontostoreys.com/toronto-modular-housing-scarborough-milestone/

According to the City, each modular home is approximately 300 square feet and comes with a built-in kitchen (including a stovetop), microwave, and fridge. The homes also come furnished with a twin bed frame and mattress, a lounge chair, dining table and chairs, and a dresser.

#197 not 1st on 10.27.20 at 11:45 am

I sense pacific NW from Faron. Thats hardly a representative sample of the US or Canada.

The US is a highly integrated first world economy and Canada….isnt. We trade more with the US than we do with each other. And the US does more interstate business than it does with any country in the world. They are highly integrated in infrastructure, trade, transport, tourism. Simply put its just a busier more productive nation with a high degree of freedom and independence. And a lot more people in contact with each other.

Canada is broken off into silos that dont interact with each other much. Thats why you see 5 distinct geographical patterns with this virus in our country.

Comparing US to New Zealand or Taiwan or even Canada is inaccurate.

#198 whiplash on 10.27.20 at 11:46 am

#167 BillyBob
I was speaking with my American sibling and her husband this weekend on Zoom

My sister and brother-in-law live in California and have voted for the dem’s the past four elections. What was the turning factor for them and all their friends to vote Trump is the immigration bill that is before congress. The thought that anyone that was deported as far back as April 24, 1996 for criminal convictions such as aggravated felony’s/crimes of moral turpitude would be allowed to return to the US and the taxpayers would pay all the costs. What really turned her stomach, children would be put at a greater risk as aliens convicted of pedophilia, child porn, incest, etc. would no longer be deported if they are in the US and would no longer be” inadmissible” to the US if they were not. And what is even more disturbing, 44 democrats co-sponsored this bill and spent the time and energy drafting it with the full intent of it becoming law. She summed it up with one word “sick”.

#199 Bill on 10.27.20 at 11:51 am

I rest my case T2= the idiot will destroy Kanada with his ignorate policies..
https://financialpost.com/news/economy/trudeau-and-the-federal-government-have-lost-their-way-innovators-group-says

#200 Dave on 10.27.20 at 12:10 pm

#37 dogwhistle on 10.26.20 at 5:11 pm

__________________

Is wealthsimple a good place for me to transfer my RESP to from RBC? From what I am starting to understand I am paying extremely high fees for RBC to manage these at the moment. have around 30k in there at the moment, adding $500/month

#201 Damifino on 10.27.20 at 12:12 pm

#154 Diamond Dog

The U.S. is no different than Canada in that they don’t vote people into office, they vote them out
———————————–

And in doing so, we somewhat mimic the central tenant of science where all theories are fair game for deep criticism. The best theories (i.e. those that are hard to vary and yield consistently correct predictions) stand for a long time.

The only difference in the analogy is that we don’t vote for theories. We remove them by demonstrating through evidence they are incorrect or incomplete.

In politics we instead vote the bums out (unless they aren’t perceived as bums) then see what the next batch brings. It’s the reason you probably wouldn’t want to be a politician. Unless masochism is your thing.

#202 RyYYZ on 10.27.20 at 12:14 pm

#89 Y on 10.26.20 at 7:18 pm
So we had trouble finding workers for our farms and fruit picking but wait there’s a ton of unemployed on CERB. Why fill these positions with foreign workers. Is it an ego thing? We’ve all had shitty jobs. Where’s the motivation and desire with government
====================================

Something I wonder whenever I see the “homeless” pandhandling on the streets. Got enough time to sit around begging? You’ve got enough time to take any of the jobs that we otherwise have to bring in TFWs to do (in the farming sector). I’ve got a friend whose family runs a mushroom farm. Pretty much none of their employees are Canadian born.

I don’t know, maybe I’m just old-fashioned, but I’d shovel shit for $14/hr before I’d ever sit in the street and beg passers-by for money.

#203 -=withwings=- on 10.27.20 at 12:33 pm

@198 Your “friends” are utterly clueless, as many Trump supporters are. Perhaps you should read up on IIRIRA and AEDPA, why they were put in place, and by who, and the damage they have caused since. It is not a crime to attempt to right past wrongs.

#204 Dan in Vancouver on 10.27.20 at 12:34 pm

Going forward, our challenge is how we respond to increasing SARS-CoV-2 infectivity. We either lock down partially or fully. Watch Europe closely for a possible trajectory here in North America. Lockdowns = loss of confidence = increasing insolvencies and involuntary debt liquidation = loss of jobs = debt market paralysis = deflation. As for the US, Biden is the only individual capable of bringing a sense of stability to the ongoing American experiment. Let’s hope the US does the right thing.

#205 NotAmerican on 10.27.20 at 12:37 pm

#182 Choice on 10.27.20 at 10:28 am
My family are proud Americans. To the other dual citizens if you hate America then show some courage and renounce your American citizenship. Sniffing how great it is in Canada while you keep the door Key is hypocritical at best.
==============================
Would you like to give me $2500 USD for the pleasure of seeing me renounce my unwanted US citizenship? Cause if it was free or reasonably priced, I would do it in a heart beat.

#206 Yuus bin Haad on 10.27.20 at 12:42 pm

This coronavirus is the new Mike Harris

#207 SoggyShorts on 10.27.20 at 12:43 pm

#76 Dolce Vita on 10.26.20 at 6:53 pm
#41 Penny Henny

“New Zealand, Cayman, Singapore, Taiwan and others might disagree.”

1. They are islands. Not exactly difficult to isolate.
*******************
Vietnam? 100,000,000 people, borders China, poorish, pretty popular travel destination (I was there from Feb-June)

#208 Faron on 10.27.20 at 12:53 pm

#197 not 1st on 10.27.20 at 11:45 am

I sense pacific NW from Faron

Did you “sense” that because I’ve stated here many times that I’m from Oregon? You know the antifa person who killed a patriot prayer member in Portland? The patriot prayer meeting point for that motorcade was in the parking lot of the community college I went to when I was 19. I grew up 3 miles deeper into the redneck bastion that is rural Clackamas County. I’ve spent substantial time in Idaho, Montana, Nevada, Utah, California, Wisconsin, Michigan, New Hampshire and Arizona. You have zero clue.

If anything, Oregon is an almost perfect parallel to Canada. Very liberal leaning urban centers surrounded by resource economy conservatives who earn their living logging, farming, commercial fishing or working blue collar jobs in the city or nearby towns and increasingly, working at the nearest walmart, dollar general or other corporate giant. Like with rural dwelling Canadians, my interactions with people in the more rural parts of the state have been extremely pleasant. They are grass roots people who love their land, their region and know it like the backs of their hands. They almost certainly share almost zero political views with me, yet they are friendly and would be willing to help if it was needed. Their ability to hold careers has been greatly diminished by globalization, automation and the demise of small business. The poorest are struggling because the economic rug was pulled out from under them.

I’ve seen that same story in all of the states I have visited. The UP of Michigan is full of beautiful small towns that are mostly vacant since the steel and mining industries departed. The main crime in all of this is one that is non-partisan but that each party uses as a cudgel — that is the offshoring of jobs/the unchecked growth of mega corps at the expense of small business.

I don’t think Biden or Trump are going to help this problem, frankly. Each party serves as power broker to the lobby groups and the unlimited funding landscape of US politics and it’s the corps who call the shots. The difference is that Trump is unpalatably self serving and the republican party pretends that free market economics will solve this problem. History has shown again and again that free market capitalism does extract the most value from resources but at the expense of the majority of workers. The saving grace of democrats is that they recognize this problem and introduce enough worker protections to keep things a touch more fair.

The primary difference between Oregon’s make-up and Canada’s is that Oregon lacks immigrants aside from Latin Americans who went there to work. Oregon lacks the south Asian and east Asian immigrant population that is a major shaper of Canada’s ethnic make-up. Socially, Canada has seen less erosion of it’s educational system than the US has and I think that’s absolutely key to understanding Trumpism, conspiracy theories and our present media confusion.

I’m not going to address the rest. I’m tired of burying you.

#209 Dr talc on 10.27.20 at 12:57 pm

The article that Forbes removed from its site

https://archive.vn/NzH6X

#210 Faron on 10.27.20 at 1:00 pm

I don’t want to predict who will take the election.

But, you know who thinks Biden will win? Investors in The Geo Group ticker GEO. Down 26% since mid-October. Likely because a Biden win will re-instate the federal ban on private prisons in the US.

#211 justdeleteitifyoudontlikeit on 10.27.20 at 1:06 pm

‘What really turned her stomach, children would be put at a greater risk as aliens convicted of pedophilia, child porn, incest, etc. would no longer be deported if they are in the US and would no longer be” inadmissible” to the US if they were not.’

The Q is strong with this one.

How messed up do you have to be to believe that a not insignificant number of members of congress are openly pro paedophilia? It’s the kind of thing that would seem preposterous to nearly anyone of average intelligence upon hearing it for the first time.

#212 mike from mtl on 10.27.20 at 1:06 pm

#197 not 1st on 10.27.20 at 11:45 am

..Canada is broken off into silos that dont interact with each other much. Thats why you see 5 distinct geographical patterns with this virus in our country.
//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

That’s the biggest shortcoming of a democratic governance over a huge land area of populace that don’t really work together or interact. Like Australia digging up dirt for China and flipping houses, we too have not much of a domestic economy. Let’s be real, we’re basically the branch office economy to the US.

Politically no go, but economically we’d be better off just extending the US state’s borders 100km north.

#213 James on 10.27.20 at 1:10 pm

Since the first presidential debate another 25,000 Americans have died. The world’s most advanced country, with the best health care, has suffered the greatest death toll and infection rate. It’s a leadership disaster. Symbolic of that is Trump’s maskless bravado and now Pence’s insistence he keep campaigning when his closest aides are stricken. It’s the very definition of reckless.
____________________________________________
I lived there for many years and the main thing about Americans is that they are very opportunistic and will take chances that most Canadians would never take. For example when I lived there I took out a healthcare package for my family and myself. After discussing with so many neighbors around my home what health care package they had I was flabbergasted with the results. Many had little to no healthcare or had opted for minimums with their employers. So the best most advanced healthcare in the world will not help you if you don’t show up at Emerg with a first full of Benjamin’s.
Your pooched and that is one of the contributing reasons why so many died from this virus. They hedge against the bet of waiting to see if it’s a cold or by then it’s too late when they finally cave.

#214 Bert Andrews on 10.27.20 at 1:13 pm

Balance out the Covid fearmongers with some sobering details about the costs of Covid panic by authorities:

http://thepriceofpanic.com/

#215 Bill on 10.27.20 at 1:27 pm

#155 Faron on 10.26.20 at 11:28 pm
——————————————
Have ya visited Germany lately. Biggest failure in green initiatives anywhere. They now buy power from France.. I’ve worked on these technologies…..FAILURE.
That’s the point. Maybe your on board with Trudeau’s green plan?
My prime residence uses 100KW+ a day….there’s no green power going to run that in the winter.

#172 crowdedelevatorfartz on 10.27.20 at 8:16 am
Go back to your game of marbles
—————————————–
Bottom line it matters not..The US is finished anyway all empires die.
Its like throwing your tea into the harbor.
Its demise started decades ago and folks that pin it on Trump is bizarre. Joe just another corrupt idiot inline for a power, cash grab.

Did you mean marbles or making millions?

#216 HUNGRY BEAR on 10.27.20 at 1:29 pm

The fallout is going to be like nothing ever seen…

“I would be very surprised if the Big Six banks released reserves this quarter, given the differences in loan/geographic mix. … However, once this process starts, the bank stock prices would rally very hard,” Wessel wrote.

https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/hsbc-prompts-call-for-very-hard-rally-at-big-six-by-unlocking-2m-1.1513595

#217 Linda on 10.27.20 at 1:33 pm

#74 ‘Dog’s’ – pointing out that leadership from the top could have resulted in lower infection/death rates in the USA is hardly ‘hatred’. My post does state that infections/deaths would have occurred regardless. Do you disagree?

Wearing masks, washing hands & social distancing are not a guarantee that one will not catch/transmit Covid. However those measure have been shown to reduce rates of infection. Odd that someone whose position is supposed to protect the citizens of the country doesn’t seem to support promoting measures that do just that.

#218 TurnerNation on 10.27.20 at 1:42 pm

#143 Apocalypse2020 the hospitals are always at capacity in the winter season. Again how many new hospitals did T2 build or fund this year? Anyone?

Maybe not in AB they seem a tad more relaxed….

https://calgaryherald.com/news/local-news/hospital-workers-walk-out-in-calgary-across-province-to-protest-ucp-policies

#219 TurnerNation on 10.27.20 at 1:48 pm

#180 Chimingin – glad you are doing fine.

#220 pPrasseur on 10.27.20 at 1:53 pm

Too much CNN, again…

I remember a time when this blog was not a parrot of the MSM.

#221 This sucks. It really, really does. on 10.27.20 at 1:57 pm

Ok that helped!

T2 cancels santa………….

#222 Ace Goodheart on 10.27.20 at 2:02 pm

RE: #143 Apocalypse2020 on 10.26.20 at 10:13 pm

Hospitals are already reaching capacity in Canada and elsewhere in the world.

https://www.thestar.com/news/gta/2020/10/26/hospitals-full-as-cases-surge-in-provinces-hot-spots-these-3-charts-show-where-ontario-is-right-now-in-the-covid-19-battle.html

And the Second wave has barely started.

PREPARE

//////////////////////////////////////\

The question is, what are the hospitals full of?

3500 critical care beds in Ontario.

312 in use for COVID patients.

What are the other 3188 being used for?

#223 Faron on 10.27.20 at 2:17 pm

#215 Bill on 10.27.20 at 1:27 pm

#155 Faron on 10.26.20 at 11:28 pm
——————————————

Have ya visited Germany lately. Biggest failure in green initiatives anywhere. They now buy power from France…

I consider nuclear green and an energy source that has been tarnished by environmentalist emotionalism. I see it as the only viable bridge. Germany buying power from France is not a failure in the least. Note that your video didn’t mention non-solar and non-wind alternatives. Why? Because a mix is viable and would compete with O+G right now. It already does.

It’s no coincidence that Germany and France have the power sources they do. They don’t have major O+G industries to influence politics (Germany does mine coal though).

Maybe you[‘]r[e] on board with Trudeau’s green plan?

I haven’t read it. I just voted Green in BC, so it’s likely that I’ll support elements of it.

My prime residence uses 100KW+ a day….there’s no green power going to run that in the winter.

A Watt is a rate. Watts per day is an acceleration. If your burn rate is 100,000 watts, then you use 2.4MW hours or $1,920.00 per day worth of electricity. Anyhow, if you mean you use 100KW hours you are telling me that your electrical bill is $2,400.00 a month. If you heat with gas, maybe half that. Carbon taxes will force people like you to use less or move. Win. Or you don’t understand your energy use.

You seem to be a smart person and by all means appear successful. But, all you are showing me is that your weak grasp of physics has made you susceptible to right wing O+G propaganda.

#224 TurnerNation on 10.27.20 at 2:36 pm

Update due to to my question of the government’s handling of CV I have volunteered to dig graves this weekend. As per the New System social edict. Also for my social credit score. I encourage all questioners and disbelievers to join me.
Van arrives at 7am sharp. Hope you have a strong back.

#225 Faron on 10.27.20 at 2:53 pm

#223 Faron on 10.27.20 at 2:17 pm

Ha, foot in my mouth. I erred in my calculation using watts instead of KW. My bad. Your use is dead-normal (thus easily covered by non carbon energy).

#226 Shortymac on 10.27.20 at 2:56 pm

Dropped off my absentee ballot today, bit my lip and voted for Democrat again despite my dislike of both parties. I didn’t like Trump pre-presidential race and I never will.

Paid extra for tracking too so it won’t get lost, worth it.

#227 Bill on 10.27.20 at 3:02 pm

#223 Faron
——————
For the record I’m all for bridging green but it will take 40 years depending on population.
I had a 4KW inverter so I threw a solar system together with recovered Batts form our cell sites for fun. Useless for my home sold it for $6000 to a float cabin guy…That works.

100KW per day not an hour as that is more than my industrial property consumes. 800amp 3 phase there.
House Consumption (11 days): 1,024kWh*
about $8-9 a day.
Gas is the way to go for sure….I have E-plus so 2 meters BC Hydro had (too much juice then) a program 30 years ago or so if you went on electric heat you go 50% off on meter #2. (prior owners I’m grandfathered in)
I looked at the greens budget plans and as a business person it looks like one thing…unsustainable (Poof)

Love to write more but drafting up new leases and thank god I don’t own retail space!.
Thanks for the input

#228 Samantha on 10.27.20 at 3:10 pm

It doesn’t matter who wins, as either candidate will print money as if there’s no tomorrow. Obvious beneficiaries will be commodities, so you may consider putting some money there.

#229 Love_The_Cottage on 10.27.20 at 3:18 pm

#200 Dave on 10.27.20 at 12:10 pm

Is wealthsimple a good place for me to transfer my RESP to from RBC? From what I am starting to understand I am paying extremely high fees for RBC to manage these at the moment. have around 30k in there at the moment, adding $500/month
____________
RBC has a direct investing option where you can manage your investments yourself. It’s about $7.95 per trade but if you don’t trade much it’s not an issue and if you buy ETF’s it’s cheap. The advantage is if you bank with RBC you have everything in one space.

I would suggest more research and making sure you are comfortable doing it yourself.

#230 belly rubs on 10.27.20 at 3:19 pm

#17 Lead Paint on 10.26.20 at 4:29 pm
Blog Dogs! A young woman (19) has asked me where/how she can invest $500 for the long haul.

Lend it out at 20%.
That’s 10% return for her and 10% collector’s fee for her goon. I’ve lent out so much money I can couch surf well into retirement.

$500 would also get someone started in the wonderful world of pawnable guitars. Then learn “Desperado” and you can always get a meal at a truckstop (the biscuits & gravy dividend).

#231 dogwhistle on 10.27.20 at 3:29 pm

#200 Dave on 10.27.20 at 12:10 pm

Is wealthsimple a good place for me to transfer my RESP to from RBC? From what I am starting to understand I am paying extremely high fees for RBC to manage these at the moment. have around 30k in there at the moment, adding $500/month

———————————————

I personally use them. You can chat with their customer service and compare the figures and make sure it is a good fit (or not) for you.

What I do know is:

“transfer an account

Move one investment account with at least $5,000 in assets from another institution over to Wealthsimple, and get $10,000 managed for free for 12 months (may only be applied once).”

Wealthsimple pays transfer fees.

Management fees are at 0.5% (lower above 100k etc)

I have an RESP there, setting ‘balanced’ average return is currently 4.8% with 50% equities and 50% fixed income (bonds)

It’s pretty much set and forget, you add money to it every month (and/or lump sumps if you want) it rebalances itself (unlike our national budget…) and you get the usual state top-ups as with any RESP.

Hope this helps, of course, I’d encourage you to do your own research

#232 Bill on 10.27.20 at 3:30 pm

#223 Faron
PS If carbon taxes will force people like you to use less or move?

No chance, my consumption of energy at a ratio to income is probably below 90 – 97% of population.
Trust me I would be that last guy standing.
$300K income VS maybe $2,000 in fuel (unless I get in my RV for a large road trip) and hydro annually. All my properties are paid for and yield 8%. No mortgage on my homes.
I can weather what most couldn’t dream of.
I’ve got enough firewood to heat my house for 20 years
I know how to hunt garden and run any piece of heavy equipment.
I have enough cash to buy up a fire sale house if need be.
I look at the population and do the opposite…
Not bad for a red neck idiot eh?

#233 Chimingin on 10.27.20 at 4:31 pm

Re: #219 TurnerNation

Thank you. I feel very fortunate to be healthy, and I will never take it for granted again. :)