The deviant

CATS modified

Because this blog weirdly attracts doomers and hair-shirters, those who gleefully talk of American collapse, market mayhem, financial crisis and things almost as worrisome as Adele, Costco, Justin Bieber or even Kias, we’re always on the lookout for Black Swan events. Whazzat? It’s something that deviates beyond what’s normally expected of a situation and is therefore extremely difficult to predict. Author Nick Taleb made BS events famous.

Used to be that terrorist attacks, earthquakes, severe climate change, negative interest rates or regional wars might qualify. But they’re all mundane now. Even when UK voters lost their collective minds and voted to leave the European Union, it was no Black Swan. Hardly a grey gosling.

So what really keeps economists up at night? What perversely deviant thing can happen that no sane person ever anticipated?

You bet. President Trump.

The fact Donald Trump is the official Republican nominee for a Presidential election now just eleven weeks away is astonishing. His crushing of experienced, articulate, thoughtful rivals like Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio was decisive and overwhelming. Today his rallies continue to be packed, emotional love-ins with a billionaire who arrives on his own passenger jet and has systematically insulted everyone. Except angry white guys.

Trump is a political phenom. His success comes from an adroit use of social media, and the careful cultivation of his image as a political outsider. He also has money, TV fame, a hot wife, buckets of name recognition and an outsized ego – major qualifications for political success. These things, so far, have overshadowed the vacuity of his positions, the flip-flopping on policy, the racism, xenophobia, protectionism, isolationism and blind patriotism he epitomizes. The trouble is, millions of people love that. They want it. More of it.

So to economists, financial markets and money guys, Trump embodies what the system fears. He stands for a breakdown of what’s evolved, wherein globalization’s made corporations more efficient, central bankers have smoothed over economic burps, high-speed trading has taken over from humans, wherein savers get nothing, the middle class has been exported to China and India and the wealth gap has canyoned as never before. Ironically, it’s a billionaire dude who has profited from all of those evolutions that is now Everyman’s champion.

Trump is the US equivalent of Brexit, of the French war on Birkinis and the rise of the right in Germany. He is the antithesis of T2. Trump’s war on Muslims, his wall to keep Mexicans in their place and his desire to bomb Syrians and others back to the bronze age is seen as populism gone bonkers. Middle-class voters angry about job loss, stagnant incomes and an economic recovery which never really came after the housing collapse want something and someone to blame. Trump gives them multiple targets. ‘Make America Great Again’ is code for going backwards in time. Exactly what so many crave.

So here’s the bad news from the bright minds at Citigroup. If Trump wins over Hillary Clinton (what a choice…) financial markets could devolve into chaos and the world would probably tip into recession.

“A Trump victory in particular could prolong and perhaps exacerbate policy uncertainty and deliver a shock (though perhaps short-lived) to financial markets. Tightening financial conditions and further rises in uncertainty could trigger a significant slowdown in U.S., but also global growth.”

The estimate is the global economic expansion – crawling along now at less than 2% – would shed up to .8% because of Trump, pushing the world back into a recession that central banks have spent trillions trying to avoid.

Bad news for Canada, which is already struggling with rising unemployment, negative growth and wobbly real estate markets – which now account for about 20% of GDP. Our country lives on trade. And Donald Trump has said repeatedly he would rip up the North American Free Trade Agreement, under which 80% of the stuff we make finds its way onto US markets.

“I like free trade, but free trade is not free trade, it’s dump trade because we lose with China, we lose with Mexico, we lose with Japan and Vietnam and every single country that we deal with. We lose with Canada — big-league. Tremendous, tremendous trade deficits with Canada.”

Trump (and Clinton) would also rip up the Trans Pacific Partnership, which Canada is enthusiastically endorsing (and has signed) since it gives greater access to Asian markets. Meanwhile Trump has made no bones of his utter distrust and suspicion of Syrian refugees, who were welcomed here with open arms by the federal government, promising to ‘harden’ the border against potential terrorist incursions from the north.

It’s interesting so many people coming to this blog loudly support a guy who has the clear ability to turn order into chaos, make money flee, and rewind Canada. More evidence of the broad-based appeal a simple man in complex times can muster.

This is the Black Swan.

194 comments ↓

#1 Jimmy on 08.26.16 at 6:54 pm

FIRST
For melody

#2 Rick on 08.26.16 at 6:55 pm

In Garth We Trust!

Love you, keep up the great work Garth.

#3 Bram on 08.26.16 at 6:58 pm

a billionaire who arrives on his own passenger jet

Is he one, or is it a millionaire that plays billionaire on TV?

#4 Revol on 08.26.16 at 6:59 pm

But, but… Trump isn’t winning the election.

#5 Arfmooocat on 08.26.16 at 7:00 pm

Canada may soon taste Alberta’s economic pain

http://edmontonjournal.com/business/energy/gary-lamphier-canada-may-soon-taste-albertas-economic-pain

#6 randy on 08.26.16 at 7:01 pm

It’s a bubble. If it deflates, it’s not Trump’s fault.

#7 BOOM! on 08.26.16 at 7:06 pm

I happen to really like black swans.

I am no fan of Hillary, and no fan of Trump either.

I really don’t give much of a rip who (or what) wins the presidential election. I care deeply who wins in the house and senate (they spend the money, make wars, laws).

The president is a rather useless figure, really, you have T2, as I said.

I am more interested where our markets are headed than which idiot holds the steering wheel in a self-driving car.

How is the rest of the world doing? Not terribly well from what I can see from here in the cow pasture. So what? Things change faster than Trump’s stand on any issue.

OK, Smokey man over to you…

#8 F.dover on 08.26.16 at 7:07 pm

Bring it on, make the world protectionist again. We can all make stuff right here and trade it with each other just like in the good old days. I have a long shuttered business with building all equipment, supplies and now antique truck ready to roar right back to life in full production again at the drop of a border gate!
Thanks for the 26 year vacation though Brian Mulroney

#9 Eric on 08.26.16 at 7:07 pm

“his desire to bomb Syrians and others back to the bronze age” : absolutely untrue, this is the Clinton war mongeress who wants to bomb everyone …

“articulate, thoughtful rivals like Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio” : common, seriously ???
He is the republican candidate because the others sucked even more !

#10 Il Donaldo on 08.26.16 at 7:11 pm

If you study history, sometimes, it is easier to get a sense of what could happen again.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ifFPsaPeocI

#11 Tabloid globalist on 08.26.16 at 7:15 pm

Garth, this piece is a weightless MSM PR for globalism – pretending it is the inevitable, one and only possible way for the entire world to go on the basis of “trust us, we know better”.

The same attitude of former Communist party leaders, who claimed they knew only what was best for everyone.

There is no sign that you are actually familiar with any studies, papers that discuss the issue, your arguments are at the intellectual depth of the supermarket tabloids when it comes to globalism.

#12 Doug t on 08.26.16 at 7:16 pm

People voted Brexit because they are fed up with politicians that support the rich more than the masses. Europe is going the same way and will eventually see the demise of the Europian Union. In the States – Shock and Awe – same thing is taking place. It’s not the ordinary citizen that brought this to be but the megalomaniac PTB around the world who think they are puppet masters.

Times they are a changin

Rage Against The Machine

#13 Chopper Dude on 08.26.16 at 7:17 pm

Ya ya… ok fine. But there has to be a way to make some money with this Garth. How do we do it? What do we buy into? Bonds?

#14 SWL on 08.26.16 at 7:18 pm

Trump and Clinton both tearing up the TPP. Yeah right. Just like income taxes and the GST are only temporary.

We live in a mixed up world where the globalist have brainwashed the masses

Central bankers have F’ed up the financial world so bad that there is now only one way out… Print to infinity then collapse

From chaos will come order so they say. Rinse and repeat, sadly it’s all part of the plan

Interest rates will not be going up by choice south of the border. They have cooked their own goose, and surely Granny Janet wouldn’t blow both her feet off now would she???

What remains of the American Advantage

#15 Smoking Man on 08.26.16 at 7:19 pm

The delema…How does a portfolio manager rebalance when the Trump Train rolls into town..

Simple realy, just pay attention to the comments section of Greaterfool.. Look for a certified mental case called Dr. Smoking Man..

Between my exquisitely perfect philosophy, leberal bitch slapping, and daily mayhem I’ll put out a few biggess, after all I’m quite charitable when in the mood.

Ryan and Doug you got alot of work ahead of you…

I’m going to have some serious bragging rights cone Nov 8th.

But I will also be out of a job.. NAFTA being tossed in garbage…

Luck for me, I don’t need a job…

#16 ROCK BEATS PAPER on 08.26.16 at 7:20 pm

Hyperbole at its worst. The President is hamstrung by Congress and the Senate, always has been, always will. Even Obama, with Democratic control of both houses in his first two years of his first term got very little done besides the disaster called Obamacare.

Candidates talk all manner of nonsense in order to get elected and then very little gets done.

The definition of a BS is one out of left field, completely by surprise and where you cannot even put a probability since it is not even being discussed. Trump does not even come close to qualifying. Re-read Taleb, instead of just dropping his name.

As Jeffrey Gundlach noted the reality is that Trump has no problem bringing on the debt and will spend like crazy on infrastructure. If that is all he does, then his actions will ironically mirror T2.

#17 MSM-Free Zone on 08.26.16 at 7:20 pm

“….the middle class has been exported to China and India and the wealth gap has canyoned as never before……..”
_________________________

A rising tide didn’t lift all the boats in America. Only the yachts. And all of the yacht owners who wiped out trillions of middle class equity in 2008 never spent a day in jail.

Not hard to see why Americans are pissed.

A garden slug could have said “Make America Great Again” and they would’ve given it the GOP nomination.

At least Trump survived a narrow brush with heel spurs. That’s gotta count for something.

#18 Michael King on 08.26.16 at 7:21 pm

It is possible that Trump could win. However, going back to 1952, the candidate who was ahead at this point in the US presidential election cycle went on to win the general election every time. That said, this is an extraordinary political year in the US and Trump is an extraordinary candidate.

#19 El Presidente Trump on 08.26.16 at 7:22 pm

I knew you would come around Gartho!!!.. starting to feel some luv there…

So here’s my deal….. Keystone’s a go…tremendous wealth there… pipe it on down.. open the spigots… but, but ye gotta pay ..so I’m tearing up the rest of NAFTA… softwood lumbar, tax it.. car parts, tax em…. maple syrup, blockade

What ya gonna do little T2?? Keystone or NAFTA?

It’s only fair or you’ll be paying for a wall too.

#20 BobC on 08.26.16 at 7:22 pm

I hope tomorrow we’ll see what you think of Hillary. Be balanced. Devote a column to what you see as her achievements.

#21 Mark on 08.26.16 at 7:23 pm

I personally believe a Trump presidency would be very good for Canada. Trump wants to get the pipelines built as they are clearly in the interests of the United States, to move oil from Canada to the US market in which it is desperately needed. Trump wants to crack down on abuses of labour arbitrage, which should restore health to the US labour market and at least start the revival of the US manufacturing sector (which is very positive for Canada as part of the supply chain). Trump wants to deport H-1B workers who are under-paid, which will leave Canadians in a great spot to fill the void (previously Canadian workers in the tech sector were significant participants in the US tech sector, but were mostly supplanted with Indian nationals over the past 15 years — TN visa issuance has dropped dramatically!).

Also, some have suggested that Trump would consider defaulting or restricting the US national debt. This would be very positive for the precious metals, which in turn, would be very positive for the precious metals mining industry which is dominated by Canadian firms.

I personally don’t see many, if any real downsides to a Trump presidency for Canada. Hillary, on the other hand, promises more of the same broken Obama policies which have been not very good for Canada and Canadians. Trump has made no comments to the effect that free trade with Canada would be cancelled — free trade with Canada hardly has any meaningful impact on US labour markets, or US manufacturers compared to the damage that bringing in a low-wage, low-standards country has brought to the table. Remember that Canada and the USA had a robust free trade agreement, signed under the Mulroney government, prior to the implementation of NAFTA.

I had the opportunity to drive from western Canada to eastern Canada this summer, and much of it was through the United States. Canada relies heavily upon the US for so much infrastructure, and much of that infrastructure is dated and is falling apart. The number of Canadian-branded trailers and trucks I saw on the Interstates was impressive. Trump proposes to increase investment in that infrastructure (and nearly all infrastructure broadly), which is essentially a de facto part of the infrastructure that supports East-West trade in Canada.

#22 Julie K. on 08.26.16 at 7:23 pm

Today’s post brings to mind the classic fairy tale ‘The Ugly Duckling’ (Hans Christian Andersen ~ 1844).

Not even sure why.

#23 Mark on 08.26.16 at 7:26 pm

“Also, some have suggested that Trump would consider defaulting or restricting the US national debt”

My mistake. The proper word is “restructuring” the US national debt.

#24 Dosouth on 08.26.16 at 7:28 pm

Whether this nutbar wins or not, I am certainly hoping that somebody in gov’t here realizes who still pays the majority of taxes….Canada is next, and maybe politico’s of all stripes need to listen to what is happening down there as we are usually 5 years behing the USA in world and financial events……IMHO

#25 Smoking Man on 08.26.16 at 7:32 pm

#17 Michael King on 08.26.16 at 7:21 pm
It is possible that Trump could win. However, going back to 1952, the candidate who was ahead at this point in the US presidential election cycle went on to win the general election every time. That said, this is an extraordinary political year in the US and Trump is an extraordinary candidate.
….

What do you mean quite possibable, a landslide Man.

I was interviewed in August 2001 with Canter Fitzgerald, in the world trade centre. I got the job starting Oct 1st, all those nice people who interviewed me died on Sept 11.

Justice for them is coming soon.. Building 7

#26 Clinton is a racist, but Trump is a BETTER racist!!! on 08.26.16 at 7:33 pm

What’s not to love !?

#27 For those about to flop... on 08.26.16 at 7:34 pm

I’m over this election.

Make Lewenza great again…

M42BC

#28 Moses71 on 08.26.16 at 7:34 pm

Well most of us up here can’t vote there, anyways. So what Canadians say mean diddly.
What do you expect from a country (us) who brutalizes our own real estate market-we as in the masses who live in the 2 biggest cities, for one? Lack of foresight?

#29 Smoking Man on 08.26.16 at 7:36 pm

Im predicting based on today’s post. We go over 300 comments..

#30 Forebiz on 08.26.16 at 7:41 pm

Garth,

You’ve completely converted me to only seeing things your way. I once enjoyed reading the MDJ blog but now I see others posting their net worth updates and all I can do is cringe. The latest one this week is a realtor, check it out you’ll love it.

#31 For those about to flop... on 08.26.16 at 7:44 pm

#28 Smoking Man on 08.26.16 at 7:36 pm
Im predicting based on today’s post. We go over 300 comments..

////////////////////////////////

Yeah I hope so because I’m 30 people shy of telling me where they would live in the States.

Also I’m expecting a post from someone calling me a realtor for putting my question to the people instead of telling them where they should be living.

Score ….16 North
……3 mixture
…….2 South

M42BC

#32 juno on 08.26.16 at 7:45 pm

Even if trump win,

I doubt it if he would stir things up that much.

After all he is a business man. right now he’s all talk just to get the win.

At the end of the day it would probably be the same old same old. Look at Brexit.

They are going to sway to the same old routine in about 6 months.

But it did send a message to the puppet masters.

#33 wantinthegame on 08.26.16 at 7:46 pm

yada yada if trump wins…if hillary wins, putin declares world war 3 …and it’s against the states! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I4ythLYtbEs

#34 bigtowne on 08.26.16 at 7:46 pm

Fort McMurray fire was a black swan.

Canada overcoming the loss of the tax revenue from the bust in the energy sector and the Alberta economy is a black swan we are digging deeper into with each new unfolding economic quarter.

Energy East Pipeline stopped dead in its tracks even before making it onto the drafting planning stage is a black swan.

Surely our elected officials will want to make some effort to get our Canada back into the black.

#35 MF on 08.26.16 at 7:46 pm

So this super robust and strong “recovery” is dependent on a democrat to be in office?

Lol what a joke. This fake recovery is so delicate because it’s 100% dependent on never ending stimulus. Do we even know the long term ramifications of all this stimulus? Of course not because it’s clear these guys (economists, CB’s) are clueless. That’s the real reason for Trumpism/Brexit. Nothing is adding up and people are catching on.

Don’t worry everyone if Hillary is elected the next 3 trillion in stimulus will be the one that finally gives us growth again. I can feel it.

MF

#36 Victor y on 08.26.16 at 7:48 pm

What is the odd of President Trump?

#37 John in Mtl on 08.26.16 at 7:49 pm

Garth wrote:
Trump embodies what the system fears. He stands for a breakdown of what’s evolved, wherein globalization’s made corporations more efficient,

You mean, “made corporations more predatory”. Trump is not the answer but the system needs to feel the fear and possible wrath of the people that are being fleeced daily by this very system.

…central bankers have smoothed over economic burps,

You mean, “helped out their friends and insiders with taxpayer money – privatise the profits but socialise the losses and costs. (The nuclear industry is a perfect example of this.)”

…high-speed trading has taken over from humans, wherein savers get nothing,

You mean, “machines able to game the system to the machine owners’ advantage, of course”.

…the middle class has been exported to China and India and the wealth gap has canyoned as never before.

Yes, thanks to socially irresponsible CEO’s and corporations’ “almighty profit motive to the expense of all else”, predatory and crony capitalism, media manipulation to steer the masses, etc.

…Ironically, it’s a billionaire dude who has profited from all of those evolutions that is now Everyman’s champion.

Trump is a “one-percenter”, he plays his game very well but he’s not on the peoples’ side. Too bad the people who endorse him can’t seem to see that. On the other hand, the system needs a serious shake-up and people need a good slap on the head to wake up.

As for Ms Clinton – more of the same that you stated in your article plus a possible WWIII. Funny how the “system” has so far exonerated her in the email scandal, FBI director Clapper was probably told to “toe the line, or else…”. Heaven forbid she becomes the next POTUS.

What is even more amazing and even more sad is that, of all the good, honest and bright people in the USA, those two candidates is all they can come up with??

#38 JSS on 08.26.16 at 7:50 pm

Heavyweights of the world:

– Donald Trump
– Jason Kenney
– Nigel Farage

Guns – God – and Glory baby!

lol!

#39 Smoking Man on 08.26.16 at 7:51 pm

#18 El Presidente Trump on 08.26.16 at 7:22 pm
I knew you would come around Gartho!!!.. starting to feel some luv there…

So here’s my deal….. Keystone’s a go…tremendous wealth there… pipe it on down.. open the spigots… but, but ye gotta pay ..so I’m tearing up the rest of NAFTA… softwood lumbar, tax it.. car parts, tax em…. maple syrup, blockade

What ya gonna do little T2?? Keystone or NAFTA?

It’s only fair or you’ll be paying for a wall too.
……

It’s going to beautiful, Trump goes ok to Keystone and T2 goes wait, I need to ask Butts for permission. You know how that’s going to end.

Then Alberta elects the Separatist Party of Fort Mac
Then all those rabbid cyclists in urban centres die of starvation..

While I get stoned in Equidor..

#40 ole Doberman on 08.26.16 at 7:51 pm

Sounds like condo bubble bursting world wide

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/markets-by-sector/real_estate/the-condo-market-turning-down/

#41 Political capital on 08.26.16 at 7:52 pm

Garth, your political capital is moving fast to the negative yield territory.

After Trump defeated with KO what you call “the articulate, thoughtful Bush, Rubio” opponents, writing off Trump the way you do is like Eric Honecker, the last leader of East Germany was looking at the events the day before the fall of the Berlin Wall.

Either completely clueless or in complete denial of the changed political reality.

You talked like this about Brexit, too, before it happened.

#42 Cecil Henry on 08.26.16 at 7:55 pm

Ignore the issues, distort them and disparage anyone who doesn’t toe the PC line.

What do you get??? Trump. So many can’t grasp a basic truth. ITS NOT about Trump.

Well done.

There’s just a continuing death spiral, as the walls close on those few places remaining where ordinary people can live decent lives.

We can either guard one border around our country, or we will be forced to set up innumerable small borders in the form of gated communities, private schools, increased security, closed social networks and the never-ending flight from diversity.

The endless diversity that chases DOWN everyone.

In contrast, the Clintons and T2’s of the world seek out the holdouts against the reigning liberal hegemony, establish themselves in positions of power
and wealth, and then hollow out those communities and institutions.

Then they go somewhere else– for no one wants to actually LIVE in their PC rhetoric. In the end, nothing substantial is left behind.

But sure, talk about Trump…..

#43 Kate on 08.26.16 at 7:56 pm

I just hope Trump looses.

#44 John in Mtl on 08.26.16 at 7:58 pm

T2 has enthusiastically endorsed the TPP AND SIGNED IT ??

He just signed Canadas’ death warrant. This is the worse news I’ve read in a long while…

RIP our tens of years of struggles for clean food, air and water; our labour laws that protect health and well-being of people who work; our affordable health care system; our democracy; I could go on and on and on…

#45 Goldie on 08.26.16 at 7:59 pm

Notice that no longer does our dear host assert that a Trump presidency is impossible.

#46 Capt. Serious on 08.26.16 at 7:59 pm

Naw. Black Swan would be Trump winning and shortly after assuming office dying, thereby making his wacko running mate the Pres.

#47 When Will They Raise Rates? on 08.26.16 at 7:59 pm

Not sure why you praise the neocons Jeb, Marco or Hillary (or central banks for that matter)… I have to disagree with you Garth…

His crushing of experienced, articulate, thoughtful rivals like Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio was decisive and overwhelming.

Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio are thoughtful and articulate? And all this time I had mistaken them for neocon warmongers in the pockets of the big banks and military industrial complex…

his desire to bomb Syrians and others back to the bronze age is seen as populism gone bonkers

No, that would be the two above mentioned neocons, along with Hillary Clinton.

#48 NoName on 08.26.16 at 8:01 pm

#20 Mark on 08.26.16 at 7:23 pm

Trump wants to deport H-1B workers who are under-paid, which will leave Canadians in a great spot to fill the void

how about Canadians that use h1b visa to work in a us, will they be deported.
If nafta is cancelled and there is no h1b how can canadian fill the void. I think that we know where void is…

#49 Smoking Man on 08.26.16 at 8:03 pm

I’ll never forget that interview at Canter Fitzgerald, my final obstacle, a tiny short woman, Vicky. About 6 months pregnant, Chinees, she outs me on my education, a total lie on the resume.

I pulled a photo of my kids out of my wallet , said I can do the job. This shits not taught at schools. I’m the best. I need a break for them… Please help me.

She put here hands on her belly, the kid was kicking.
She said. I know your a good family man… My son told me….

Then I was sent to the on boarding department.

Vicky up there somewhere I can assure you, those bastards that did 911 will pay…

I’m on it for you sweet lovely lady…. Who I see everyday in my thoughts..

#50 Penny Kalinique on 08.26.16 at 8:03 pm

Remember Bill Clinton and Jean Chretien promised they would cancel NAFTA. How did that work out 22+ years later.

They will just leave the TPP and expand it even more. Don’t be gullible and believe a bunch of liars.

#51 When Will They Raise Rates? on 08.26.16 at 8:03 pm

Hillary Clinton is Evil! (REMIX)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vqYJRc0TJkQ

Trump 2016

#52 BS on 08.26.16 at 8:04 pm

So here’s the bad news from the bright minds at Citigroup.

Not sure I would use “bright minds” when referring to those running Citigroup. The stock is down almost 90% over the last 10 years. Has to be one of the worst run banks ever.

#53 Forzudo on 08.26.16 at 8:07 pm

The current US Electoral College projections show less than a 20% chance of Donald Trump winning the US presidency in November: http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

#54 Linda on 08.26.16 at 8:08 pm

Garth, it was not that long ago that you declared Trump winning ‘will never happen’. Does this mean you have changed your mind & further, besides the epic love ins that Trump reportedly is still getting at the rallies he attends what now makes you think he may well be elected president after all? Do you think Americans are going to Trump(et) him to victory the same way Britons voted Brexit despite what had been predicted (Britain staying in the EU).

#55 The Wet Coast on 08.26.16 at 8:09 pm

I thought yesterday’s blog was a bit slow. So you throw some meat to the dogs. Should rev it up, but it’ll be dull and the same old stuff. I decided about a week ago to collect pictures of Squirrels rather than talk about US politics.

#56 Pepito on 08.26.16 at 8:13 pm

Stick to telling old, rich guys how to avoid taxes because you suck at comprehending the big picture.

#57 earlybird on 08.26.16 at 8:15 pm

Ha! I see over 300 comments….Garth is poking the Trump Bear! I had to read nassims book twice..good read. A meteor is a Black Swan Event if we don t see it coming….Trump is a buying opportunity.

#58 For those about to flop... on 08.26.16 at 8:19 pm

#22 Mark on 08.26.16 at 7:26 pm
“Also, some have suggested that Trump would consider defaulting or restricting the US national debt”

My mistake. The proper word is “restructuring” the US national debt.

////////////////////////////

This is the black swan.

Mark admitting he made a “mistake” will trouble the markets for sure.

Also I couldn’t help but think if someone suggested he used the word “restructuring” he would of wrote a post about how that was the wrong word to use in this instance.

You alright dude?…

M42BC

#59 Blacksheep on 08.26.16 at 8:21 pm

It doesn’t matter who wins this, or future elections.

The systemic gate keepers, will simplify not relinquish control buy allowing change.

Any body that doubts this, needs to do some research on the founders and foundations of: The Trilateral Commission, The Counsel on Foreign Relations and the UN.

There is no conspiracy here, this info is all public knowledge if you take time to look. Ron Paul and Donald Trump, never had a chance.

The Cattle are bated into believing, change could be in the wind, poor naive souls. But the fix is in (electoral college) and hill is the next PotUS.

Hell….Even Garth joins in on the theatre, when he knows there is zero risk of a Trump presidency.

#60 SWL on 08.26.16 at 8:21 pm

How can I not chime in on something like this.

Yeah both Trump and Clinton vow to tear up the TPP… Come on now, we all know the weight election promises hold.

Central bankers have done nothing but steel from the working man since their privatization of public funds. If you don’t know or understand that, then dig deeper. The game is so rigged and it blows my mind how most people cannot see the obvious. Perhaps maybe they just choose not to. Central bankers have no plan other than print to infinity then collapse.

From chaos will come order so they say

It saddens me that we are collectively heading to the evolution toilet. With the technology we have created and ‘progress’ we have made, yet here we are. Pointing our fingers at the political puppets while most are unknowingly have their minds controlled. Globalism is not about business, for there is nothing left to sell. We have already been sold. Sadly, not even the highest bidder. Perhaps that is why we constantly need to be reminded of how we are free.

The good people far out number the bad in this world, yet the pure evil remain in control.

Interest rates will not rise in America by choice. Blockchain technology has them flirting with disaster as far as holding the world reserve currency for too much longer.

Why don’t the mention that on the campaign trail???

#61 Tomas on 08.26.16 at 8:22 pm

If Trump wins the presidential election, guess what will happen? Absolutely Nothing.

#62 Blacksheep on 08.26.16 at 8:23 pm

By not buy..

#63 WUL on 08.26.16 at 8:29 pm

FLOP:

I was FLIP in responding to your question about where I would live in the US. Having been shaped by 47 out of 60 years in Calgary, I would seek a comparable where the plains met the foothills and then the mountains. So, Colorado.

Turning to tonight’s topic, following the second Tuesday in November this year, a switch to Nome, Alaska would be in the works.

#64 Smoking Man on 08.26.16 at 8:29 pm

Bad news for Canada, which is already struggling with rising unemployment, negative growth and wobbly real estate markets – which now account for about 20% of GDP. Our country lives on trade. And Donald Trump has said repeatedly he would rip up the North American Free Trade Agreement, under which 80% of the stuff we make finds its way onto US markets.
…..

Lets see, 2 million Canadians working under TN and L1 visas are sent home.. Because of the shit conditions, BOC goes to negative 0.05 overnight rate.

A Long Branch Bungee with a thousands cigarettes buts on the front lawn sells for 2 million…

I see it.

#65 Freedom First on 08.26.16 at 8:30 pm

Americans are angry. And so are Albertans. And so were the Brits.

Don’t anyone worry about me though. As of course, I am doing awesome.

Because I always do what is best for me. I have tremendous discipline when it comes to looking after my well being in every way. Freedom First. Priceless.

I am a classic. A one of a kind.

And you know, I never used to like being called a Boomer when I was younger. However, today, seeing the anger, ageism, and outright hatred for my generation, I absolutely love being called a Boomer.

#66 He's a Megalomaniac on 08.26.16 at 8:33 pm

Say goodbye to civilization if xenophobic, misogynistic Trump gets elected.

His economic rants are those of a megalomaniac. Read the ongoing posts of his disciples on this blog, same pattern. Birds of a feather…

He has promised nothing on wealth redistribution…the only issue he has raised worth listening to and why he is so popular.

Unfortunately for civilization, Americans seem to like electing the least experienced candidate:

1976: Carter vs. Ford
1980: Reagan vs. Carter
1992: Clinton vs. Bush Sr.
2000: Bush Jr vs. Gore
2008: Obama vs. McCain

#67 Deviants on 08.26.16 at 8:35 pm

All new era was started up by deviants of the old era.

At the end-tail of the old era the ideas of the new era were always tried to be discredited by focusing on the deviant messenger, not on the ideas that create the new era.

Most Trump “analyst” are stuck in this trap, old as history itself.

#68 Ret on 08.26.16 at 8:36 pm

Trump promises change vs. more of the same from the Democrats and old school Republicans. This is not good?

Canadians think that a Harper policy reversing, selfie obsessed PM represents real change. We will see about that.

More bike lanes, wind turbines, rapid transit and weed won’t fix this mess. Party on Canada!

#69 Lance in Lantzville on 08.26.16 at 8:38 pm

Hillary will not be on the democratic ticket.. Because she is gravely ill. For that reason and other email and sundry issues soon to be released, she’ll be pulled and crazy Joe will be the Democratic candidate…and the Dems will win the election because Biden is just a bit less crazy than your friend Trump..Hitlery’s illness will be presented as the reason she pulls out.. Or, if she continues, Biden will be the president of the USA come August 26,2017..when..

So, that should help make you sleep better tonight Garth…

But, Hillary or Biden, WW3 in 2017?

I say this because your knowledge of international issues seems very limited or skewed..Or, if you really know what is going on you sure don’t make it known. Perhaps you don’t want the sheep to panic?

As far as the RE market goes, you couldn’t even get the housing market right in Saskatoon after 7 years of exceptionally poor prognostications.. Never mind B.C…Simple stuff..And you really have no idea what’s impacting RE prices in B.C.

Want to bet a Maple I’m wrong about Hillary??

#70 Smoking Man on 08.26.16 at 8:49 pm

#53 Linda on 08.26.16 at 8:08 pm
Garth, it was not that long ago that you declared Trump winning ‘will never happen’. Does this mean you have changed your mind & further, besides the epic love ins that Trump reportedly is still getting at the rallies he attends what now makes you think he may well be elected president after all? Do you think Americans are going to Trump(et) him to victory the same way Britons voted Brexit despite what had been predicted (Britain staying in the EU).
…….

Why the hell you asking Garth. He has a degree for Christ sakes..

He’s never bucked rivets or knocked on thousands of doors. Is all I’m saying.

Herdonomics Phd’s require alot of bleeding knuckles..

#71 Deviants on 08.26.16 at 8:52 pm

#42 Kate on 08.26.16 at 7:56 pm
I just hope Trump looses.

—-

Would that make the issues that create Trump go away?

#72 Mark on 08.26.16 at 8:53 pm

“how about Canadians that use h1b visa to work in a us, will they be deported.”

Canadians who work in the USA are generally very highly paid. Canadians aren’t schlepping themselves down to California to be paid at a significant discount to US tech workers or living 10 to an apartment like the Indian workers do on the H-1B visas. Canadians generally use the TN-1 visa, for which Trump has spoken nary a nasty word concerning.

Yes, Trump’s comments concerning “NAFTA” per se are concerning, but there’s been nothing in any of his campaign materials or speeches, or really, anything for that matter that suggests that he believes that the Canada/USA relationship is anything but symbiosis in action. With a common border. Relatively common environmental and social standards. Fairly similar per capita GDPs and wages. In a nutshell, businesses are not fleeing the United States for Canada, nor vice versa to exploit lower cost labour, lower environmental or lower social standards.

“Lets see, 2 million Canadians working under TN and L1 visas are sent home.. Because of the shit conditions, BOC goes to negative 0.05 overnight rate. “

2 million? Nope. A small fraction of that.

“Mark admitting he made a “mistake” will trouble the markets for sure.”

Don’t know about that. But this could be a very interesting fall, that’s for sure. I don’t think your average trader or investor has any clue where to invest at this point, or whether or not the outcome of the US election has any materiality. All I see is mountains of evidence that the economy is slowing significantly, and that the Fed may very well be making a monumental mistake by attempting to “jawbone” a very different narrative instead of providing appropriate policy support to the economy.

#73 For those about to flop... on 08.26.16 at 8:55 pm

#62 WUL on 08.26.16 at 8:29 pm
FLOP:

I was FLIP in responding to your question about where I would live in the US. Having been shaped by 47 out of 60 years in Calgary, I would seek a comparable where the plains met the foothills and then the mountains. So, Colorado.

Turning to tonight’s topic, following the second Tuesday in November this year, a switch to Nome, Alaska would be in the works.

///////////////////////////////////////

That’s o.k I’ll still keep you in the North camp.

A couple of other things that have stuck out is that West coasters seem to favour Oregon/ California but people over East seem to mention places East of the Rockies ….not too much crossing over ….familiarity I guess.

Also you mention Alaska but no one has chosen Hawaii yet.

If I had to live down South ,the first city I would try would be San Diego…love that place.

Garth, it seems like you wanted to show InLewenza and Robax how to get a reaction to a post.

Read it and weep boys…

M42BC

#74 Smoking Man on 08.26.16 at 9:00 pm

Dr getting hammered fast Smoking Man.

A proud Deviant.. Nothing like it…

Fitting in is so lame. Sucking up is not the way to rock..

Unless you live in Saudi Arabia. If you don’t suck up you die… Woman forbidden from driving cars… Yet the biggest downers to the Clinton foundation…

Lefty isum is a true mental disorder. Chics she don’t got your back, Black’s, and Latinos. Your just a vote so she can bring in more illegal workers to flood the labour market to make sure you never get a raise. Remeber the law of supply and demand.

James.. Your an idiot if you can’t see your occupation is on the hit list too.

Your just too stupid to forsee shit….

Lucky for you I’m here. I’ll eventualy get to you.

#75 CNN, Clintons on 08.26.16 at 9:02 pm

Interesting peace from the days when satellite feed were not encrypted yet: Larry King tells to Bill Clinton on hot mike that “Ted Turner would serve you, if you know what I mean”…

Clinton’s reaction is interesting, he seems surprised.
Larry King’s wholesale voluntary media sellout is simply disgusting.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-08-26/caught-hot-mic-1992-larry-king-assures-bill-clinton-ted-turner-would-serve-you

#76 Damifino on 08.26.16 at 9:07 pm

#56 earlybird

“A meteor is a Black Swan Event if we don t see it coming….”
———————————–

It’s a black swan event even if we do see it coming.

#77 Ex-Cowtown on 08.26.16 at 9:07 pm

Hillary is a first class criminal. She’s a third class liar though, which is surprising as her hubby wrote the book on it. He needs to give her lessons. She is easily the most corrupt and undeserving person to ever run for the presidency.

Now Trump is another matter. He drives the elites apoplectic. Not a bad reason to vote for him.

#78 Moses71 on 08.26.16 at 9:08 pm

Hillary you and your hairband should do a visit in Russia b4 speaking any further. That will end that. Save the rest of us from from the real threat. Bring on The Don

#79 Smoking Man on 08.26.16 at 9:16 pm

#68 Lance in Lantzville on 08.26.16 at 8:38 pm
Hillary will not be on the democratic ticket.. Because she is gravely ill. For that reason and other email and sundry issues soon to be released, she’ll be pulled and crazy Joe will be the Democratic candidate…and the Dems will win the election because Biden is just a bit less crazy than your friend Trump..Hitlery’s illness will be presented as the reason she pulls out.. Or, if she continues, Biden will be the president of the USA come August 26,2017..when..

So, that should help make you sleep better tonight Garth…

But, Hillary or Biden, WW3 in 2017?

I say this because your knowledge of international issues seems very limited or skewed..Or, if you really know what is going on you sure don’t make it known. Perhaps you don’t want the sheep to panic?

As far as the RE market goes, you couldn’t even get the housing market right in Saskatoon after 7 years of exceptionally poor prognostications.. Never mind B.C…Simple stuff..And you really have no idea what’s impacting RE prices in B.C.

Want to bet a Maple I’m wrong about Hillary??

The fact that Gartho always doesn’t get it right but alows you to say what’s on your mind..

That deserves more respect… He’s a true to the core freedom of speech guy… That’s why I love him.

He’s rebal of sorts… Harpo resigned today. Who hung Gartho out to dry, I was expecting some bitch slapping, it dident happen. Gartho is amazingly good dude.

When my shit gets deleted, it’s because he don’t want me to hurt myself..

Dog lovers…. The best in all of humanity…

#80 Chump on a Stump on 08.26.16 at 9:20 pm

It’s been quite a few years since I’ve read Taleb’s books. But I believe the actual definition of a black swan is an event that is completely unforseeable and is spontaneous. Although Garth’s message is on target tonight regarding the peril voting Trump in would cause, I don’t think it would be considered a Black Swan as Trump’s win wouldn’t meet the definition.

#81 valleyrenter on 08.26.16 at 9:22 pm

For flopper.

Oregon for me. Somewhere on the coast. Astoria maybe? (Hey you guyyyyyys). In all seriousness though, love the Oregon coast. First went there camping with a buddy and his family when we were teens. Rode our BMX bikes for miles on the beach with the wind at our backs. Greys Habour area I believe.

#82 US 30 year mortgage rate 3.43% on 08.26.16 at 9:22 pm

What does it tell you about the long term US interest rate?

Can you buy a house with 40% down, get immediately HELOC and invest it for average 6-7%, running the cash cow for the next 30 years?

#83 Smoking Man on 08.26.16 at 9:23 pm

Shit last post should have read dosent always get it right.. Not always doesn’t get it right. Fix it Garth, flip it..

And delete this…

#84 Andres on 08.26.16 at 9:24 pm

Hi Garth, I’m a long time reader and I think this is one of your finest pieces!.
Thanks for your work.

#85 F.dover on 08.26.16 at 9:24 pm

Read the first 80 issues of The Mother Earth News from the late 70’s thru the early 80’s.
Buy a wood splitter, a chainsaw, a woodlot, a tiller, a welder, a set of tools for every trade, and learn how to use them. This is your future, the condo fees are going to end your life otherwise with the financial armageddon that Clintons and the Jackson Hole five have in store for you. I can’t understand why the millenials have not figured out that playing hippy back on the land is where to be. Anybody know where I can buy some water bed conditioner?

#86 common sense on 08.26.16 at 9:33 pm

#72 Flopola

I’ll have to pick California with an asterisk, that I would love to live there if only on the ocean..Ventura, San Luis Obispo, San Diego, Mailbu, Venice Beach.

Inland I’d rather die…

Travelled through New York State the past few days… strangely not many political signs yet 20 or so Trump and Zero Hillary…. Though loudest cheer at concert I attended last night was a line from a song called “Foolishness” that was ad libbed “Don’t need no Donald Trump in my life..”

#87 Martin9999 on 08.26.16 at 9:34 pm

Americans would be fools if they dont vote trump. Why would an american care about canada, japan, china, mexico ?

#88 tom on 08.26.16 at 9:35 pm

i think your an angry white male

What have I got to be angry about? — Garth

#89 Smoking Man on 08.26.16 at 9:36 pm

Hallelujah the weirdo solo dancing Man is back at senica doing his show.

Thank god I’m not the last Freek show here.

#90 Poisonous on 08.26.16 at 9:36 pm

Hilary wont make it in. The rest is fuzzy

#91 protea on 08.26.16 at 9:37 pm

Garth I am not posting this in attempting to prop up Trump but this latest blog in my view is an over reaction to trump and his ideas.

Firstly about the ongoing debate and comment about Brexit .In the aftermath of Brexit it appears that the UK economy is not doing too badly and is not as bad as people feared after Brexit.

EU needs the UK as it is an important component and that is why Article 50 has not yet been invoked. UK will probaly still have some form of liason with the EU that will allow both parties not too lose face in the long run.

Many pundits have already declared the race over with Trump. The gap in the polls this week have reduced to 1-3 pts. It looks like Clintons problems have just begun with the Clinton foundation and her her many non-official visitors whilst secretary of state who were major contributors to the cause.

In terms of our country maybe Trump if he wins. He might in the long term by tearing up trade agreements change the way we governed and although very painful will hopefully change our philosophy and the will of people that will ultimately make us a much stronger country by people becoming much more resilient and self-reliant in the future.

#92 Smoking Man on 08.26.16 at 9:41 pm

So you think you can tell heaven from hell?, depends on how much schooling you had..

Dr Syming Man

#93 Ooter Limits on 08.26.16 at 9:44 pm

Angry white globalist guys are offended by Trump, and
angry white globalist gal, Kadaffi-killer, is offended by Trump.

#94 Smoking Man on 08.26.16 at 9:52 pm

Married to a complete mental case.. My life’s challenge. Fix it. When everyone in her life wants to through her under the bus…

Those eyes…. They got me young… Just like libtards.

She’s got a great heart with zero social skills..

Dr Smoking Man will fix it… But not right now. Writing a book. I need rich charters for inspiration..

#95 Love My Kia on 08.26.16 at 9:54 pm

Today’s write up might as well be a shout out to buy gold, and lots of it!

Regarding Kias and Costco, both are spending decisions made with the intent of sensible living. Some people are better at it than others. The show-offs drive Audis and buy $60 bottles of Pureology shampoo, the exact knockoff (and made in Canada to boot) sells under Costco’s Kirkland house brand for $15.00 a two pack.

Who’s crazy now?

https://toughnickel.com/frugal-living/10-Things-You-Should-Buy-at-Costco

How much shampoo will Costco sell you for a gold wafer? — Garth

#96 Paully on 08.26.16 at 9:57 pm

Judging by his hair, I would say that Trump is more of and Orange Guinea Pig Swan.

#97 lance in Lantzville on 08.26.16 at 9:58 pm

Smoking man you got a life? Or are you actually Garth? I don’t visit this site much but it seems you spend the better part of every day on it…Welfare? Independently wealthy?

#98 NoName on 08.26.16 at 10:04 pm

two yrs ago i worked for an American company small plant, well paid 100 jobs. Plant was profitable, nimble and with relatively small overheard, only “problem” was energy cost, but i remember being told about opg rebate cheques on couple of occasions if not more, not from micky mouse working stiff, but from plant manager himself. Word was that all OH was made by mid February… Not many spinoff jobs there.
all that and “they” repatriate “our” jobs…

fast forward to now, another american company 50x more employees and lot of more spinoff jobs.
considering that trupm could rips free trade apart, now i am wondering how long this gig will/can last. i should be ok to some degree but many around me won’t…

#99 Hawk on 08.26.16 at 10:08 pm

Donald Trump has made a brilliant play in understanding what moves the US middle class, ————regardless of whether he intends to follow through on any of his core platform policies, or simply abandon them as “election promises” (i.e. the typical politican playbook) if and when it suits his purpose to do so.

But all that said if the voter turn out on election days is strong, than Trump’s chances are very small, simply because Hillary’s (i.e. the Democratic) base is so much larger. It’s no longer a population split of roughly 50/50, the Dem’s are larger and growing in numbers faster than the Republicans.

In fact, the 2016 US election, could well be the last one that the Republican party even has a crack at.

Interesting times lie ahead that’s for sure.

#100 WUL on 08.26.16 at 10:10 pm

Speaking of elections, (in Canada a perfectly good excuse for drunken fist fights) I completely overlooked the fact that a by-election will be held in my stomping grounds of Calgary Heritage with the resignation of our MP, the dweeb that oversaw the Dark Decade.

Spoke to the wife. She is contemplating seeking the Liberal nomination.

She is shopping for pantsuits.

#101 Love My Kia on 08.26.16 at 10:12 pm

How much shampoo will Costco sell you for a gold wafer? — Garth
======================
228 bottles of Kirkland Moisture shampoo vs. 28 bottles of Pureology

Did I mention that I max out on my TFSA each and every year (yes there’s precious metals in it).

#102 Smoking Man on 08.26.16 at 10:14 pm

lance in Lantzville on 08.26.16 at 9:58 pm
Smoking man you got a life? Or are you actually Garth? I don’t visit this site much but it seems you spend the better part of every day on it…Welfare? Independently wealthy
….

I suck up for one day, because I like the guy I’m drunk again. Wine.. No JD

Fking conspiracy terrorists.. Stick to building 7

If you want credibility for the noblel tin foil hat of fedoras.

#103 For those about to flop... on 08.26.16 at 10:16 pm

#84 common sense on 08.26.16 at 9:33 pm
#72 Flopola

I’ll have to pick California with an asterisk, that I would love to live there if only on the ocean..Ventura, San Luis Obispo, San Diego, Mailbu, Venice Beach.

Inland I’d rather die…

Travelled through New York State the past few days… strangely not many political signs yet 20 or so Trump and Zero Hillary…. Though loudest cheer at concert I attended last night was a line from a song called “Foolishness” that was ad libbed “Don’t need no Donald Trump in my life..”

/////////////////////////////////

Hey Common ,I am giving anyone who says California a point on the north side even though the state touches the Mexican border.

Different people have different definitions of the south…we could talk about the Mason Dixon line and the such but the implication was last week that we all want to live as far south as possible.

Arizona,NewMexico,Texas ,Louisiana,Mississippi,Alabama and Florida are all getting a point for south because you can’t go any farther south in the full states.

As I said California is a tough one but it is so big that it is hard to classify in this case.I talked about San Diego being near the border but I don’t think most people think of it as the south.

More interested in States than cities and towns as the aforementioned criteria is easier to formulate.

Not even counting Georgia as South as you can go further south.

It’s not an exact science,but the numbers so far have been surprising .

A few people chose Texas but most people seem wary of the heat and also the fairest scenario is seeking employment not sitting by the pool sucking Hop Pops.

I wonder if I asked the same question in December or January when people are shovelling snow would it be so skewed towards the more northern states?

Still no one has said Florida or Arizona as a full time choice.

Haven’t heard from Snowboid yet…

M42BC

#104 ww1 on 08.26.16 at 10:25 pm

#4 Revol on 08.26.16 at 6:59 pm
But, but… Trump isn’t winning the election.

The biggest risk to another Clinton White House is the polls. If the polls show Mrs Clinton ahead prior to the Nov 8th election then expect many Democrats to stay home, or vote for a 3rd party candidate. So Drumpf does not want to be “winning” right now – he is perfectly positioned at the moment.

The same thinking sunk Al Gore in 2000 and the same thinking allowed the Brexit “yes” vote.

#105 james on 08.26.16 at 10:32 pm

No offense, but this was a terrible post.

Canadians who wonder at the popularity of Trump are simply ignorant of US politics. They know nothing of the continual failures of GOP and Tea Party politicians to represent their constituents. Time and time again, politicians mouth platitudes about limited government, only to turn into pork barrel wonders when in office. Paul Ryan is the epitome of the elite GOP insider who basically is a liberal in disguise.

I would stick to finance instead of pontificating about a country that you know little about. While I am no conservative, all you offer is cheap ad hominems and ignorance, painting anyone who disagrees with your position as a ‘xenophobe’, etc. How odd, to see such typically ‘progressive’ cultural marxism coming from a former Conservative politician.

Ad hominem. How Trumpian of you. — Garth

#106 F.dover on 08.26.16 at 10:36 pm

Flopper
Don’t move to a place where you or advisers have had great vacations if you are going to have to work there. It will not be as peachy as planned, living in a tourist mecca if you are not one of them. The grass is always greener through a car window.

I got a sore throat just driving through Denver 20 years ago which went away by the time we reached Cheyanne hours later, the Denver air was black with soot, just like it was in Vegas and down by the port in Vancouver B.C. Try Albequerque on for size if you aren’t rolling in dough. Best bet though, Ixnay on Americakay, just a few too many Americans down there you will eventually figure out…that means everything if you have ever missed home.

To be completely open about it though, I have spent several years of total collective time visiting most of the states of USA, but I have only been in and slept in one city, so it brings to mind, are you asking about cities, or ‘places’ where one would want to live? To me there is a big difference.

And to repeat myself from last night after seeing all, the place to relocate is right here South west Nova Scotia not USA. I moved out of the GTA/the golden horseshoe for good in ’79. My very least favourite place!

#107 ej on 08.26.16 at 10:41 pm

RE Smoking Man
“a certified mental case called Dr. Smoking Man” That is the only way to read his verbal diarrhea. The rest is smoke, just bad smoke.

#108 jfish on 08.26.16 at 10:50 pm

It doesn’t matter who wins the American election. The real owners of the world will see to it that their agenda is adhered to. See John F. Kennedy. We have no rights, just privileges. Poles can and will be tampered with. Oh and ” terrorist attacks are mundane” really…nice..

#109 Chris in Nanaimo on 08.26.16 at 11:07 pm

#97 Hawk

“In fact, the 2016 US election, could well be the last one that the Republican party even has a crack at.”

For sure….one might surmise that the Western liberal powers drive to increase immigrant populations is that once they become ‘legal’ and can vote…guess who they vote for….? A clue….the opposite of right….

In the not too distant future the native ‘white’ populations will become a minority in their own countries…thus ensuring the Lefties never lose another election…

Percentage of Canadians who are white: 84. You are an idiot. — Garth

#110 mark on 08.26.16 at 11:11 pm

Meh, he’s got a bunch of the usual suspects in his advisory team. If he was elected he wouldn’t do anything wacky. Just like Hillary would immediately toss out all that trade appeasement stuff she copied from Trump and Sanders. The TPP would be back on the table on day one with both of these clowns.

#111 waiting on the westcoast on 08.26.16 at 11:14 pm

Article on CNBC shows the continued growth of spending by the US consumer. The only cautioning is if the business investment reductions are foreshadowing a recession. And whether the beginnings of slowdowns in my businesses in the NE of the US are predicting a potential recession starting in early 2017.

#112 waiting on the westcoast on 08.26.16 at 11:15 pm

Oops – here is the link:

http://www.cnbc.com/2016/08/26/consumers-come-to-the-rescue-of-us-economy.html

#113 PacketLoss on 08.26.16 at 11:17 pm

I challenge Garth to produce one verifiable statement or action that would make Trump a “racist”.

Ghazala Khan. — Garth

#114 For those about to flop... on 08.26.16 at 11:27 pm

103# F Dover.

Yeah ,you make some solid points.

My reason for asking this question multiple times ( sorry guys trying to get reasonable sample size) was last week there was a spirited debate between two posters and it seemed to be presumed that everyone wanted to live “down south” and I thought this was wrong but the only way to find out was to put it to the test..

Even though there are a lot of retirees on the blog the fairest way to gauge , because we are talking year round living with realistic goals for everyone on the blog is to pretend your looking for employment and families to worry about.

Like I said it’s not perfect but the numbers so far ar around 90% wouldn’t choose a state that is as far south as you can go.

Appreciate the answers as it has to be done to find out what the consensus is.

Sorry boss for the extra homework…

M42BC

#115 NoName on 08.26.16 at 11:27 pm

#71 Mark on 08.26.16 at 8:53 pm

dude from two house down tells me other canadians that works with him (software engineers) have hb1 visa, maybe if you dont want to apply for green card tn1 is ok.

#116 Figmund Sreud on 08.26.16 at 11:30 pm

Trump is a political phenom.
_______________________

So? Just the same, … a very best reason for the Americans to vote – en masse – Trump is that he does not want a war with Russia, … a nd that trumps everything!

Look, Clinton and her elite ventriloquists threaten us just with that. War. The anti-Russian hysteria coming from her and her remoras is outright defining!

Anyway, … a one final point that you might bear in mind is that wars seldom turn out as expected, usually with godawful results. And…

… and we do not know what would happen in a war with Russia! Period.

F.S. – Comox, BC.

#117 westcdn on 08.26.16 at 11:35 pm

I have been watching the US Fed players bark from quite some time. I think they have backed themselves into a corner and need to bite to free some space. They want to prove they are independent and in the business of saving the American economy from deflation. I am betting the Fed will surprise in September with a ¼ point increase.

I honestly believe they want to see what the fallout will be and maintain their illusion of omnipotence. All markets will roil and this is only a ¼ point. Hillary will not be happy particularly if the Clinton secrets are exposed about the same time. Do not count a Hillary defeat out yet – I have a hard time saying Trump victory because of his narcissism and thin skin.

I don’t think most Americans like either presidential candidate so I expect a low voter turnout which can lead to strange results.

#118 CanadianWithUSBirthplace on 08.26.16 at 11:37 pm

Technically I can vote in the US election, I think. Not sure if the state my Canadian parents welcomed me in would allow me to register as a voter since I only lived in USA while in diapers. But if I voted, I would vote for Trump. Why? Because at least there is an extremely remote possibility that the Republicans might do something about FATCA and the stupid, archaic, counter-intuitive ‘citizenship based taxation’ where people like me who have lived in Canada since before they could remember are considered ‘US taxpayers.’

#119 WUL on 08.26.16 at 11:51 pm

FLOP:

As you tabulate the results of your poll, bear in mind that as we move from south to north with the latitude of desirable cities to live in:

Windsor, Ont. – 42.30054 degrees North
Toronto, Ont. – 43.65317 degrees North
Portland, Ore. – 45.51958 degrees North
Seattle, Wash. – 47.59978 degrees North

A bunch of Canucks can move north to live in the U.S.

Also, Reno, Nevada is further west than Los Angeles.

Washed Up Geographer (WUG)

#120 Cherry Picker on 08.26.16 at 11:53 pm

Taleb is great, but he is a tad negative. While black swans happen unexpectantly, unexpectant good things can happen, too. So while Trump could beat the odds and become a black swan. I think we should also spend time celebrating white swans like T2.

Hey, just wanted to note it is a tad racist to call unexpected bad things black. What was Taleb thinking? Must be Alt-Right.

#121 Brazil ex-pat on 08.27.16 at 12:04 am

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oj4K9fr_WgY

Packed rally with Donald “he wont make the nomination” Trump and Nigel “Brexit will never happen” Farage

#122 Brazil ex-pat on 08.27.16 at 12:09 am

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nnm9AChEcro

The Donald is going to wait patiently……all back of the bus…….then three weeks before the election…..the Clinton Bombs are going to drop like the Battle of Britain.

This is when 20% of the population still has not made up its mind……its going to be a 100% perfect strategy.

#123 Chris in Nanaimo on 08.27.16 at 12:14 am

DELETED

#124 Ponzius Pilatus on 08.27.16 at 12:15 am

Most Americans are so obese that they will have to take their wheel chairs to the voting booth.
Some may even have to be air lifted.
Clinton has the skinny vote wrapped up.

#125 cat on 08.27.16 at 12:25 am

#111 ….about to flop.

Florida.
Quebecer-raised who went to Fla every Easter – so know it and love it before the developers ruined every seashore. But there has to be a nook for me, with manatees, Marie Selby Botanical Gardens and the Salvador Dali museum. Never mine sponge-o-rama, the best store ever.

#126 ANON on 08.27.16 at 12:32 am

N-Taleb’s B.S. (pun) implies no one could have seen this coming, somewhat like a sort of ill tempered Deus-ex machina. In reality, everyone with a basic knowledge of the principles of our civilization could have seen a tipping point, and an inevitability.
B.S. is merely a sheep-skin sanctioned way of moralizing (yet again), instead of rationalizing the math and inevitability.
There is no B.S, there is only the exponential growth of impossible-to-keep promises, which has to fail at some point, as all exponential growth does.

#127 maya on 08.27.16 at 12:51 am

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#128 One mil is nothing on 08.27.16 at 12:57 am

As soon as it’s gets out how little income tax Trump has paid in his life due to RE depreciation, he’ll lose his support and be history. What was it he said about releasing his past tax returns, something about “my taxes are very complicated…..”. The Dems are smart people, getting someone unelectable to run against them.
It says a lot about how far the US has declined given the choice for president is between a former wife of a president with no personal achievements that has demonstrated her lack of skills in her current position and someone who calls those of Mexican heritage “rapists and thieves”, apparently not appreciating how the western land mass of the US was acquired.

#129 Greg on 08.27.16 at 12:57 am

What a BS article. Your understanding of how the world works is severely handicapped. Articulate- jeb bush?? This criminal is even dumber the Jr. Do you even know about papa bush supporting the nazis in ww2 through ig farben? Do you know about the clintons distributing cocaine with the manuel noriega/ contra/barry seal/ricky ross/dark alliance? ? Man- your limited knowledge of history annoys me. Pompous schill.

#130 Lea on 08.27.16 at 1:19 am

#3 Bram on 08.26.16 at 6:58 pm

a billionaire who arrives on his own passenger jet

Is he one, or is it a millionaire that plays billionaire on TV?

Where’s the “like” button when I need it?!

#131 Herménégilde Chiasson on 08.27.16 at 1:19 am

If Trump wins, the Vancouver bubble will finally burst.

#132 Lea on 08.27.16 at 1:25 am

#106 Chris in Nanaimo

Is a native ‘white’ like a jumbo shrimp? There are no native whites in North America. If you are white, you were imported.

#133 millenial82 on 08.27.16 at 1:27 am

It appears the box seats VIP commentator section at the top financial blogpost in Canada is majority pro trump…?

#134 PeterfromCalgary on 08.27.16 at 1:28 am

Garth he will approve the Keystone. So he is better then crooked Hillary.

#135 HH on 08.27.16 at 1:41 am

The greatest laugh, if Trump wins, is a first meeting between Trump and T2. T2 will wilt.

#136 NoName on 08.27.16 at 1:54 am

#113 Figmund Sreud on 08.26.16 at 11:30 pm

“… and we do not know what would happen in a war with Russia! ”

russians know that us have lot better and stronger army. conventional conflict us wins. during cold war russian knew that they have no chance in conventional war vs us, that is why they have disproportionately more big kaboobms.

pre emptive big kaboom is just best everyone’s best guess, but there are lot more thing at stake now vs 45, so unless any of people with finger on a button is comp;ite loonie, that is less likely. only loonatic that should be feared is the NK firles leader, but he is ch na s dog….

there are 2 book s by some kgb defector (mirkoghin or something lile that), who took complite kgb archives on micro film , everything since Bolshevik revolution up to fall of cccp, and defect to us.

it might get colder, but no winter is coming!

#137 willworkforpickles on 08.27.16 at 2:10 am

Worrisome you say.” things almost as worrisome as Adele, Costco, Justin Bieber or even Kias” …Well let me say , these things aren’t nearly as worrisome as the rising cost of bullet proof glass.

#138 Where do we go? on 08.27.16 at 2:11 am

If Trump gets elected and droves of Americans come to Canada, where do we go to get away from them? North of the border puts us in Siberia.

Posts so far are cathartic and preparing for a Trump Black Swan event no matter what your political stripe…good you did this Garth.

I have to say we have enough of our problems here in Canada at present with a negative growth economy, huge capital asset bubbles perhaps bursting and epic debt. If that comes to pass ala Nouriel Roubini, we will have our own Black Swan event as Smoking Man’s Canadian “herd” seem to be oblivious to it all at present – save this Blog’s intrepid Author and his band of Merry Commentators (that was Merry, not Mary…sorry, could not resist Garth)…the latter for which I am grateful to be a part of.

#139 Hard Core on 08.27.16 at 2:24 am

Garth , you’re trumpeting the liberal propaganda that insists a Trump presidency would be a disaster because it’s not Liberal? What of the fact that Clinton is a shyster, a proven incompetent and witchie?

George Soros and the evil empire have the world carved into nice little chunks and Trump might upset the applecart much the same as when Putin decided to stop the colonization of the Ukraine.

Ban ke Moon has convinced Juice Box Justin to send Canadian troops to South Sudan to kill for a displaced dictator.

Garth, we need a Trump to stop men like Soros from setting the world on fire.

#140 Make US Great Again! on 08.27.16 at 3:07 am

Yeah for Trump! Well if the regular system ain’t working for the middle class, then perhaps a Trumpian system will work. When you are having no success with the current way, than the only obvious choice is to try something new! Trump for president!

#141 earthboundmisfit on 08.27.16 at 4:06 am

@35 Victor y
What is the odd of President Trump?

Zero, zip, zilch, nada. Take it to the bank.

#142 fishman on 08.27.16 at 5:15 am

Notice lately there seems to be a last minute unscripted collective movement of voters, like a murmur of starlings or a school of fish. After the fact we can pinpoint the signal, but can’t predict the effect before or during the implementation. Take Brexit; The morning after Obama came over & told the Brits they would go to the back of the line with a “no” the poles reversed. Or the Cons banning the face covering in citizenship ceremony. The Dippers disagreed, the quebec vote started hemorrhaging & that sent a message to the Anybody But Harper vote. Pile into the Libs. Here in B.C. the Dippers snatched defeat from the jaws of victory when the leader came out against building pipelines.

This election is Clintons to lose, but, like a murmur of starlings the flock turns. A signal only they hear & the pundits decipher in the rear view mirror. The hawk gains altitude; the centre cannot hold.

#143 Jim Burns on 08.27.16 at 5:31 am

You say that Trump would unwind Canada but hasn’t our pathetic PM done that already? Seriously look at what has happened to the economy since the Trudeau Selfie Campaign began a year ago.

#144 Greg B on 08.27.16 at 6:58 am

“It’s interesting so many people coming to this blog loudly support a guy who has the clear ability to turn order into chaos, make money flee, and rewind Canada. More evidence of the broad-based appeal a simple man in complex times can muster.”

Garth, you are talking about Trudeau. You see, with every action comes and equal and opposite reaction (Newtonian physics). Canadians are beyond stupid when they elect a selfie Bieber brother as PM. We should in no way comment about who Americans elect. Pot meet kettle.

We can only hope that Trump is elected. You see, the resulting destruction to the Canadian economy won’t be borne by Trump, it will be borne by Turdeau. It is the only solution to correct Canadian’s thought process in voting.

#145 For those about to flop... on 08.27.16 at 7:14 am

#116 WUL on 08.26.16 at 11:51 pm
FLOP:

As you tabulate the results of your poll, bear in mind that as we move from south to north with the latitude of desirable cities to live in:

Windsor, Ont. – 42.30054 degrees North
Toronto, Ont. – 43.65317 degrees North
Portland, Ore. – 45.51958 degrees North
Seattle, Wash. – 47.59978 degrees North

A bunch of Canucks can move north to live in the U.S.

Also, Reno, Nevada is further west than Los Angeles.

Washed Up Geographer (WUG)

////////////////////////////////////
Hey WULLY,
Well Common Sense does call me Flopolla occasionally so maybe he had a premonition.

I am starting to think I should step down into the V.P role and let someone who knows what they are doing take over.

Maybe with the election down south I should have been asking how far north Americans are willing to move.

Nah,most likely it will be the same old,same old no matter who wins.

But this question was never really about picking on America or Canada ,rather if allowed how far as south would we go.

People on here realize if you pick up some warmer weather you probably lose something else besides your jacket.

There are some smart cookies on this blog.
I am just the crumbs in the bottom of the packet.

Maybe we will get 50 answers but already this myth is looking busted.

If the conductor of this orchestra had asked the question we would have gotten an easy 500 responses, but I have good intentions …..really I am just a guy in the horn section who has lost his sheet music and is playing with his trombone…

M42BC

#146 Bytor the Snow Dog on 08.27.16 at 7:15 am

Garth sez:

“He stands for a breakdown of what’s evolved, wherein globalization’s made corporations more efficient, central bankers have smoothed over economic burps, high-speed trading has taken over from humans, wherein savers get nothing, the middle class has been exported to China and India and the wealth gap has canyoned as never before.”

None of what you’ve written in this paragraph is a good thing, which is, of course, why Trump gets traction.

He benefited from it all, and will change none. — Garth

#147 Tony on 08.27.16 at 8:03 am

I’d just like to see whoever wins the presidency clean up Wall Street and imprison all these bankers who rigged everything.

#148 Zen Headspace on 08.27.16 at 8:16 am

Trump = Hitler

Not to worry though.
If this egomaniac psychotic sociopath actually wins, his days will be numbered.
The right people know what to do.
They KNOW what to do.
There aren’t enough Secret Service agents on the planet to stop it either. Just sayin’.

https://www.google.ca/?ion=1&espv=2#q=rise%20of%20the%20third%20reich%20video

#149 Sam the Sham on 08.27.16 at 8:26 am

I was never too fond of Donald Trump and I was sure he was a poor choice for president. However, after seeing who is arrayed against him, I’ve had second thoughts.
Wall Street, the multinational corporations, the military industrial complex, the Neocons, the Zionists, the corporate media and the oligarchs that own and control everything are all against him. They are pulling out all the stops to defeat him.
Trump may not be perfect, but he is a way to give the finger to the power structure that is looting the country and destroying the middle class!

Unbelievable sentiment here today. We are a society of professional victims. — Garth

#150 Smoking Man on 08.27.16 at 8:49 am

Smoking Man a proud member of the alt-right movement.

Love Milo, the true champion of free speech. On tour with his dangerous faggot tour unhingeding lefty phycos on usa campuses..

He’s done more to destroy the lefts clamp down on free speech than anyone on this planet. And he’s a kid. Give him the Nobel Peace Prize.

http://www.breitbart.com/milo/2016/08/26/milo-bbcs-briefing-room-alt-right/

#151 Deviancy on 08.27.16 at 9:08 am

Reading Garth’s post and listening to this video from 2:14:00

https://youtu.be/Wz-5NfVktMU

#152 Fog Ducker on 08.27.16 at 9:14 am

IMHO;

Black swan event is not the tidal wave that hit Japan caused by the earthquake (this risk is studied thoroughly and understood), but the knocking out of the Fukushima reactor and all the havoc this caused (very few people understood this risk prior to the event).

Black swan event is the Sept. 11th terrorist attack. No one was prepared for an attack of this magnitude. This attack led to the invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq. Over a trillion spent, thousands of US soldiers killed and injured and hundreds of thousands of ‘insurgents’ and civilians killed.

Trump does not qualify as a black swan event. He has been so thoroughly studied and examined that the markets will have plenty of time to anticipate and adjust accordingly.

Interesting thing is that Trump says the Iraq war was a mistake and is less of a war hawk than the other republicans and even Hillary.

Here’s a black swan event for you. Isolationist Trump wins, says to hell with the Middle East. Between US shale oil and Canadian tar sands, the US has available oil supplies for 100 + years. Therefore he decides to pull all US troops from the Middle East (including Saudi Arabia) and close all Middle East bases. Anyone prepared for that?

#153 Crash Cart on 08.27.16 at 9:20 am

Greg, the CBC and Unifor are already developing a sketchbook on how to blame Trump for Juice Box Justin’s utter failure and Canada’s slide into inevitable recession, even if Trump isn’t elected.

Juniors ignorance of the loss of Canada’s half trillion dollar loss of the energy industry on the lives of Canadian working families from coast to coast is monumental in it’s stupidity and will follow Junior and his antediluvian sycophants into the political toilet bowl of history.

#154 Zen Headspace on 08.27.16 at 9:30 am

#117 Cherry Picker

“Hey, just wanted to note it is a tad racist to call unexpected bad things black. What was Taleb thinking?”
——————————————————————–
The term is based on an ancient saying which presumed black swans did not exist, but the saying was rewritten after black swans were discovered in the wild.

Before 1697, teachers confidently taught European schoolchildren that all swans were white. They had little reason to believe otherwise, since every swan ever seen had the same snowy plumage.

However, after Dutch explorer Willem de Vlamingh landed in Australia, black swans were discovered (among many other “strange” animals that Europeans had never laid eyes on).

Just because you haven’t seen a black swan doesn’t mean that there are no black swans. Unlikely events seem impossible when they lie in the unknown or in the future.

So, there is no “racism” involved in the moniker.

The only racism is in your own mind.

#155 Nobody on 08.27.16 at 9:37 am

Trump would be great for Canadian industry.
After his promise to default on US bonds everyone is going to buy gold – go Barrick.

His abandoning NATO means every eastern european and baltic state, as well as Korea and Japan are going to need nuclear weapons in a hurry – so Cameco might finally become profitable

#156 dogman01 on 08.27.16 at 9:45 am

Article I found interesting explaining what is being called the alt-right in the US from a younger (then me) persons perspective.

http://www.breitbart.com/tech/2016/03/29/an-establishment-conservatives-guide-to-the-alt-right/

Trump supporters; I found it an informative read of a phenomena I did not know about.

The CBC Article led me to this; I like to be somewhat informed. The racist card can be played to label a group or opinion effectively sidelining them; it is worth having wondering or a deeper dive.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/world/hillary-clinton-alt-right-donald-trump-white-nationalist-hate-groups-1.3736506

#157 crowdedelevatorfartz on 08.27.16 at 9:51 am

@#28 Smoking Man
“There will be 300 posts on this subject”
*******************************************

And….unfortunately…..100 of them will be yours.

@#92 Smoking Man

“Married to a complete mental case.. My life’s challenge. Fix it. When everyone in her life wants to through her under the bus…

Those eyes…. They got me young… Just like libtards.

She’s got a great heart with zero social skills..
********************************************

I hate to break it to you Smokey. But in a drunken stupor…………you were wearing a wig and staring at yourself in the mirror….again.

Narcissism….
the first step on a long trip to Delusion-ville……

#158 dogman01 on 08.27.16 at 9:57 am

I do not see how Real Estate can stand in Calgary much longer.

It seems to be a bit wobbly but still standing:

This article details the true Human situation, a lot of lost human potential:

http://business.financialpost.com/news/energy/jobless-in-alberta-tens-of-thousands-of-energy-professionals-are-out-of-work-and-out-of-hope?__lsa=4de1-2176

#159 Claude Chaulk on 08.27.16 at 10:07 am

I agree, Trump will be a disaster for most things that
he will be responsible for and has access to, but given there is no choice other than Clinton, we are in for some God Forsaken times my friend, regardless of who as the smile in November.

#160 crowdedelevatorfartz on 08.27.16 at 10:16 am

@#119 Brazil expat
“The Donald is going to wait patiently……all back of the bus…….then three weeks before the election…..the Clinton Bombs are going to drop like the Battle of Britain…..”
*******************************************

Well I’m sure that waiting until the last few weeks in the election to fling mud at the opposing candidate never, ever occurred to the Clinton campaign juggernaut…… Yeesh.

The “angry white male” vote isnt enough to win Trump the Presidency. Case closed.

Unless, of course, there is a repeat of the Republican “chad gate” shenanigans of the Bush /Gore election.
You may or may not recall that Bush “won” by the narrowest of margins in US Presidential election History (50.01% to 49.99%)…. in an electorally important swing state (Florida) where his brother….his brother …..was the governor…..
But then Sept 11th happened less than 8 months after he was sworn in and there were more important things to “focus” on……”terrerists”

And in this looming election debacle we will have Swing states ( mostly in the south and predominately Republican leaning) that have changed the voter qualification rules in the past few years to make it even more difficult for poor(mostly black) voters to qualify for voting. 3 govt pieces of ID has been the new rule and while these blatantly partisan rules are being challenged State by Southern State in the Courts. There is no garantee the same thing wont happen again.
Dreadfully long lineups, angry, disillusioned voters walking away after standing for hours waiting to vote, disqualification due to “trumped up” voter rules.

That should be the story of this coming election. Unfortunately the MSM would rather focus on every embarrasing Trump utterance spewed forth for the adoring blue collared masses…who flock to his every venue. Ironic if it wasnt so pathetic since Trump has never ,evr had dirt under those well manicured nails in his entire life.
Clinton is ahead in the polls and the only thing that will cause her to lose is the Republican partisan cheating machine pulling out all the stops to get a dangerously incompetant, self absorbed, ultra-rich, loud mouthed, boorish oaf elected Commander in Chief.
But, as Regan and Bush Jr have proven…they can only do so much before Congress and the Senate yank their chain….”Good dog, now SIT!”.

But then again, Brazilian politics has learned a lot in the past few decades of “democracy”

http://www.google.ca/url?url=http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-08-27/dilma-rousseff-defense-begins-in-rowdy-brazil-impeachment-trial/7790916&rct=j&frm=1&q=&esrc=s&sa=U&ved=0ahUKEwj07NSF4-HOAhVJ82MKHf3dC1QQqQIIHzAD&usg=AFQjCNEziiiQShYk4uYX5wlVKaGxhEVfSw

#161 Millenial on 08.27.16 at 10:33 am

Doesn’t matter who is elected, there will be a bond/stock/real estate market crash of historic proportions that will be discussed hundreds of years from now.

If things don’t crash before the election and trump gets elected (unlikely), the Federal Reserve and powers that be will immediately raise interest rates and crash it on him and blame him.

#162 Grey Dog on 08.27.16 at 10:39 am

So when do we liquidate our portfolios?
A. Day before election.
B. Election Day.
C. Day after election.
D. None of the above.

That’s obvious. — Garth

#163 TRUMP on 08.27.16 at 10:47 am

Trump is the only hope for America. Why do you think the MSM/bankers are so unionized against him. We are hooped either way. The bankers will bring things down.
Clinton Cash-Just a small dose of what the Clintons do.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7LYRUOd_QoM

#164 MF on 08.27.16 at 10:50 am

#138 earthboundmisfit on 08.27.16 at 4:06 am

He’s the Republican nominee and you say zero chance. Yeah right. Time to wake up.

Are you female? A lot of females are threatened by a dominant male in power i think. Not all, but a lot. Look at the joke results of our last election.

Anyone hear of the new Lib initiative to send our soldiers on more hopeless peacekeeping “united” nations missions? Did these idiots not learn from Rowanda? Do Liberals and progressives ever read a history book or do they just go by emotion?

-the UN is a currupt worthless organization controlled by third world despots, princes, and useless beaurocrats that needs to be ignored. Harper knew it. that’s why he couldn’t give two craps about that useless UN seat.

Witness the Durban conference sanctioned by the UN and all the filth that attends it.

MF

#165 Doghouse Dweller on 08.27.16 at 10:55 am

It’s interesting so many people coming to this blog loudly support a guy who has the clear ability to turn order into chaos
——————————
The globe is already beyond chaotic, How about some North American regime change for a change !

Hillary Clinton (what a choice…)

http://www.breitbart.com/clinton-cash-movie/

#166 Grey Dog on 08.27.16 at 10:58 am

Floppers question what American city to live in…
Well we all know to retire to a city that contains a university. Just returned from a Conference in Denver, great downtown, free bus shuttling up and down main shopping street for a couple of miles…then hubby drove to ski area Breckenridge, the altitude sickness had me totally incapacitated for days. SanDiego in May.
Standards guys from California always said they could never pack up family and move North to Seattle for employment, lack of sun would insight severe family unrest. Apparently even Seattle company HR recognized this.
Watch the movie SIDEWAYS, then I’ll make a decision.

#167 46 and 2 on 08.27.16 at 11:04 am

I will admit that I really don’t know that much about how the political gears work in the USA. Unfortunately, I do believe that any president can call the nation to arms when little or no notice or input from others. BUT – in the case of trying to overturn negotiated trade deals overnight where some form(s) of binding contract(s) are concerned I would think that the prez of the USA has little or no teeth.

#168 The future on 08.27.16 at 11:25 am

So many interesting posts and some pretty dumb ones. Take Jim Burns who blames Trudeau for the current mess in Canaada. So I guess you don’t understand oil collapse? Trudeaus policies will not start impacting Cananda for a few years in the future.
Why are people so happy with a housing meltdown? Thousands of people will be out of work, they will stop spending and coupled with the current economy will put Cananda into a recession. Is that what you really want?
Yes Trump will win but who cares most presidents cannot make major domestic policy changes. It takes years. Build a Mexican wall, ha ha I laughed when I read that Americans would not accept low paying jobs, so they would have to hire Mexicans to build the wall. But guess what the Mexican economy is doing very well and Mexicans migration has changed to going back to Mexico.
The wall is to keep them in the states. A black swan is an unprictictable event, trump being elected is not a black swan. A black swan is Trudeau winning the presidency, you don’t see it coming that’s why it’s a black swan.

#169 TurnerNation on 08.27.16 at 11:26 am

Agenda 21 in action: TO Star Homes section today reports GTA resident looking to build house addition would be assessed $161,000 in made up government BS green and development fees.

This is life under Communism. You know this money will be stolen away to pet projects or graft anyway. And union graft.

Message is clear: get into a UN-approved sustainable 400; square foot condo.

#170 };-) aka Devil's Advocate on 08.27.16 at 11:34 am

On Donald Trump;

A part of me, like Jim Jefferies, wants to say “…Let’s Do It. Let’s do it and see how crazy #### can get…”

https://youtu.be/CceQISThDYQ

#171 Pete on 08.27.16 at 11:50 am

I like what Trump says. I just don’t believe that he’ll actually do any of it. I would like to roll Canada back several decades. I watch old National Film Board documentaries and dramas on their website and feel nothing but disgust at what Canada & the world has become in recent times.

#172 Context on 08.27.16 at 12:27 pm

Does it really matter who becomes the President or is it just putting one against the other? There have been no Presidents since JFK just a long line of puppets, so keep your eye on the puppet master instead.

#173 Ponzius Pilatus on 08.27.16 at 12:51 pm

#165
The irony:
Mexicans building the wall to keep their own people out.
Guess, they’ll call it the Judas Wall.
Can see Putin standing there and proclaiming:
Mr. Trump, tear this wall down.

#174 TurnerNation on 08.27.16 at 12:57 pm

Wheat prices fall to decade-low levels. Don’t buy this sustainability BS. Famines always are engineered- a population control of elites (see Syrians bombed out of homes to here) 30-50% of prepared foods get tossed into the bin. We can feed everyone.

Say what of the billions we forked over to Haiti (it is always a major drug and human trafficking hub of elites. (So is Israel by the way). See now we are fed all these same countries in media every day? Time is money.

#175 Bram on 08.27.16 at 1:01 pm

#167 };-) aka Devil’s Advocate on 08.27.16 at 11:34 am
A part of me, like Jim Jefferies, wants to say “…Let’s Do It. Let’s do it and see how crazy #### can get…”
https://youtu.be/CceQISThDYQ

Heh heh… that was pretty good.
In Nashville no less.
Thx for sharing.

#176 Doghouse Dweller on 08.27.16 at 1:25 pm

Order into chaos ? check out paragraph “American Victims of Empire” and “Inequality and Domestic Security”

https://consortiumnews.com/2016/08/26/the-high-cost-of-american-hubris/

#177 NoName on 08.27.16 at 1:25 pm

Lets help Floppy get 50 answers with “If you could live in any state in the U.S which one would you choose?” survey. Survey is free it will take only 50 participants and will be up 10 days, or what ever of those 2 comes first. ill screen grab results when surway reaches a max.

thank you
NoName

http://freeonlinesurveys.com/s/kY3vRHAs

#178 Society of professional victims on 08.27.16 at 1:30 pm

Unbelievable sentiment here today. We are a society of professional victims. — Garth

—-

Funny you are saying that.

This English man who left the school system at age 15 has a lot to share about it.

True Smoking Man material.

https://youtu.be/Wz-5NfVktMU

#179 Brazil ex-pat on 08.27.16 at 1:41 pm

#157 crowdedelevatorfartz on 08.27.16 at 10:16 am
@#119 Brazil expat
“The Donald is going to wait patiently……all back of the bus…….then three weeks before the election…..the Clinton Bombs are going to drop like the Battle of Britain…..”
*******************************************

Well I’m sure that waiting until the last few weeks in the election to fling mud at the opposing candidate never, ever occurred to the Clinton campaign juggernaut…… Yeesh.

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Mud slinging? Trump does not have movies named after him like Hillary’s America and Clinton Cash. Go watch those then come back informed.

#180 jess on 08.27.16 at 1:56 pm

Trump’s new hire Bannon registered to vote at a vacant home? or is it a matter of tax efficiency ?

florida voting rules

http://www.salon.com/2016/08/26/election-fraud-steve-bannons-residency-issues-explained-by-breitbart-news-articles/

For more on the Fed’s balance sheet, see http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_fedsbalancesheet.htm

#181 jess on 08.27.16 at 2:05 pm

162 Doghouse Dweller on 08.27.16 at 10:55 am
re clinton cash

======

Reporters React To Trump’s Clinton Cash Citations By Noting “Widely Discredited” Book’s Factual Problems

Twenty-Plus Errors, Fabrications, And Distortions In Peter Schweizer’s Clinton Cash
Research ››› April 30, 2015 3:06 PM EDT ››› ERIC HANANOKI Versión

…”After ABC News Found Book Errors, Schweizer Admitted Mistakes

http://mediamatters.org/research/2015/04/30/twenty-plus-errors-fabrications-and-distortions/203480

http://mediamatters.org/tags/peter-schweizer

#182 WalMark of Sadkatoon on 08.27.16 at 2:22 pm

So when do we liquidate our portfolios?

The correct question is WHO will liquidate your portfolio?

A. You will
B. Your children or family member
C. The government

#183 MF on 08.27.16 at 2:25 pm

#171 TurnerNation on 08.27.16 at 12:57 pm

Source for Israel as a human trafficking center?

http://www.state.gov/documents/organization/258879.pdf

Here’s the US department of state trafficking in person’s report from 2016. Israel is “tier 1” along with Denmark, Italy, France etc.

Nice try though.

MF

#184 Doghouse Dweller on 08.27.16 at 2:36 pm

#178 jess

The Clinton Foundation’s finances are so messy that the nation’s most influential charity watchdog put it on its “watch list” of problematic nonprofits last month.
The Clinton family’s mega-charity took in more than $140 million in grants and pledges in 2013 but spent just $9 million on direct aid.

http://nypost.com/2015/04/26/charity-watchdog-clinton-foundation-a-slush-fund/

#185 Entrepreneur on 08.27.16 at 2:45 pm

Let’s play a game here and you can add or subtract whatever you want to visualize what the graph would look like:

Earth Pie Shape: growing and multiplying, before

Earth Nation(s) Pie Shape: when mankind lived within borders

Whip Cream The Whole Pie Shape: forget the earth, forget the people that live within the borders and add international free trade agreements

Cherry On Top Pie Shape: election time and say the words that will win the votes but in the meantime rubbing the pie in our faces

Automation, Robots Pie Shape: made by the same group with the same, made over and over and over

Wake Up Pie Shape: Brexit, the people of that nation come first

A little fun there, enjoy!

#186 TCContrarian on 08.27.16 at 2:56 pm

https://youtu.be/OqbDBRWb63s

Hillary’s bizarre behavior and strange seizures: Is she having a breakdown or does she actually have brain damage?

I asked mental health experts about her strange outbursts that have been caught on camera.

#187 FutureExpatriate on 08.27.16 at 3:03 pm

Thanks for explaining perfectly why the “smart money” didn’t pull all of it out of the markets for a phony crash designed to tip the election to the GOP like in years previous. Ditto a fake hike in oil prices.

Still have their zika scare though. Not as effective as the ebola one.

The blatantly obvious that everyone manages to overlook? Trump NEVER wanted to be President. If his campaign is a scam, it is the most brilliant political ploy in US history, possibly world history (since at least the Trojan Horse).

Thank Goodness his idiot suporters will never figure it out or believe it even if they see proof.

#188 crowdedelevatorfartz on 08.27.16 at 3:35 pm

@#176 Brazil Expatsy
“Trump does not have movies named after him like Hillary’s America and Clinton Cash.”
*******************************************

Ahhh yes. Because everything written, spoken, or filmed about the Clintons is true and everything written , spoken or filmed about The Donald is false.

Informed doesnt even begin to describe your petulant position.

Trump is a buffoon.
He wont be elected.
Bank on that.

#189 crowdedelevatorfartz on 08.27.16 at 3:37 pm

“Lets build a wall around America”

Now fill it with water.

#190 chopstix on 08.27.16 at 5:59 pm

in the end, as the 11th hr nears, i think most rational americans will make an extra effort to get out and vote, to ensure Trump and co. don’t make it into office.

#191 jess on 08.27.16 at 9:11 pm

#181 Doghouse Dweller on 08.27.16 at 2:36 pm

I wonder if block chain solve tracking dilemma?
keep pushing for transparency …good luck tracking aid or lately go try and audit the army they seem to fabricate the numbers in their books! ~6.5billion?

Conservative radio host Rush Limbaugh aired this line of argument on April 23, 2015, citing a report in the Federalist,

http://www.factcheck.org/2015/06/where-does-clinton-foundation-money-go/

problems in that nypost article regarding navigator rating system and tax forms known as 990s,
https://nonprofitchronicles.com/2015/04/05/why-charity-navigator-needs-an-upgrade/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charity_Navigator

https://www.icij.org/project/world-bank
https://www.theguardian.com/voluntary-sector-network/2016/jan/28/trustees-responsibility-charity-fundraising-scandal

#192 Blog Dog Joe on 08.27.16 at 10:19 pm

Depressing stuff…does this blog post come with a free trial of Prozac?

#193 Armando on 08.28.16 at 3:27 pm

For the record, I’m a Libertarian voting for Gary Johnson, but I am amazed to see Garth turning into a drooling Hillary supporter (who is just a lying corrupt version of T2 with a pantsuit). Is Trump an idiot? Of course he is! But if he wins it won’t be the end of the world – or at least not any more than it would be with Hillary! Btw – the UK did not sink into the North Sea post-Brexit, as some would have made us believe. Neither will the US if Trump wins.

#194 Zarfilg on 08.29.16 at 12:03 pm

Indoctrination is a funny thing. John Paul II was by all accounts a well read intellectual and a deep thinker – yet…. he was a man who deeply believed in God. How is such a thing possible? Where does ones intelligence take a back seat to blind faith and indoctrination.

After reading this article I feel Garth is in a position to answer that question.